Game Analysis
Lean – Baylor (+13) 28 TCU 36
The math model only favors TCU by 9.5 points and Baylor applies to a 54-16-1 ATS blowout bounce-back situation that is based on last week’s ugly 25-59 loss at Kansas State.
Rush
-
Run Plays
28.1
35.4
-
Run Yards
120.6
206.1
-
YPRP
4.3
5.8
Pass
-
Pass Comp
23.4
18.3
-
Pass Att
40.2
28.3
-
Comp %
58.3%
64.7%
-
Pass Yards
291.7
233.0
-
Sacks
3.3
1.6
-
Sack Yards
26.1
9.7
-
Sack %
7.6%
5.2%
-
Pass Plays
43.6
29.9
-
Net Pass Yards
265.6
223.3
-
YPPP
6.1
7.5
Total
-
Total Plays
71.7
65.3
-
Total Yards
386.1
429.4
-
YPPL
5.4
6.6
TO
-
Int
0.8
0.7
-
Int %
1.9%
2.4%
-
Fumbles
0.8
0.9
-
Turnovers
1.6
1.6
Rush
-
Run Plays
32.8
35.7
-
Run Yards
170.1
164.7
-
YPRP
5.2
4.6
Pass
-
Pass Comp
26.1
19.4
-
Pass Att
41.2
33.1
-
Comp %
63.3%
58.6%
-
Pass Yards
295.4
244.5
-
Sacks
1.7
2.2
-
Sack Yards
9.5
15.7
-
Sack %
4.0%
6.2%
-
Pass Plays
42.9
35.3
-
Net Pass Yards
285.9
228.8
-
YPPP
6.7
6.5
Total
-
Total Plays
75.7
71.0
-
Total Yards
456.0
393.5
-
YPPL
6.0
5.5
TO
-
Int
1.4
0.7
-
Int %
3.4%
2.1%
-
Fumbles
0.3
0.3
-
Turnovers
1.7
1.0
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/02/23 Texas State |
31-42 |
-27.5
L
|
29/35 |
126/166 |
4.3/4.7 |
1/2 |
27/22 |
44/30 |
395/292 |
1/0 |
3/1 |
8.4/9.4 |
521/458 |
6.9/6.9 |
| 09/09/23 Utah |
13-20 |
+7.5
W
|
29/44 |
121/232 |
4.2/5.3 |
0/0 |
12/12 |
28/26 |
218/145 |
2/1 |
0/3 |
7.8/5.0 |
339/377 |
5.9/5.2 |
| 09/16/23 LIU |
30-7 |
0.0
W
|
48/26 |
270/155 |
5.6/6.0 |
1/0 |
13/6 |
27/14 |
147/28 |
0/1 |
0/2 |
5.4/1.8 |
417/183 |
5.6/4.4 |
| 09/23/23 Texas |
6-38 |
+17.0
L
|
26/31 |
76/190 |
2.9/6.1 |
0/2 |
29/19 |
53/25 |
258/313 |
1/0 |
5/3 |
4.4/11.2 |
334/503 |
4.0/8.5 |
| 09/30/23 @ UCF |
36-35 |
+8.0
W
|
39/33 |
203/244 |
5.2/7.4 |
1/1 |
21/13 |
34/25 |
243/230 |
0/1 |
4/1 |
6.4/8.8 |
446/474 |
5.8/8.0 |
| 10/07/23 Texas Tech |
14-39 |
+1.5
L
|
23/38 |
63/201 |
2.7/5.3 |
1/1 |
22/19 |
38/26 |
294/169 |
0/1 |
6/1 |
6.7/6.3 |
357/370 |
5.3/5.7 |
| 10/21/23 @ Cincinnati |
32-29 |
+3.0
W
|
23/41 |
107/310 |
4.7/7.6 |
0/1 |
25/19 |
42/31 |
297/147 |
0/0 |
3/2 |
6.6/4.5 |
404/457 |
5.9/6.2 |
| 10/28/23 Iowa St. |
18-30 |
+3.0
L
|
23/30 |
80/180 |
3.5/6.0 |
1/1 |
24/19 |
41/31 |
229/229 |
1/1 |
2/1 |
5.3/7.2 |
309/409 |
4.7/6.6 |
| 11/04/23 Houston |
24-25 |
-3.0
L
|
30/31 |
185/139 |
6.2/4.5 |
0/0 |
29/21 |
37/27 |
227/227 |
1/2 |
4/1 |
5.5/8.1 |
412/366 |
5.8/6.2 |
| 11/11/23 @ Kansas St. |
25-59 |
+21.0
L
|
31/36 |
124/193 |
4.0/5.4 |
3/0 |
22/21 |
45/34 |
229/258 |
1/0 |
3/1 |
4.8/7.4 |
353/451 |
4.5/6.4 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/02/23 Colorado |
42-45 |
-20.5
L
|
37/29 |
262/90 |
7.1/3.1 |
0/1 |
24/38 |
42/47 |
279/478 |
2/0 |
0/4 |
6.6/9.4 |
541/568 |
6.8/7.1 |
| 09/09/23 Nicholls State |
41-6 |
0.0
W
|
37/36 |
141/105 |
3.8/2.9 |
1/1 |
28/17 |
33/36 |
296/158 |
1/1 |
0/3 |
9.0/4.1 |
437/263 |
6.2/3.5 |
| 09/16/23 @ Houston |
36-13 |
-7.5
W
|
48/21 |
274/58 |
5.7/2.8 |
1/0 |
24/17 |
37/35 |
298/191 |
1/2 |
3/6 |
7.5/4.7 |
572/249 |
6.5/4.0 |
| 09/23/23 SMU |
34-17 |
-7.0
W
|
41/36 |
199/175 |
4.9/4.9 |
0/0 |
24/16 |
33/35 |
260/241 |
0/2 |
2/3 |
7.4/6.3 |
459/416 |
6.0/5.6 |
| 09/30/23 West Virginia |
21-24 |
-13.5
L
|
33/42 |
158/202 |
4.8/4.8 |
0/0 |
23/10 |
41/21 |
275/142 |
0/0 |
5/0 |
6.0/6.8 |
433/344 |
5.5/5.5 |
| 10/07/23 @ Iowa St. |
14-27 |
-6.5
L
|
35/35 |
206/219 |
5.9/6.3 |
0/0 |
21/16 |
36/28 |
198/138 |
4/0 |
2/0 |
5.2/4.9 |
404/357 |
5.5/5.7 |
| 10/14/23 BYU |
44-11 |
-5.0
W
|
26/29 |
137/114 |
5.3/3.9 |
0/1 |
38/15 |
59/34 |
447/124 |
2/1 |
0/3 |
7.6/3.4 |
584/238 |
6.9/3.6 |
| 10/21/23 @ Kansas St. |
3-41 |
+6.0
L
|
20/51 |
125/356 |
6.3/7.0 |
0/0 |
23/15 |
43/26 |
175/231 |
1/0 |
2/1 |
3.9/8.6 |
300/587 |
4.6/7.5 |
| 11/02/23 @ Texas Tech |
28-35 |
+3.0
L
|
26/37 |
87/163 |
3.3/4.4 |
0/0 |
32/28 |
52/36 |
353/268 |
2/0 |
0/2 |
6.8/7.1 |
440/431 |
5.6/5.7 |
| 11/11/23 Texas |
26-29 |
+12.5
W
|
25/41 |
112/165 |
4.5/4.0 |
1/0 |
24/22 |
36/33 |
278/317 |
1/1 |
3/0 |
7.1/9.6 |
390/482 |
6.1/6.5 |
Baylor
@ 
TCU