Game Analysis
Akron (-17 ½) 41 BUFFALO 23
Akron is even better offensively with Thomas Woodson (67% completions and 7.9 yards per pass play) back from injury and Buffalo is much worse defensively than their statistics reveal, as the 6.0 yards per play the Bulls have allowed has been to a collection of mostly bad offensive teams that would combine to average only 4.8 yppl against an average defensive team. On the other side of the ball, Akon’s defense (0.9 yppl worse than average) is nearly as bad as Buffalo’s offense (-1.3 yppl), so the Bulls should score a decent number of points. I don’t like either side in this game but my math model favors the over (57 points).
Rush
-
Run Plays
26.6
43.6
-
Run Yards
133.1
231.7
-
YPRP
5.5
5.5
Pass
-
Pass Comp
19.0
21.7
-
Pass Att
32.7
35.0
-
Comp %
58.1%
62.0%
-
Pass Yards
254.0
264.3
-
Sacks
2.1
1.4
-
Sack Yards
12.0
9.9
-
Sack %
6.1%
3.9%
-
Pass Plays
34.9
36.4
-
Net Pass Yards
242.0
254.4
-
YPPP
6.9
7.0
Total
-
Total Plays
61.4
80.0
-
Total Yards
387.1
496.0
-
YPPL
6.3
6.2
TO
-
Int
1.0
0.9
-
Int %
3.1%
2.5%
-
Fumbles
0.6
0.6
-
Turnovers
1.6
1.4
Rush
-
Run Plays
32.3
51.9
-
Run Yards
141.9
292.4
-
YPRP
4.6
5.9
Pass
-
Pass Comp
18.3
12.1
-
Pass Att
34.0
21.1
-
Comp %
53.8%
57.4%
-
Pass Yards
184.4
155.4
-
Sacks
1.1
1.1
-
Sack Yards
7.3
11.1
-
Sack %
3.2%
5.1%
-
Pass Plays
35.1
22.3
-
Net Pass Yards
177.1
144.3
-
YPPP
5.0
6.5
Total
-
Total Plays
67.4
74.1
-
Total Yards
326.3
447.9
-
YPPL
4.8
6.0
TO
-
Int
1.1
0.6
-
Int %
3.4%
2.7%
-
Fumbles
0.4
0.6
-
Turnovers
1.6
1.1
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/03/16 Virginia Military |
47-24 |
0.0
W
|
28/42 |
161/112 |
5.8/2.7 |
1/0 |
25/28 |
38/37 |
418/293 |
1/0 |
1/2 |
10.7/7.5 |
579/405 |
8.6/5.0 |
| 09/10/16 @ Wisconsin |
10-54 |
+23.5
L
|
17/54 |
96/300 |
5.6/5.6 |
1/0 |
14/20 |
25/27 |
116/286 |
1/0 |
4/1 |
4.0/10.2 |
212/586 |
4.6/7.1 |
| 09/17/16 @ Marshall |
65-38 |
+17.5
W
|
28/35 |
155/135 |
5.5/3.9 |
1/1 |
21/33 |
32/59 |
368/429 |
0/3 |
2/3 |
10.8/6.9 |
523/564 |
8.4/5.8 |
| 09/24/16 Appalachian State |
38-45 |
+6.0
L
|
22/47 |
157/313 |
7.1/6.7 |
0/1 |
31/22 |
43/30 |
329/280 |
2/0 |
4/0 |
7.0/9.3 |
486/593 |
7.0/7.7 |
| 10/01/16 @ Kent State |
31-27 |
-7.0
L
|
30/38 |
147/163 |
4.9/4.3 |
1/0 |
11/19 |
28/36 |
231/260 |
2/0 |
2/3 |
7.7/6.7 |
378/423 |
6.3/5.5 |
| 10/08/16 Miami Ohio |
35-13 |
-11.5
W
|
35/32 |
128/141 |
3.7/4.4 |
0/1 |
15/14 |
29/28 |
174/137 |
0/2 |
0/2 |
6.0/4.6 |
302/278 |
4.7/4.5 |
| 10/15/16 Western Mich |
0-41 |
+12.0
L
|
25/55 |
154/383 |
6.2/7.0 |
0/1 |
13/21 |
31/31 |
129/202 |
2/0 |
3/1 |
3.8/6.3 |
283/585 |
4.8/6.7 |
| 10/22/16 @ Ball St. |
35-25 |
+3.5
W
|
29/44 |
179/256 |
6.2/5.8 |
1/0 |
28/23 |
41/34 |
347/187 |
0/1 |
0/0 |
8.5/5.5 |
526/443 |
7.5/5.7 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/02/16 Albany |
16-22 |
0.0
L
|
45/29 |
243/142 |
5.4/4.9 |
1/0 |
17/14 |
34/21 |
159/98 |
3/0 |
3/2 |
4.3/4.3 |
402/240 |
4.9/4.6 |
| 09/17/16 @ Nevada |
14-38 |
+11.0
L
|
35/63 |
231/354 |
6.6/5.6 |
0/0 |
7/17 |
23/25 |
130/169 |
0/0 |
0/0 |
5.7/6.8 |
361/523 |
6.2/5.9 |
| 09/24/16 Army |
23-20 |
+13.5
W
|
32/66 |
88/404 |
2.8/6.1 |
0/1 |
20/4 |
31/10 |
178/42 |
1/1 |
0/1 |
5.7/3.8 |
266/446 |
4.2/5.8 |
| 10/01/16 @ Boston College |
3-35 |
+19.0
L
|
17/54 |
39/173 |
2.3/3.2 |
1/2 |
10/15 |
23/27 |
32/239 |
0/0 |
1/2 |
1.3/8.2 |
71/412 |
1.7/5.0 |
| 10/08/16 Kent State |
20-44 |
+1.0
L
|
36/42 |
131/370 |
3.6/8.8 |
1/0 |
21/7 |
40/13 |
250/63 |
0/0 |
1/2 |
6.1/4.2 |
381/433 |
4.9/7.6 |
| 10/15/16 Ball St. |
21-31 |
+10.5
W
|
34/58 |
163/370 |
4.8/6.4 |
0/1 |
28/12 |
46/22 |
302/200 |
0/2 |
1/1 |
6.4/8.7 |
465/570 |
5.7/7.0 |
| 10/22/16 @ Northern Ill |
7-44 |
+21.5
L
|
27/51 |
149/312 |
5.5/6.1 |
0/0 |
25/16 |
41/30 |
189/199 |
4/1 |
2/0 |
4.4/6.6 |
338/511 |
4.8/6.3 |
Akron
@ 
Buffalo