Game Analysis
Lean – Under (47.5) – Appalachian State (-17) 29 Alabama-Birmingham 15
I still don’t know which quarterback is starting for UAB, but the coach hinted that both Johnston and Hopkins would play so I decided to assume each would get 50% of the snaps. The math still leans with UAB as a huge underdog here, as the numbers favor Appalachian State by 14.9 points with a total of 44.3 points. A decent 58-23-4 ATS big bowl dog angle favors UAB here, so I’ll for a 14 point margin but I’d prefer the Under if I were t play this game. I will lean Under 47 points or less.
Rush
-
Run Plays
40.6
32.9
-
Run Yards
237.6
135.3
-
YPRP
6.0
4.5
Pass
-
Pass Comp
14.8
16.8
-
Pass Att
24.9
29.5
-
Comp %
59.5%
57.1%
-
Pass Yards
179.2
177.6
-
Sacks
1.3
2.2
-
Sack Yards
7.4
13.5
-
Sack %
5.1%
7.1%
-
Pass Plays
26.2
31.7
-
Net Pass Yards
171.8
164.1
-
YPPP
6.6
5.2
Total
-
Total Plays
66.8
64.6
-
Total Yards
416.8
312.9
-
YPPL
6.2
4.8
TO
-
Int
0.9
1.2
-
Int %
3.4%
4.2%
-
Fumbles
0.3
0.6
-
Turnovers
1.1
1.8
Rush
-
Run Plays
39.4
29.6
-
Run Yards
175.9
103.2
-
YPRP
4.8
4.2
Pass
-
Pass Comp
13.0
17.0
-
Pass Att
23.6
30.7
-
Comp %
55.2%
55.5%
-
Pass Yards
200.9
191.8
-
Sacks
1.9
3.2
-
Sack Yards
13.7
19.7
-
Sack %
7.6%
9.4%
-
Pass Plays
25.5
33.9
-
Net Pass Yards
187.2
172.1
-
YPPP
7.3
5.1
Total
-
Total Plays
64.9
63.5
-
Total Yards
376.7
295.0
-
YPPL
5.8
4.6
TO
-
Int
1.3
0.5
-
Int %
5.4%
1.7%
-
Fumbles
0.4
0.9
-
Turnovers
1.6
1.4
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2019 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/29/18 South Alabama |
52-7 |
-25.0
W
|
46/33 |
348/89 |
7.6/2.7 |
0/0 |
10/20 |
20/33 |
169/222 |
2/1 |
0/1 |
8.5/6.5 |
517/311 |
7.8/4.6 |
10/09/18 @ Arkansas St. |
35-9 |
-10.0
W
|
37/36 |
250/126 |
6.8/3.5 |
0/0 |
12/28 |
27/45 |
140/225 |
0/3 |
1/1 |
5.0/4.9 |
390/351 |
6.0/4.3 |
10/20/18 UL Lafayette |
27-17 |
-24.5
L
|
47/36 |
270/162 |
5.7/4.5 |
0/1 |
10/17 |
20/27 |
106/170 |
1/0 |
0/4 |
5.3/5.5 |
376/332 |
5.6/5.0 |
10/25/18 @ Georgia Southern |
14-34 |
-10.5
L
|
35/48 |
160/288 |
4.6/6.0 |
1/0 |
12/1 |
27/3 |
128/54 |
4/0 |
2/1 |
4.4/13.5 |
288/342 |
4.5/6.6 |
11/03/18 @ Coastal Carolina |
23-7 |
-14.0
W
|
54/22 |
293/89 |
5.4/4.0 |
0/0 |
9/14 |
19/26 |
112/79 |
2/1 |
2/4 |
5.3/2.6 |
405/168 |
5.4/3.2 |
11/10/18 @ Texas State |
38-7 |
-19.5
W
|
33/29 |
226/106 |
6.8/3.7 |
0/2 |
25/19 |
36/30 |
242/117 |
0/1 |
1/2 |
6.5/3.7 |
468/223 |
6.7/3.7 |
11/17/18 Georgia St. |
45-17 |
-28.0
T
|
36/33 |
237/198 |
6.6/6.0 |
0/0 |
22/10 |
26/21 |
287/132 |
0/2 |
3/0 |
9.9/6.3 |
524/330 |
8.1/6.1 |
11/24/18 Troy |
21-10 |
-11.0
T
|
42/25 |
211/63 |
5.0/2.5 |
1/2 |
12/17 |
24/33 |
104/144 |
0/2 |
1/3 |
4.2/4.0 |
315/207 |
4.7/3.4 |
12/01/18 UL Lafayette |
30-19 |
-17.0
L
|
39/43 |
242/218 |
6.2/5.1 |
0/0 |
6/10 |
13/22 |
62/85 |
0/2 |
3/0 |
3.9/3.9 |
304/303 |
5.5/4.7 |
12/15/18 Middle Tenn St |
45-13 |
-6.5
W
|
34/29 |
240/95 |
7.1/3.3 |
1/0 |
17/25 |
26/37 |
215/297 |
2/2 |
0/6 |
8.3/6.9 |
455/392 |
7.6/5.4 |
08/31/19 E Tennessee State |
42-7 |
0.0
W
|
41/35 |
277/135 |
6.8/3.9 |
0/1 |
17/17 |
25/27 |
167/155 |
0/0 |
0/2 |
6.7/5.3 |
444/290 |
6.7/4.5 |
09/07/19 Charlotte |
56-41 |
-23.0
L
|
34/35 |
301/264 |
8.9/7.5 |
0/1 |
14/20 |
20/31 |
161/270 |
0/1 |
3/4 |
7.0/7.7 |
462/534 |
8.1/7.6 |
09/21/19 @ North Carolina |
34-31 |
+2.5
W
|
33/37 |
174/171 |
5.3/4.6 |
0/1 |
20/27 |
29/41 |
211/302 |
1/2 |
2/3 |
6.8/6.9 |
385/473 |
6.0/5.8 |
09/28/19 Coastal Carolina |
56-37 |
-15.5
W
|
38/33 |
189/173 |
5.0/5.2 |
0/0 |
19/20 |
23/31 |
240/190 |
1/1 |
1/2 |
10.0/5.8 |
429/363 |
6.9/5.5 |
10/09/19 @ UL Lafayette |
17-7 |
+2.0
W
|
50/30 |
220/145 |
4.4/4.8 |
0/0 |
11/13 |
17/24 |
124/109 |
0/0 |
2/3 |
6.5/4.0 |
344/254 |
5.0/4.5 |
10/19/19 UL Monroe |
52-7 |
-15.5
W
|
52/28 |
304/109 |
5.8/3.9 |
1/1 |
19/13 |
32/27 |
231/122 |
1/2 |
0/1 |
7.2/4.4 |
535/231 |
6.4/4.1 |
10/26/19 @ South Alabama |
30-3 |
-27.5
L
|
43/35 |
326/113 |
7.6/3.2 |
0/1 |
16/6 |
28/19 |
125/37 |
0/0 |
2/3 |
4.2/1.7 |
451/150 |
6.2/2.6 |
10/31/19 Georgia Southern |
21-24 |
-17.5
L
|
29/55 |
154/337 |
5.3/6.1 |
0/0 |
25/1 |
51/4 |
269/16 |
0/0 |
1/0 |
5.2/4.0 |
423/353 |
5.2/6.0 |
11/09/19 @ South Carolina |
20-15 |
+6.0
W
|
38/24 |
119/45 |
3.1/1.9 |
0/0 |
9/32 |
16/57 |
83/301 |
1/1 |
3/3 |
4.4/5.0 |
202/346 |
3.5/4.1 |
11/16/19 @ Georgia St. |
56-27 |
-14.5
W
|
43/28 |
285/205 |
6.6/7.3 |
0/1 |
21/15 |
34/32 |
272/105 |
1/2 |
1/1 |
7.8/3.2 |
557/310 |
7.1/5.1 |
11/23/19 Texas State |
35-13 |
-28.5
L
|
49/21 |
280/86 |
5.7/4.1 |
1/0 |
9/18 |
17/34 |
189/134 |
0/1 |
0/3 |
11.1/3.6 |
469/220 |
7.1/3.8 |
11/29/19 @ Troy |
48-13 |
-11.5
W
|
37/19 |
194/74 |
5.2/3.9 |
0/0 |
29/27 |
35/46 |
334/286 |
1/2 |
0/4 |
9.5/5.7 |
528/360 |
7.3/5.2 |
12/07/19 UL Lafayette |
45-38 |
-6.5
W
|
46/37 |
308/183 |
6.7/4.9 |
1/2 |
9/24 |
17/46 |
133/339 |
0/1 |
3/1 |
6.7/7.2 |
441/522 |
6.7/6.2 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2019 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
10/06/18 @ Louisiana Tech |
28-7 |
+9.5
W
|
43/36 |
231/185 |
5.4/5.1 |
0/2 |
8/10 |
24/24 |
134/76 |
1/1 |
1/5 |
5.4/2.6 |
365/261 |
5.4/4.0 |
10/13/18 @ Rice |
42-0 |
-17.0
W
|
40/34 |
229/73 |
5.7/2.1 |
1/1 |
11/13 |
19/28 |
257/121 |
1/0 |
2/3 |
12.2/3.9 |
486/194 |
8.0/3.0 |
10/20/18 North Texas |
29-21 |
-1.5
W
|
43/19 |
227/77 |
5.3/4.1 |
1/1 |
14/29 |
22/40 |
163/323 |
0/0 |
4/4 |
6.3/7.3 |
390/400 |
5.7/6.3 |
10/27/18 @ UTEP |
19-0 |
-16.0
W
|
47/26 |
265/32 |
5.6/1.2 |
0/0 |
13/12 |
23/20 |
92/89 |
1/0 |
0/2 |
4.0/4.0 |
357/121 |
5.1/2.5 |
11/03/18 UTSA |
52-3 |
-21.5
W
|
52/26 |
420/86 |
8.1/3.3 |
0/1 |
10/15 |
17/35 |
249/129 |
1/1 |
0/0 |
14.6/3.7 |
669/215 |
9.7/3.5 |
11/10/18 Southern Miss |
26-23 |
-13.0
L
|
41/27 |
119/72 |
2.9/2.7 |
0/0 |
14/16 |
27/39 |
195/93 |
3/1 |
2/7 |
6.7/2.0 |
314/165 |
4.5/2.3 |
11/17/18 @ Texas A&M |
20-41 |
+17.0
L
|
33/33 |
142/258 |
4.3/7.8 |
1/1 |
25/11 |
39/20 |
288/188 |
2/0 |
3/1 |
6.9/9.0 |
430/446 |
5.7/8.3 |
11/24/18 @ Middle Tenn St |
3-27 |
-3.0
L
|
22/33 |
66/143 |
3.0/4.3 |
0/0 |
9/22 |
24/29 |
26/251 |
1/0 |
7/2 |
0.8/8.1 |
92/394 |
1.7/6.2 |
12/01/18 @ Middle Tenn St |
27-25 |
+1.0
W
|
50/22 |
243/113 |
4.9/5.1 |
0/0 |
9/29 |
15/45 |
125/343 |
1/2 |
2/2 |
7.4/7.3 |
368/456 |
5.5/6.6 |
12/18/18 @ Northern Ill |
37-13 |
-2.0
W
|
36/39 |
102/135 |
2.8/3.5 |
0/2 |
17/22 |
29/29 |
373/152 |
1/0 |
0/5 |
12.9/4.5 |
475/287 |
7.3/3.9 |
08/29/19 Alabama State |
24-19 |
0.0
W
|
43/29 |
183/168 |
4.3/5.8 |
2/1 |
8/19 |
19/32 |
119/95 |
0/1 |
0/3 |
6.3/2.7 |
302/263 |
4.9/4.1 |
09/07/19 @ Akron |
31-20 |
-8.5
W
|
33/24 |
83/54 |
2.5/2.3 |
0/2 |
15/25 |
24/44 |
319/339 |
1/0 |
0/5 |
13.3/6.9 |
402/393 |
7.1/5.4 |
09/21/19 South Alabama |
35-3 |
-11.0
W
|
44/26 |
207/133 |
4.7/5.1 |
0/0 |
22/8 |
27/15 |
307/58 |
1/0 |
1/5 |
11.0/2.9 |
514/191 |
7.1/4.2 |
09/28/19 @ Western Kentucky |
13-20 |
-3.0
L
|
36/23 |
142/65 |
3.9/2.8 |
0/1 |
18/15 |
31/24 |
156/175 |
4/0 |
3/2 |
4.6/6.7 |
298/240 |
4.3/4.9 |
10/05/19 Rice |
35-20 |
-10.5
W
|
34/33 |
136/166 |
4.0/5.0 |
0/4 |
14/16 |
26/36 |
275/137 |
2/0 |
1/4 |
10.2/3.4 |
411/303 |
6.7/4.2 |
10/12/19 @ UTSA |
33-14 |
-12.5
W
|
38/33 |
208/130 |
5.5/3.9 |
1/2 |
17/8 |
26/20 |
288/87 |
1/0 |
1/1 |
10.7/4.1 |
496/217 |
7.6/4.0 |
10/19/19 Old Dominion |
38-14 |
-17.0
W
|
42/26 |
183/93 |
4.4/3.6 |
1/2 |
15/8 |
29/26 |
256/89 |
1/1 |
1/6 |
8.5/2.8 |
439/182 |
6.1/3.1 |
11/02/19 @ Tennessee |
7-30 |
+13.0
L
|
21/37 |
79/139 |
3.8/3.8 |
1/0 |
14/16 |
30/27 |
155/168 |
3/1 |
3/2 |
4.7/5.8 |
234/307 |
4.3/4.7 |
11/09/19 @ Southern Miss |
2-37 |
+7.5
L
|
29/30 |
98/185 |
3.4/6.2 |
0/1 |
15/17 |
25/22 |
75/139 |
2/0 |
4/4 |
2.6/5.3 |
173/324 |
3.0/5.8 |
11/16/19 UTEP |
37-10 |
-17.0
W
|
46/27 |
287/107 |
6.2/4.0 |
0/0 |
5/16 |
10/41 |
92/205 |
0/1 |
1/2 |
8.4/4.8 |
379/312 |
6.6/4.5 |
11/23/19 Louisiana Tech |
20-14 |
-6.5
L
|
42/29 |
171/104 |
4.1/3.6 |
0/0 |
11/16 |
21/34 |
180/166 |
1/0 |
1/2 |
8.2/4.6 |
351/270 |
5.5/4.2 |
11/30/19 @ North Texas |
26-21 |
-3.5
W
|
42/28 |
227/78 |
5.4/2.8 |
1/0 |
7/22 |
13/34 |
86/218 |
0/2 |
3/7 |
5.4/5.3 |
313/296 |
5.4/4.3 |
12/07/19 @ Florida Atl. |
6-49 |
+8.5
L
|
37/42 |
163/286 |
4.4/6.8 |
0/0 |
8/18 |
18/39 |
65/274 |
2/1 |
3/0 |
3.1/7.0 |
228/560 |
3.9/6.9 |