Game Analysis
Strong Opinion – GEORGIA STATE (-2.5 -115)  34   Arkansas State  26
Arkansas State has a better record than Georgia State but that’s the only thing the Red Wolves have on the Panthers.
Georgia State’s offense has been 0.3 yards per play worse than average this season (5.5 yppl against teams that would allow 5.8 yppl to an average team) but the Arkansas State attack has been 0.7 yppl worse than average (5.3 yppl against teams that would allow 6.0 yppl).
Georgia State has a bad defense that rates at 0.8 yppl worse than average (6.4 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.6 yppl) but Arkansas State’s defense is significantly worse, rating at 1.4 yppl worse than average (7.0 yppl against teams that would average 5.6 yppl against an average team).
Georgia State is a Strong Opinion at -3 -110 or better.
    
    
    
        
            
        
        
        
            
Rush
            
                - 
                    Run Plays
                    33.7
                    36.8
                
- 
                    Run Yards
                    160.5
                    225.3
                
- 
                    YPRP
                    4.8
                    6.1
                
Pass
            
                - 
                    Pass Comp
                    22.6
                    18.4
                
- 
                    Pass Att
                    36.8
                    28.4
                
- 
                    Comp %
                    61.3%
                    64.8%
                
- 
                    Pass Yards
                    240.8
                    248.1
                
- 
                    Sacks
                    2.3
                    1.4
                
- 
                    Sack Yards
                    14.9
                    6.7
                
- 
                    Sack %
                    6.0%
                    4.8%
                
- 
                    Pass Plays
                    39.1
                    29.9
                
- 
                    Net Pass Yards
                    225.9
                    241.4
                
- 
                    YPPP
                    5.8
                    8.1
                
Total
            
                - 
                    Total Plays
                    72.8
                    66.7
                
- 
                    Total Yards
                    386.3
                    466.8
                
- 
                    YPPL
                    5.3
                    7.0
                
TO
            
                - 
                    Int
                    0.9
                    1.1
                
- 
                    Int %
                    2.4%
                    3.9%
                
- 
                    Fumbles
                    0.8
                    0.4
                
- 
                    Turnovers
                    1.7
                    1.6
                
 
            
         
     
    
        
            
        
        
        
            
Rush
            
                - 
                    Run Plays
                    27.2
                    36.2
                
- 
                    Run Yards
                    141.2
                    207.9
                
- 
                    YPRP
                    5.2
                    5.7
                
Pass
            
                - 
                    Pass Comp
                    23.6
                    16.9
                
- 
                    Pass Att
                    37.9
                    26.8
                
- 
                    Comp %
                    62.2%
                    63.1%
                
- 
                    Pass Yards
                    245.8
                    209.2
                
- 
                    Sacks
                    1.8
                    1.2
                
- 
                    Sack Yards
                    15.1
                    5.9
                
- 
                    Sack %
                    4.5%
                    4.4%
                
- 
                    Pass Plays
                    39.7
                    28.0
                
- 
                    Net Pass Yards
                    230.7
                    203.3
                
- 
                    YPPP
                    5.8
                    7.3
                
Total
            
                - 
                    Total Plays
                    66.9
                    64.2
                
- 
                    Total Yards
                    371.9
                    411.2
                
- 
                    YPPL
                    5.6
                    6.4
                
TO
            
                - 
                    Int
                    0.8
                    0.6
                
- 
                    Int %
                    2.1%
                    2.1%
                
- 
                    Fumbles
                    0.4
                    0.7
                
- 
                    Turnovers
                    1.2
                    1.2
                
 
            
         
     
    
        
            Straight Up: ,
            Against the Spread:         
        * game log stats denoted as Off/Def
        
            
                
                
                    | 2024 Game Log | RUSHING PLAYS | PASSING PLAYS | TOTAL | 
                
                    | Opponent | Score | Spread | Atts | Yds | Yprp | Fum | Comp | Att | Yds | Int | Sack | Yppp | Yds | Yppl | 
                
                
                                    
                        | 08/31/24  Central Arkansas | 34-31 | 0.0
                                                            W | 40/32 | 163/232 | 4.1/7.3 | 1/0 | 23/16 | 46/30 | 280/147 | 1/0 | 3/2 | 5.7/4.6 | 443/379 | 5.0/5.9 | 
                                    
                        | 09/07/24  Tulsa | 28-24 | -7.5
                                                            L | 38/32 | 162/162 | 4.3/5.1 | 1/1 | 21/16 | 32/29 | 247/199 | 1/1 | 2/0 | 7.3/6.9 | 409/361 | 5.7/5.9 | 
                                    
                        | 09/14/24 @ Michigan | 18-28 | +23.0
                                                            W | 24/41 | 70/305 | 2.9/7.4 | 0/0 | 26/14 | 44/18 | 215/144 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 4.8/7.2 | 285/449 | 4.1/7.4 | 
                                    
                        | 09/21/24 @ Iowa St. | 7-52 | +20.5
                                                            L | 30/47 | 121/218 | 4.0/4.6 | 2/0 | 9/16 | 23/25 | 95/279 | 2/1 | 4/1 | 3.5/10.7 | 216/497 | 3.8/6.8 | 
                                    
                        | 10/05/24  South Alabama | 18-16 | +3.0
                                                            W | 27/32 | 81/164 | 3.0/5.1 | 0/0 | 30/21 | 39/36 | 330/289 | 0/1 | 3/1 | 7.9/7.8 | 411/453 | 6.0/6.6 | 
                                    
                        | 10/12/24 @ Texas State | 9-41 | +14.0
                                                            L | 30/40 | 200/273 | 6.7/6.8 | 1/0 | 25/24 | 39/29 | 189/320 | 1/0 | 3/0 | 4.5/11.0 | 389/593 | 5.4/8.6 | 
                                    
                        | 10/19/24 @ Southern Miss | 44-28 | -7.0
                                                            W | 39/40 | 225/209 | 5.8/5.2 | 0/2 | 20/15 | 31/23 | 186/159 | 0/1 | 0/6 | 6.0/5.5 | 411/368 | 5.9/5.3 | 
                                    
                        | 10/26/24  Troy | 34-31 | -7.5
                                                            L | 40/36 | 198/186 | 5.0/5.2 | 2/1 | 25/22 | 40/33 | 338/302 | 0/3 | 1/1 | 8.2/8.9 | 536/488 | 6.6/7.0 | 
                                    
                        | 11/09/24 @ UL Lafayette | 19-55 | +14.0
                                                            L | 35/31 | 224/279 | 6.4/9.0 | 0/0 | 24/22 | 37/33 | 153/334 | 2/0 | 4/0 | 3.7/10.1 | 377/613 | 5.0/9.6 | 
                
                
            
         
     
    
        
            Straight Up: ,
            Against the Spread:         
        * game log stats denoted as Off/Def
        
            
                
                
                    | 2024 Game Log | RUSHING PLAYS | PASSING PLAYS | TOTAL | 
                
                    | Opponent | Score | Spread | Atts | Yds | Yprp | Fum | Comp | Att | Yds | Int | Sack | Yppp | Yds | Yppl | 
                
                
                                    
                        | 08/31/24 @ Georgia Tech | 12-35 | +21.0
                                                            L | 27/35 | 153/224 | 5.7/6.4 | 1/0 | 19/24 | 34/29 | 210/275 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 6.2/9.5 | 363/499 | 6.0/7.8 | 
                                    
                        | 09/07/24  Chattanooga | 24-21 | 0.0
                                                            W | 32/25 | 167/92 | 5.2/3.7 | 1/1 | 26/13 | 38/23 | 229/212 | 0/2 | 2/3 | 5.7/8.2 | 396/304 | 5.5/6.0 | 
                                    
                        | 09/14/24  Vanderbilt | 36-32 | +9.5
                                                            W | 33/31 | 167/126 | 5.1/4.1 | 0/1 | 26/18 | 41/33 | 259/240 | 1/0 | 1/2 | 6.2/6.9 | 426/366 | 5.7/5.5 | 
                                    
                        | 09/28/24  Georgia Southern | 21-38 | -1.0
                                                            L | 14/45 | 46/276 | 3.3/6.1 | 0/2 | 23/24 | 45/39 | 343/222 | 3/0 | 1/3 | 7.5/5.3 | 389/498 | 6.5/5.7 | 
                                    
                        | 10/12/24  Old Dominion | 14-21 | -1.5
                                                            L | 25/41 | 90/215 | 3.6/5.2 | 1/0 | 28/14 | 46/23 | 229/136 | 1/1 | 3/1 | 4.7/5.7 | 319/351 | 4.3/5.4 | 
                                    
                        | 10/17/24 @ Marshall | 20-35 | +9.0
                                                            L | 35/36 | 220/269 | 6.3/7.5 | 0/0 | 21/11 | 36/20 | 207/132 | 0/1 | 1/0 | 5.6/6.6 | 427/401 | 5.9/7.2 | 
                                    
                        | 10/26/24 @ Appalachian State | 26-33 | +8.0
                                                            W | 30/36 | 224/183 | 7.5/5.1 | 0/1 | 16/18 | 22/27 | 164/299 | 0/0 | 3/0 | 6.6/11.1 | 388/482 | 7.1/7.7 | 
                                    
                        | 11/01/24 @ Connecticut | 27-34 | +8.0
                                                            W | 26/41 | 125/274 | 4.8/6.7 | 0/1 | 29/10 | 42/16 | 255/74 | 2/0 | 1/1 | 5.9/4.4 | 380/348 | 5.5/6.0 | 
                                    
                        | 11/09/24 @ James Madison | 7-38 | +15.0
                                                            L | 23/36 | 79/212 | 3.4/5.9 | 1/0 | 24/20 | 37/31 | 180/240 | 0/0 | 4/1 | 4.4/7.5 | 259/452 | 4.0/6.6 |