Game Analysis
Lean – Under (46.5) – ALABAMA (-19.5) 29 Arkansas 10
Arkansas has been bad offensively this season, averaging just 5.2 yards per play against teams that would allow 6.0 yppl to an average team, and the Razorbacks have been even worse the last two weeks (3.7 yppl) without star TE Luke Hasz, who averaged 13.3 yards on 19 passes thrown to him before getting injured.
Alabama’s elite defense will dominate this game and Arkansas has a defense that’s been 1.0 yppl better than average (5.5 yppl allowed to teams that would combine to average 6.5 yppl against an average team), which isn’t much worse than Alabama’s +1.3 yppl rating this season with Jalen Milroe behind center.
Both teams are running their offense at a slow pace and I Lean Under at 45 points or more.
Rush
-
Run Plays
33.3
32.0
-
Run Yards
140.0
146.5
-
YPRP
4.2
4.6
Pass
-
Pass Comp
18.7
17.2
-
Pass Att
27.7
27.5
-
Comp %
67.5%
62.4%
-
Pass Yards
221.7
214.7
-
Sacks
4.0
2.7
-
Sack Yards
25.3
17.3
-
Sack %
12.6%
8.8%
-
Pass Plays
31.7
30.2
-
Net Pass Yards
196.3
197.3
-
YPPP
6.2
6.5
Total
-
Total Plays
65.0
62.2
-
Total Yards
336.3
343.8
-
YPPL
5.2
5.5
TO
-
Int
1.0
1.2
-
Int %
3.6%
4.3%
-
Fumbles
0.2
0.7
-
Turnovers
1.2
1.8
Rush
-
Run Plays
33.3
30.3
-
Run Yards
178.0
129.3
-
YPRP
5.3
4.3
Pass
-
Pass Comp
15.0
18.7
-
Pass Att
23.5
31.5
-
Comp %
63.8%
59.3%
-
Pass Yards
218.0
193.7
-
Sacks
4.5
3.7
-
Sack Yards
29.8
22.2
-
Sack %
16.1%
10.4%
-
Pass Plays
28.0
35.2
-
Net Pass Yards
188.2
171.5
-
YPPP
6.7
4.9
Total
-
Total Plays
61.3
65.5
-
Total Yards
366.2
300.8
-
YPPL
6.0
4.6
TO
-
Int
0.7
1.2
-
Int %
2.9%
3.7%
-
Fumbles
0.3
0.3
-
Turnovers
1.0
1.5
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/02/23 Western Carolina |
56-13 |
0.0
W
|
34/27 |
137/90 |
4.0/3.3 |
0/1 |
20/25 |
25/40 |
264/216 |
0/4 |
1/2 |
10.2/5.1 |
401/306 |
6.7/4.4 |
| 09/09/23 Kent State |
28-6 |
-38.0
L
|
43/29 |
187/76 |
4.3/2.6 |
0/0 |
13/11 |
19/17 |
121/124 |
0/1 |
2/7 |
5.8/5.2 |
308/200 |
4.8/3.8 |
| 09/16/23 BYU |
31-38 |
-8.0
L
|
35/28 |
196/95 |
5.6/3.4 |
1/1 |
24/14 |
35/26 |
223/186 |
1/0 |
4/3 |
5.7/6.4 |
419/281 |
5.7/4.9 |
| 09/23/23 @ LSU |
31-34 |
+17.5
W
|
33/27 |
164/198 |
5.0/7.3 |
0/0 |
21/20 |
31/29 |
262/311 |
2/1 |
4/2 |
7.5/10.0 |
426/509 |
6.3/8.8 |
| 09/30/23 Texas A&M |
22-34 |
+6.0
L
|
31/39 |
85/207 |
2.7/5.3 |
0/2 |
9/17 |
17/28 |
89/210 |
1/1 |
8/0 |
3.6/7.5 |
174/417 |
3.1/6.2 |
| 10/07/23 @ Mississippi |
20-27 |
+11.5
W
|
24/42 |
71/213 |
3.0/5.1 |
0/0 |
25/16 |
39/25 |
219/137 |
2/0 |
5/2 |
5.0/5.1 |
290/350 |
4.3/5.1 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/02/23 Middle Tenn St |
56-7 |
-39.0
W
|
38/23 |
221/103 |
5.8/4.5 |
0/1 |
17/24 |
24/35 |
210/110 |
0/1 |
2/3 |
8.1/2.9 |
431/213 |
6.7/3.5 |
| 09/09/23 Texas |
24-34 |
-7.0
L
|
30/34 |
138/111 |
4.6/3.3 |
0/0 |
14/24 |
27/38 |
224/349 |
2/0 |
5/0 |
7.0/9.2 |
362/460 |
5.8/6.4 |
| 09/16/23 @ South Florida |
17-3 |
-32.0
L
|
37/41 |
235/198 |
6.4/4.8 |
1/1 |
10/14 |
23/28 |
75/64 |
0/1 |
5/5 |
2.7/1.9 |
310/262 |
4.8/3.5 |
| 09/23/23 Mississippi |
24-10 |
-7.0
W
|
37/24 |
182/88 |
4.9/3.7 |
0/0 |
17/21 |
21/36 |
191/213 |
1/1 |
5/5 |
7.3/5.2 |
373/301 |
5.9/4.6 |
| 09/30/23 @ Mississippi St. |
40-17 |
-15.0
W
|
38/30 |
226/178 |
5.9/5.9 |
0/0 |
11/15 |
13/27 |
150/85 |
0/3 |
4/4 |
8.8/2.7 |
376/263 |
6.8/4.3 |
| 10/07/23 @ Texas A&M |
26-20 |
-2.0
W
|
20/30 |
66/98 |
3.3/3.3 |
1/0 |
21/14 |
33/25 |
279/208 |
1/1 |
6/5 |
7.2/6.9 |
345/306 |
5.8/5.1 |
Arkansas
@ 
Alabama