(21) Baylor @

Rice

Fri, Sep 16
ESPN
5:00 PM Pacific
WatchESPN
Rotation: 105
Odds: Rice +31, Total: 65.5

Game Analysis

Create an account to get analysis and updates sent to your inbox.

Baylor (-31)  51   RICE  16

Baylor has not looked that good offensively so far this season, as their 47.5 points per game masked the fact that the Bears have averaged a modest 5.9 yards per play against two teams that would allow 6.4 yppl to an average offensive team. The Bears have run a lot of plays (87.5 per game) and scoring a lot of points will not be a challenge against a perennially bad Rice defense that’s allowed 7.6 yppl to Western Kentucky and Army.

The Baylor defense, meanwhile, has played better than expected so far and Rice is a below average offensive team again this season. My ratings favor the Bears by 32 points, so the line is fair, but huge favorites that underperform in their first two games tend to cover the spread in game 3 and Baylor applies to a 43-16 ATS situation that is based on that premise.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Baylor
  • Rice
BAY
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 51.0 44.0
  • Run Yards 297.5 209.8
  • YPRP 5.9 5.0




Pass





  • Pass Comp 19.5 17.5
  • Pass Att 34.8 35.0
  • Comp % 56.1% 50.0%
  • Pass Yards 282.3 200.0
  • Sacks 0.8 2.0
  • Sack Yards 2.8 10.8
  • Sack % 2.1% 5.4%
  • Pass Plays 35.5 37.0
  • Net Pass Yards 279.5 189.3
  • YPPP 7.9 5.1

Total

  • Total Plays 86.5 81.0
  • Total Yards 579.8 409.8
  • YPPL 6.7 5.1

TO


  • Int 1.0 1.0
  • Int % 2.9% 2.9%
  • Fumbles 0.5 1.3
  • Turnovers 1.5 2.3
 
  • Points 42.6 19.2
Share This