Game Analysis
CLEMSON (-5) 32 Auburn 27
Clemson’s new quarterback Kelly Bryant certainly passed the eye test last week with his accuracy (16 of 22 for 236 yards) and the Tigers looks like a better running team than they were last season now that the vastly overrated Wayne Gallman (only 4.9 ypr) has moved on. Overall, I think the defending champs will be just as good offensively as they were the last two years with Deshaun Watson at quarterback and the Tigers’ defense looks even better with 7 returning starters, including 5 of the front 7. After all, Clemson’s defense was 1.2 yards per play better than average in each of the last two seasons with much less experienced units (just 3 returning starters in 2015 and 4 in 2016). Clemson is a better overall team than they were last season when they won the National Championship but Auburn is a very formidable obstacle.
Auburn should have one of the best rushing attacks in the nation and quarterback Jarett Stidham should be an upgrade at quarterback – although he didn’t live up to the hype with his modest 14 for 24 for 185 yards last week. The Auburn defense, meanwhile, looks imposing this season even without All-American defensive linemen Carl Lawson and Montavius Adams. There is still a lot of talent on all 3 levels of the defense and the Tigers held Georgia Southern to just 78 total yards in their 41-7 romp last week.
This game will tell us a lot more about these teams and the winner has a leg up in the battle for one of the 4 playoff spots. My ratings favor Clemson by 5 ½ points with a total of 59 points. This battle of the Tigers is not a good game to bet but it’s likely going to be an interesting game to watch.
Rush
-
Run Plays
46.7
33.9
-
Run Yards
254.0
145.9
-
YPRP
5.7
4.7
Pass
-
Pass Comp
13.6
21.3
-
Pass Att
22.1
35.4
-
Comp %
61.5%
60.0%
-
Pass Yards
172.7
239.7
-
Sacks
1.5
1.9
-
Sack Yards
11.3
12.5
-
Sack %
6.4%
5.1%
-
Pass Plays
23.6
37.3
-
Net Pass Yards
161.4
227.2
-
YPPP
6.8
6.1
Total
-
Total Plays
70.3
71.3
-
Total Yards
426.7
385.6
-
YPPL
6.1
5.4
TO
-
Int
0.5
0.8
-
Int %
2.3%
2.1%
-
Fumbles
0.6
0.5
-
Turnovers
1.1
1.3
Rush
-
Run Plays
37.1
31.9
-
Run Yards
167.4
137.3
-
YPRP
4.7
4.9
Pass
-
Pass Comp
28.1
17.4
-
Pass Att
42.1
32.6
-
Comp %
66.8%
53.3%
-
Pass Yards
334.1
189.6
-
Sacks
1.4
3.1
-
Sack Yards
7.9
20.6
-
Sack %
3.1%
8.6%
-
Pass Plays
43.5
35.6
-
Net Pass Yards
326.1
169.0
-
YPPP
7.5
4.7
Total
-
Total Plays
80.6
67.6
-
Total Yards
501.5
326.9
-
YPPL
6.2
4.8
TO
-
Int
1.2
1.4
-
Int %
2.9%
4.2%
-
Fumbles
0.8
0.4
-
Turnovers
2.0
1.8
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/03/16 Clemson |
13-19 |
+8.0
W
|
38/44 |
115/151 |
3.0/3.4 |
1/1 |
15/19 |
28/34 |
147/248 |
2/1 |
3/0 |
4.7/7.3 |
262/399 |
3.8/5.1 |
| 09/10/16 Arkansas St. |
51-14 |
-20.0
W
|
60/31 |
465/88 |
7.8/2.8 |
1/0 |
17/19 |
23/30 |
242/238 |
0/0 |
1/4 |
10.1/7.0 |
707/326 |
8.4/5.0 |
| 09/17/16 Texas A&M |
16-29 |
-3.5
L
|
50/34 |
268/248 |
5.4/7.3 |
1/0 |
22/20 |
35/40 |
131/236 |
0/0 |
4/1 |
3.4/5.8 |
399/484 |
4.5/6.5 |
| 09/24/16 LSU |
18-13 |
+3.5
W
|
46/29 |
181/237 |
3.9/8.2 |
1/1 |
19/15 |
26/27 |
207/101 |
0/0 |
3/3 |
7.1/3.4 |
388/338 |
5.2/5.7 |
| 10/01/16 UL Monroe |
58-7 |
-32.5
W
|
64/30 |
366/119 |
5.7/4.0 |
1/1 |
15/19 |
18/33 |
261/133 |
0/1 |
1/2 |
13.7/3.8 |
627/252 |
7.6/3.9 |
| 10/08/16 @ Mississippi St. |
38-14 |
-2.5
W
|
53/29 |
252/132 |
4.8/4.6 |
1/2 |
14/18 |
18/35 |
194/165 |
1/1 |
2/3 |
9.7/4.3 |
446/297 |
6.1/4.4 |
| 10/22/16 Arkansas |
56-3 |
-10.0
W
|
56/27 |
544/50 |
9.7/1.9 |
0/1 |
7/18 |
12/33 |
89/165 |
0/1 |
0/4 |
7.4/4.5 |
633/215 |
9.3/3.4 |
| 10/29/16 @ Mississippi |
40-29 |
-4.5
W
|
49/29 |
321/120 |
6.6/4.1 |
0/0 |
15/36 |
22/59 |
242/450 |
0/1 |
1/2 |
10.5/7.4 |
563/570 |
7.8/6.3 |
| 11/05/16 Vanderbilt |
23-16 |
-25.5
L
|
44/32 |
273/128 |
6.2/4.0 |
1/0 |
12/24 |
17/36 |
115/213 |
0/1 |
0/1 |
6.8/5.8 |
388/341 |
6.4/4.9 |
| 11/12/16 @ Georgia |
7-13 |
-10.0
L
|
29/37 |
142/179 |
4.9/4.8 |
0/0 |
8/20 |
22/33 |
41/190 |
1/1 |
2/2 |
1.7/5.4 |
183/369 |
3.5/5.1 |
| 11/19/16 Alabama A&M |
55-0 |
0.0
W
|
59/22 |
451/42 |
7.6/1.9 |
1/0 |
14/15 |
20/39 |
147/88 |
0/2 |
0/2 |
7.4/2.1 |
598/130 |
7.6/2.1 |
| 11/26/16 @ Alabama |
12-30 |
+20.0
W
|
25/42 |
71/214 |
2.8/5.1 |
0/0 |
6/28 |
17/37 |
114/291 |
1/2 |
1/1 |
6.3/7.7 |
185/505 |
4.3/6.3 |
| 01/02/17 @ Oklahoma |
19-35 |
+3.0
L
|
46/43 |
185/235 |
4.0/5.5 |
0/0 |
13/19 |
27/28 |
154/296 |
1/0 |
0/0 |
5.7/10.6 |
339/531 |
4.6/7.5 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/03/16 @ Auburn |
19-13 |
-8.0
L
|
44/38 |
151/115 |
3.4/3.0 |
1/1 |
19/15 |
34/28 |
248/147 |
1/2 |
0/3 |
7.3/4.7 |
399/262 |
5.1/3.8 |
| 09/10/16 Troy |
30-24 |
-35.0
L
|
29/31 |
132/157 |
4.6/5.1 |
1/0 |
27/26 |
53/45 |
284/237 |
2/3 |
1/1 |
5.3/5.2 |
416/394 |
5.0/5.1 |
| 09/17/16 South Carolina State |
59-0 |
0.0
W
|
42/27 |
230/82 |
5.5/3.0 |
0/1 |
27/8 |
35/23 |
325/22 |
0/1 |
1/5 |
9.0/0.8 |
555/104 |
7.1/1.9 |
| 09/22/16 @ Georgia Tech |
26-7 |
-10.0
W
|
33/35 |
143/125 |
4.3/3.6 |
0/0 |
32/4 |
48/14 |
299/-1 |
1/1 |
1/3 |
6.1/-0.1 |
442/124 |
5.4/2.4 |
| 10/01/16 Louisville |
42-36 |
+2.0
W
|
30/49 |
195/302 |
6.5/6.2 |
2/2 |
20/27 |
31/44 |
306/273 |
3/1 |
0/5 |
9.9/5.6 |
501/575 |
8.2/5.9 |
| 10/07/16 @ Boston College |
56-10 |
-17.0
W
|
33/45 |
241/170 |
7.3/3.8 |
1/1 |
16/12 |
26/24 |
264/79 |
0/1 |
2/3 |
9.4/2.9 |
505/249 |
8.3/3.5 |
| 10/15/16 No Carolina St. |
24-17 |
-17.5
L
|
36/28 |
141/146 |
3.9/5.2 |
3/0 |
39/21 |
52/42 |
363/251 |
1/2 |
2/4 |
6.7/5.5 |
504/397 |
5.6/5.4 |
| 10/29/16 @ Florida St. |
37-34 |
-4.5
L
|
33/22 |
147/219 |
4.5/10.0 |
0/0 |
27/17 |
43/35 |
365/230 |
2/1 |
4/6 |
7.8/5.6 |
512/449 |
6.4/7.1 |
| 11/05/16 Syracuse |
54-0 |
-26.5
W
|
44/26 |
195/117 |
4.4/4.5 |
0/0 |
27/24 |
38/40 |
370/160 |
0/3 |
0/2 |
9.7/3.8 |
565/277 |
6.9/4.1 |
| 11/12/16 Pittsburgh |
42-43 |
-21.0
L
|
23/31 |
58/163 |
2.5/5.3 |
0/1 |
52/22 |
70/37 |
572/301 |
3/0 |
2/2 |
7.9/7.7 |
630/464 |
6.6/6.6 |
| 11/19/16 @ Wake Forest |
35-13 |
-22.5
L
|
41/32 |
255/102 |
6.2/3.2 |
1/0 |
23/7 |
33/18 |
202/95 |
0/0 |
0/4 |
6.1/4.3 |
457/197 |
6.2/3.6 |
| 11/26/16 South Carolina |
56-7 |
-24.0
W
|
53/26 |
260/141 |
4.9/5.4 |
0/0 |
29/14 |
35/29 |
362/87 |
1/1 |
1/3 |
10.1/2.7 |
622/228 |
7.0/3.9 |
| 12/03/16 @ Virginia Tech |
42-35 |
-10.5
L
|
39/31 |
184/118 |
4.7/3.8 |
0/0 |
23/21 |
34/35 |
288/248 |
1/2 |
0/4 |
8.5/6.4 |
472/366 |
6.5/5.2 |
| 12/31/16 Ohio St. |
31-0 |
+2.5
W
|
45/19 |
225/114 |
5.0/6.0 |
0/1 |
24/19 |
37/33 |
248/104 |
2/2 |
2/3 |
6.4/2.9 |
473/218 |
5.6/4.0 |
| 01/09/17 @ Alabama |
35-31 |
+6.5
W
|
37/34 |
128/221 |
3.5/6.5 |
2/0 |
36/14 |
56/32 |
395/155 |
0/0 |
4/0 |
6.6/4.8 |
523/376 |
5.4/5.7 |