Game Analysis
Baylor (-17) 35 IOWA STATE 23
Baylor may be averaging 552 yards and 42 points per game but the Bears aren’t as good offensively as they’ve been in recent years, as those numbers are inflated due to playing a very easy schedule. I do commend the Bears for last week’s win over Oklahoma State and their defense is good but overall I think Baylor is a bit overrated heading into this game.
Iowa State is a decent team that rates at 0.1 yards per play worse than average on offense and 0.1 yppl better than average defensively and my mode favors the Cyclones to stay within the big number. ISU also applies to a 112-63-2 ATS big home underdog momentum situation based on last week’s easy win over San Jose State. I like the big home dog in this game.
Rush
-
Run Plays
51.0
44.0
-
Run Yards
297.5
209.8
-
YPRP
5.9
5.0
Pass
-
Pass Comp
19.5
17.5
-
Pass Att
34.8
35.0
-
Comp %
56.1%
50.0%
-
Pass Yards
282.3
200.0
-
Sacks
0.8
2.0
-
Sack Yards
2.8
10.8
-
Sack %
2.1%
5.4%
-
Pass Plays
35.5
37.0
-
Net Pass Yards
279.5
189.3
-
YPPP
7.9
5.1
Total
-
Total Plays
86.5
81.0
-
Total Yards
579.8
409.8
-
YPPL
6.7
5.1
TO
-
Int
1.0
1.0
-
Int %
2.9%
2.9%
-
Fumbles
0.5
1.3
-
Turnovers
1.5
2.3
Rush
-
Run Plays
35.6
45.6
-
Run Yards
144.2
262.0
-
YPRP
4.4
5.9
Pass
-
Pass Comp
18.0
16.4
-
Pass Att
30.2
28.2
-
Comp %
59.6%
58.2%
-
Pass Yards
240.2
191.4
-
Sacks
2.4
2.0
-
Sack Yards
13.4
7.8
-
Sack %
7.4%
6.6%
-
Pass Plays
32.6
30.2
-
Net Pass Yards
226.8
183.6
-
YPPP
7.0
6.1
Total
-
Total Plays
68.2
75.8
-
Total Yards
384.4
453.4
-
YPPL
5.6
6.0
TO
-
Int
0.6
0.8
-
Int %
2.0%
2.8%
-
Fumbles
0.6
0.2
-
Turnovers
1.2
1.0
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/02/16 Northwestern State |
55-7 |
0.0
W
|
43/38 |
275/60 |
6.4/1.6 |
1/0 |
19/5 |
29/19 |
223/25 |
0/0 |
0/2 |
7.7/1.2 |
498/85 |
6.9/1.4 |
09/10/16 SMU |
40-13 |
-32.0
L
|
55/36 |
278/178 |
5.1/4.9 |
1/1 |
26/17 |
48/44 |
260/227 |
2/3 |
0/1 |
5.4/5.0 |
538/405 |
5.2/5.0 |
09/16/16 @ Rice |
38-10 |
-31.0
L
|
53/40 |
297/238 |
5.6/6.0 |
0/1 |
23/9 |
41/27 |
338/21 |
1/0 |
1/2 |
8.0/0.7 |
635/259 |
6.7/3.8 |
09/24/16 Oklahoma St. |
35-24 |
-8.0
W
|
35/50 |
156/242 |
4.5/4.8 |
1/3 |
17/27 |
28/46 |
343/253 |
1/1 |
1/4 |
11.8/5.1 |
499/495 |
7.8/5.0 |
10/01/16 @ Iowa St. |
45-42 |
-17.0
L
|
61/50 |
470/224 |
7.7/4.5 |
0/0 |
12/17 |
22/23 |
177/256 |
0/0 |
1/1 |
7.7/10.7 |
647/480 |
7.7/6.5 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/03/16 Northern Iowa |
20-25 |
0.0
L
|
22/53 |
70/244 |
3.2/4.6 |
2/1 |
18/15 |
28/27 |
237/125 |
2/0 |
3/3 |
7.6/4.2 |
307/369 |
5.8/4.4 |
09/10/16 @ Iowa |
3-42 |
+15.0
L
|
32/34 |
143/209 |
4.5/6.1 |
0/0 |
14/20 |
35/30 |
148/226 |
1/0 |
3/2 |
3.9/7.1 |
291/435 |
4.2/6.6 |
09/17/16 @ TCU |
20-41 |
+24.5
W
|
42/37 |
164/229 |
3.9/6.2 |
0/0 |
19/22 |
36/35 |
191/252 |
0/0 |
5/0 |
4.7/7.2 |
355/481 |
4.3/6.7 |
09/24/16 San Jose St. |
44-10 |
-7.0
W
|
32/43 |
187/197 |
5.8/4.6 |
1/0 |
22/13 |
29/27 |
302/138 |
0/4 |
0/4 |
10.4/4.5 |
489/335 |
8.0/4.5 |
10/01/16 Baylor |
42-45 |
+17.0
W
|
50/61 |
224/470 |
4.5/7.7 |
0/0 |
17/12 |
23/22 |
256/177 |
0/0 |
1/1 |
10.7/7.7 |
480/647 |
6.5/7.7 |