Arkansas St. @

UL Lafayette

Sat, Nov 9
ESPN+
2:00 PM Pacific
Rotation: 177
Odds: UL Lafayette -14, Total: 60.5

Game Analysis

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1-Star Best Bet – *LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE (-14)  40   Arkansas State  19

Louisiana-Lafayette’s offense has averaged 437 yards of offense per game at 6.9 yppl against FBS teams that would allow 6.1 yppl to an average offense and the Ragin’ Cajuns should top those numbers against an Arkansas State defense that’s given up nearly 450 yards per game at 6.7 yppl (to teams that would average 5.5 yppl against an average defense). The Red Wolves are 0.9 yppl worse than the average defense that ULL has faced and I expect around 40 points from the Ragin’ Cajuns in this game, as Arkansas State allowed an average of 46.5 points to the two good offensive teams that they’ve faced this season (52 to Iowa State and 41 to Texas State).

The Arkansas State offense will have a tough time keeping up, as that unit rates at 0.7 yppl worse than average while the ULL defense is 0.1 yppl better than average and has yielded an average of just 23.9 points to FBS teams that are collectively 0.6 yppl better than Arkansas State’s offense.

Louisiana-Lafayette is a 1-Star Best Bet at -14 or less (Strong Opinion up to -16).

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Arkansas St.
  • UL Lafayette
AKS
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 33.5 37.5
  • Run Yards 152.5 218.6
  • YPRP 4.6 5.8




Pass





  • Pass Comp 22.4 18.0
  • Pass Att 36.8 27.9
  • Comp % 60.9% 64.6%
  • Pass Yards 248.9 237.4
  • Sacks 2.1 1.6
  • Sack Yards 13.9 7.5
  • Sack % 5.5% 5.5%
  • Pass Plays 38.9 29.5
  • Net Pass Yards 235.0 229.9
  • YPPP 6.0 7.8

Total

  • Total Plays 72.4 67.0
  • Total Yards 387.5 448.5
  • YPPL 5.4 6.7

TO


  • Int 0.8 1.3
  • Int % 2.0% 4.5%
  • Fumbles 0.9 0.5
  • Turnovers 1.6 1.8
 
  • Points 24.0 31.4
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