Auburn @ Georgia Matchup Analysis

Game Analysis

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GEORGIA (-12.5) 34 Auburn 16

My math model leans with Georgia here and the Bulldogs apply to a 130-52-2 ATS home momentum situation while Auburn applies to a negative 24-73-2 ATS road underdog letdown situation based on last week’s win over A&M. Go Dawgs!

Team Stats
Game Log

Auburn
Georgia

AUB

Offense

Defense

Rush

Run Plays 31.8 35.8
Run Yards 122.6 146.9
YPRP 4.4 4.6

Pass

Pass Comp 19.4 18.6
Pass Att 31.8 33.5
Comp % 61.0% 55.6%
Pass Yards 232.5 230.3
Sacks 2.4 3.0
Sack Yards 18.0 18.0
Sack % 7.0% 8.2%
Pass Plays 34.1 36.5
Net Pass Yards 214.5 212.3
YPPP 6.3 5.8

Total

Total Plays 65.9 72.3
Total Yards 355.1 377.1
YPPL 5.4 5.2

Int 0.5 0.8
Int % 1.6% 2.2%
Fumbles 0.5 0.5
Turnovers 1.0 1.3

Points 28.3 17.3

UGA

Offense

Defense

Rush

Run Plays 38.3 31.8
Run Yards 227.8 140.4
YPRP 6.2 4.8

Pass

Pass Comp 16.4 19.1
Pass Att 24.5 32.1
Comp % 66.9% 59.5%
Pass Yards 222.3 181.6
Sacks 1.5 1.8
Sack Yards 9.3 11.4
Sack % 5.8% 5.2%
Pass Plays 26.0 33.9
Net Pass Yards 213.0 170.3
YPPP 8.2 5.0

Total

Total Plays 64.3 65.6
Total Yards 450.0 322.0
YPPL 7.0 4.9

Int 0.5 0.6
Int % 2.0% 2.0%
Fumbles 0.5 1.0
Turnovers 1.0 1.6

Points 38.1 16.4

Straight Up: , Against the Spread:

* game log stats denoted as Off/Def

2018 Game Log			RUSHING PLAYS				PASSING PLAYS						TOTAL
Opponent	Score	Spread	Atts	Yds	Yprp	Fum	Comp	Att	Yds	Int	Sack	Yppp	Yds	Yppl
09/01/18 Washington	21-16	-2.0 W	42/28	166/137	4.0/4.9	0/1	26/18	36/32	256/271	0/1	2/5	6.7/7.3	422/408	5.3/6.3
09/08/18 Alabama State	63-9	0.0 W	56/31	433/86	7.7/2.8	4/1	8/13	14/29	138/119	0/3	0/4	9.9/3.6	571/205	8.2/3.2
09/15/18 LSU	21-22	-10.5 L	36/40	140/127	3.9/3.2	0/0	16/15	28/34	190/243	2/0	1/2	6.6/6.8	330/370	5.1/4.9
09/22/18 Arkansas	34-3	-29.5 W	31/36	114/168	3.7/4.7	0/1	15/13	22/31	113/125	0/1	4/2	4.3/3.8	227/293	4.0/4.2
09/29/18 Southern Miss	24-13	-28.0 L	33/18	122/61	3.7/3.4	1/1	19/30	33/44	219/203	0/2	3/2	6.1/4.4	341/264	4.9/4.1
10/06/18 @ Mississippi St.	9-23	-3.5 L	18/56	115/353	6.4/6.3	2/0	19/9	38/17	187/69	0/1	3/0	4.6/4.1	302/422	5.1/5.8
10/13/18 Tennessee	24-30	-16.5 L	31/32	157/88	5.1/2.8	1/0	28/21	45/32	300/310	2/0	2/3	6.4/8.9	457/398	5.9/5.9
10/20/18 @ Mississippi	31-16	-4.0 W	45/34	274/157	6.1/4.6	0/0	13/27	22/46	210/290	0/0	1/5	9.1/5.7	484/447	7.1/5.3
11/03/18 Texas A&M	28-24	-3.5 W	18/42	37/228	2.1/5.4	0/1	19/16	30/32	241/187	0/1	3/5	7.3/5.1	278/415	5.5/5.3

Straight Up: , Against the Spread:

* game log stats denoted as Off/Def

2018 Game Log			RUSHING PLAYS				PASSING PLAYS						TOTAL
Opponent	Score	Spread	Atts	Yds	Yprp	Fum	Comp	Att	Yds	Int	Sack	Yppp	Yds	Yppl
09/01/18 Austin Peay	45-0	-45.5 L	32/29	286/103	8.9/3.6	1/1	21/13	27/21	224/61	0/0	0/0	8.3/2.9	510/164	8.6/3.3
09/08/18 @ South Carolina	41-17	-10.0 W	49/18	289/59	5.9/3.3	0/0	16/31	19/48	188/239	1/2	2/1	9.0/4.9	477/298	6.8/4.4
09/15/18 Middle Tenn St	49-7	-32.5 W	30/38	275/158	9.2/4.2	0/1	17/19	21/30	212/128	0/1	2/0	9.2/4.3	487/286	9.2/4.2
09/22/18 @ Missouri	43-29	-14.5 L	38/35	187/181	4.9/5.2	0/2	13/23	23/48	260/212	1/1	0/2	11.3/4.2	447/393	7.3/4.6
09/29/18 Tennessee	38-12	-31.0 L	46/22	239/76	5.2/3.5	0/1	17/13	24/21	173/135	0/0	3/2	6.4/5.9	412/211	5.6/4.7
10/06/18 Vanderbilt	41-13	-26.0 W	31/28	233/142	7.5/5.1	0/0	21/16	31/30	335/179	0/0	1/1	10.5/5.8	568/321	9.0/5.4
10/13/18 @ LSU	16-36	-7.0 L	26/46	136/300	5.2/6.5	2/0	16/15	34/30	188/177	2/0	3/3	5.1/5.4	324/477	5.1/6.0
10/27/18 Florida	36-17	-6.5 W	39/36	195/181	5.0/5.0	0/2	17/13	24/21	235/99	0/1	1/1	9.4/4.5	430/280	6.7/4.8
11/03/18 @ Kentucky	34-17	-8.5 W	47/31	342/117	7.3/3.8	2/2	14/23	20/29	113/193	0/0	0/4	5.7/5.8	455/310	6.8/4.8

Auburn @

(5) Georgia

Sat, Nov 10

ESPN

4:00 PM Pacific

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Game Analysis