Game Analysis
Lean – TEXAS (-8.5) 32 Baylor 19
My math model favors Texas by 8.6 points but the Longhorns apply to an 80-26-2 ATS momentum situation based on last week’s 55-14 win over Kansas and Baylor could have trouble getting over last week’s final play 1-point loss to TCU. In fact, the Bears apply to a 17-68-2 ATS situation that plays on teams coming off a close loss as an underdog.
Rush
-
Run Plays
40.3
32.5
-
Run Yards
213.1
143.5
-
YPRP
5.3
4.4
Pass
-
Pass Comp
19.8
20.8
-
Pass Att
30.3
34.4
-
Comp %
65.5%
60.6%
-
Pass Yards
240.2
235.9
-
Sacks
1.6
1.7
-
Sack Yards
9.7
11.4
-
Sack %
4.9%
4.8%
-
Pass Plays
31.8
36.1
-
Net Pass Yards
230.5
224.6
-
YPPP
7.2
6.2
Total
-
Total Plays
72.1
68.6
-
Total Yards
443.5
368.0
-
YPPL
6.2
5.4
TO
-
Int
0.9
1.2
-
Int %
3.0%
3.4%
-
Fumbles
0.6
0.4
-
Turnovers
1.5
1.5
Rush
-
Run Plays
34.2
33.9
-
Run Yards
203.1
139.9
-
YPRP
5.9
4.1
Pass
-
Pass Comp
18.6
24.3
-
Pass Att
31.1
37.4
-
Comp %
60.0%
65.0%
-
Pass Yards
237.9
243.6
-
Sacks
1.2
2.3
-
Sack Yards
8.5
14.6
-
Sack %
3.7%
5.7%
-
Pass Plays
32.3
39.6
-
Net Pass Yards
229.5
229.0
-
YPPP
7.1
5.8
Total
-
Total Plays
66.5
73.5
-
Total Yards
432.6
368.9
-
YPPL
6.5
5.0
TO
-
Int
0.6
0.7
-
Int %
2.1%
2.0%
-
Fumbles
0.3
0.4
-
Turnovers
0.9
1.1
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2022 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/03/22 Albany |
69-10 |
0.0
W
|
39/28 |
265/97 |
6.8/3.5 |
0/1 |
22/13 |
27/30 |
308/142 |
0/0 |
2/2 |
10.6/4.4 |
573/239 |
8.4/4.0 |
09/10/22 @ BYU |
20-26 |
+2.5
L
|
46/31 |
176/94 |
3.8/3.0 |
0/0 |
18/24 |
28/40 |
115/272 |
0/0 |
4/2 |
3.6/6.5 |
291/366 |
3.7/5.0 |
09/17/22 Texas State |
42-7 |
-30.0
W
|
37/31 |
282/102 |
7.6/3.3 |
2/1 |
17/24 |
28/36 |
208/168 |
1/0 |
0/2 |
7.4/4.4 |
490/270 |
7.5/3.9 |
09/24/22 @ Iowa St. |
31-24 |
+2.5
W
|
38/23 |
139/86 |
3.7/3.7 |
0/0 |
19/23 |
26/36 |
226/264 |
0/2 |
2/4 |
8.1/6.6 |
365/350 |
5.5/5.6 |
10/01/22 Oklahoma St. |
25-36 |
-2.5
L
|
28/46 |
127/168 |
4.5/3.7 |
0/0 |
28/21 |
40/30 |
330/213 |
2/1 |
2/0 |
7.9/7.1 |
457/381 |
6.5/5.0 |
10/13/22 @ West Virginia |
40-43 |
-3.5
L
|
33/37 |
179/217 |
5.4/5.9 |
2/0 |
21/24 |
37/37 |
408/283 |
1/1 |
2/0 |
10.5/7.6 |
587/500 |
8.2/6.8 |
10/22/22 Kansas |
35-23 |
-10.0
W
|
52/19 |
302/63 |
5.8/3.3 |
1/2 |
17/16 |
26/27 |
147/223 |
2/0 |
2/1 |
5.3/8.0 |
449/286 |
5.6/6.1 |
10/29/22 @ Texas Tech |
45-17 |
+2.0
W
|
58/30 |
237/200 |
4.1/6.7 |
1/0 |
19/12 |
30/38 |
205/108 |
0/5 |
1/6 |
6.6/2.5 |
442/308 |
5.0/4.2 |
11/05/22 @ Oklahoma |
38-35 |
+3.5
W
|
44/44 |
292/243 |
6.6/5.5 |
0/0 |
14/22 |
23/34 |
126/256 |
1/3 |
1/1 |
5.3/7.3 |
418/499 |
6.1/6.3 |
11/12/22 Kansas St. |
3-31 |
-2.5
L
|
23/43 |
103/191 |
4.5/4.4 |
0/0 |
22/26 |
38/35 |
203/214 |
2/0 |
0/1 |
5.3/5.9 |
306/405 |
5.0/5.1 |
11/19/22 TCU |
28-29 |
+2.0
W
|
45/26 |
242/117 |
5.4/4.5 |
0/0 |
21/24 |
30/35 |
259/327 |
1/1 |
1/0 |
8.4/9.3 |
501/444 |
6.6/7.3 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2022 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/03/22 UL Monroe |
52-10 |
-37.5
W
|
27/38 |
177/105 |
6.6/2.8 |
0/0 |
20/16 |
29/23 |
268/110 |
1/1 |
2/3 |
8.6/4.2 |
445/215 |
7.7/3.4 |
09/10/22 Alabama |
19-20 |
+20.0
W
|
30/22 |
107/176 |
3.6/8.0 |
0/0 |
23/27 |
34/39 |
264/198 |
0/0 |
3/2 |
7.1/4.8 |
371/374 |
5.5/5.9 |
09/17/22 UTSA |
41-20 |
-12.5
W
|
35/42 |
299/135 |
8.5/3.2 |
0/0 |
15/27 |
23/40 |
161/286 |
0/1 |
0/1 |
7.0/7.0 |
460/421 |
7.9/5.1 |
09/24/22 @ Texas Tech |
34-37 |
-7.0
L
|
29/41 |
155/150 |
5.3/3.7 |
1/0 |
20/38 |
30/56 |
271/328 |
1/0 |
1/2 |
8.7/5.7 |
426/478 |
7.1/4.8 |
10/01/22 West Virginia |
38-20 |
-7.5
W
|
28/27 |
138/79 |
4.9/2.9 |
0/0 |
22/29 |
28/48 |
309/235 |
0/0 |
3/3 |
10.0/4.6 |
447/314 |
7.6/4.0 |
10/08/22 @ Oklahoma |
49-0 |
-7.5
W
|
50/39 |
296/173 |
5.9/4.4 |
0/0 |
21/9 |
31/17 |
289/59 |
1/2 |
0/3 |
9.3/3.0 |
585/232 |
7.2/3.9 |
10/15/22 Iowa St. |
24-21 |
-15.5
L
|
41/27 |
209/82 |
5.1/3.0 |
0/1 |
17/25 |
26/36 |
172/321 |
0/1 |
0/1 |
6.6/8.7 |
381/403 |
5.7/6.3 |
10/22/22 @ Oklahoma St. |
34-41 |
-4.5
L
|
30/37 |
212/158 |
7.1/4.3 |
0/1 |
19/35 |
49/58 |
318/380 |
3/1 |
1/2 |
6.4/6.3 |
530/538 |
6.6/5.5 |
11/05/22 @ Kansas St. |
34-27 |
-2.5
W
|
39/32 |
257/147 |
6.6/4.6 |
2/1 |
18/24 |
31/36 |
207/308 |
0/1 |
0/3 |
6.7/7.9 |
464/455 |
6.6/6.4 |
11/12/22 TCU |
10-17 |
-7.0
L
|
19/38 |
46/217 |
2.4/5.7 |
0/1 |
17/19 |
39/29 |
153/86 |
1/0 |
3/5 |
3.6/2.5 |
199/303 |
3.3/4.2 |
11/19/22 @ Kansas |
55-14 |
-9.0
W
|
48/30 |
338/117 |
7.0/3.9 |
0/0 |
13/18 |
22/29 |
112/208 |
0/1 |
0/0 |
5.1/7.2 |
450/325 |
6.4/5.5 |