Game Analysis
AUBURN (-10 ½) 32 Arkansas 21
Arkansas has trouble defending the run (7.0 yards per rushing play allowed) and Auburn runs the ball over 50 times per game. That’s certainly a favorable matchup for the Tigers. However, my math model takes that matchup into account and favors Auburn by 10 ½ points – so there is no value.
Rush
-
Run Plays
38.7
28.0
-
Run Yards
161.2
180.3
-
YPRP
4.7
7.0
Pass
-
Pass Comp
20.8
18.2
-
Pass Att
33.7
31.8
-
Comp %
61.9%
57.1%
-
Pass Yards
275.8
233.8
-
Sacks
2.7
2.2
-
Sack Yards
20.5
15.3
-
Sack %
7.3%
6.4%
-
Pass Plays
36.3
34.0
-
Net Pass Yards
255.3
218.5
-
YPPP
7.0
6.4
Total
-
Total Plays
75.0
62.0
-
Total Yards
437.0
414.2
-
YPPL
5.8
6.7
TO
-
Int
1.0
0.8
-
Int %
3.0%
2.6%
-
Fumbles
1.0
0.8
-
Turnovers
2.0
1.7
Rush
-
Run Plays
51.8
32.8
-
Run Yards
253.8
149.7
-
YPRP
5.3
4.9
Pass
-
Pass Comp
17.0
18.3
-
Pass Att
24.7
33.2
-
Comp %
68.9%
55.3%
-
Pass Yards
216.3
199.7
-
Sacks
2.3
2.2
-
Sack Yards
19.3
12.8
-
Sack %
8.6%
6.1%
-
Pass Plays
27.0
35.3
-
Net Pass Yards
197.0
186.8
-
YPPP
7.3
5.3
Total
-
Total Plays
78.8
68.2
-
Total Yards
470.2
349.3
-
YPPL
6.0
5.1
TO
-
Int
0.5
0.5
-
Int %
2.0%
1.5%
-
Fumbles
1.0
0.8
-
Turnovers
1.5
1.3
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/03/16 Louisiana Tech |
21-20 |
-24.5
L
|
35/20 |
134/99 |
3.8/5.0 |
0/0 |
20/19 |
29/31 |
165/192 |
2/1 |
4/3 |
5.0/5.6 |
299/291 |
4.4/5.4 |
09/10/16 @ TCU |
41-38 |
+7.5
W
|
41/29 |
187/210 |
4.6/7.2 |
0/1 |
17/36 |
29/56 |
217/359 |
0/1 |
1/3 |
7.2/6.1 |
404/569 |
5.7/6.5 |
09/17/16 Texas State |
42-3 |
-30.5
W
|
43/22 |
232/62 |
5.4/2.8 |
1/0 |
16/11 |
22/26 |
235/43 |
0/1 |
1/4 |
10.2/1.4 |
467/105 |
7.1/2.0 |
09/24/16 @ Texas A&M |
24-45 |
-6.0
L
|
38/34 |
140/380 |
3.7/11.2 |
3/2 |
28/12 |
42/22 |
362/220 |
0/0 |
1/1 |
8.4/9.6 |
502/600 |
6.2/10.5 |
10/01/16 Alcorn State |
52-10 |
0.0
W
|
38/35 |
360/179 |
9.5/5.1 |
1/2 |
13/13 |
18/19 |
206/139 |
0/2 |
0/2 |
11.4/6.6 |
566/318 |
10.1/5.7 |
10/08/16 Alabama |
30-49 |
+14.0
L
|
30/34 |
122/264 |
4.1/7.8 |
2/2 |
25/13 |
48/17 |
351/253 |
3/1 |
6/0 |
6.5/14.9 |
473/517 |
5.6/10.1 |
10/15/16 Mississippi |
34-30 |
+7.5
W
|
45/29 |
275/159 |
6.1/5.5 |
0/0 |
19/18 |
32/39 |
202/244 |
1/1 |
3/2 |
5.8/6.0 |
477/403 |
6.0/5.8 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/03/16 Clemson |
13-19 |
+8.0
W
|
38/44 |
115/151 |
3.0/3.4 |
1/1 |
15/19 |
28/34 |
147/248 |
2/1 |
3/0 |
4.7/7.3 |
262/399 |
3.8/5.1 |
09/10/16 Arkansas St. |
51-14 |
-20.0
W
|
60/31 |
465/88 |
7.8/2.8 |
1/0 |
17/19 |
23/30 |
242/238 |
0/0 |
1/4 |
10.1/7.0 |
707/326 |
8.4/5.0 |
09/17/16 Texas A&M |
16-29 |
-3.5
L
|
50/34 |
268/248 |
5.4/7.3 |
1/0 |
22/20 |
35/40 |
131/236 |
0/0 |
4/1 |
3.4/5.8 |
399/484 |
4.5/6.5 |
09/24/16 LSU |
18-13 |
+3.5
W
|
46/29 |
181/237 |
3.9/8.2 |
1/1 |
19/15 |
26/27 |
207/101 |
0/0 |
3/3 |
7.1/3.4 |
388/338 |
5.2/5.7 |
10/01/16 UL Monroe |
58-7 |
-32.5
W
|
64/30 |
358/119 |
5.6/4.0 |
1/1 |
15/19 |
18/33 |
261/133 |
0/1 |
1/2 |
13.7/3.8 |
619/252 |
7.5/3.9 |
10/08/16 @ Mississippi St. |
38-14 |
-2.5
W
|
53/29 |
252/132 |
4.8/4.6 |
1/2 |
14/18 |
18/35 |
194/165 |
1/1 |
2/3 |
9.7/4.3 |
446/297 |
6.1/4.4 |