Game Analysis
Lean – Air Force (+7) 20 BOISE STATE 23
The best of Boise State’s two quarterbacks is out, which is more significant that Air Force QB Larrier still being out, given that the Falcons only throw the ball about 7 times per game. Too much has been made of the recent slump by Air Force and my math model sees value on the Falcons. Lean with Air Force at +7 or more.
Rush
-
Run Plays
56.5
24.5
-
Run Yards
312.8
104.8
-
YPRP
5.5
4.3
Pass
-
Pass Comp
3.5
18.3
-
Pass Att
6.3
29.6
-
Comp %
56.0%
61.6%
-
Pass Yards
72.4
210.3
-
Sacks
0.6
2.4
-
Sack Yards
3.3
16.1
-
Sack %
9.2%
7.4%
-
Pass Plays
6.9
32.0
-
Net Pass Yards
69.1
194.1
-
YPPP
10.0
6.1
Total
-
Total Plays
63.4
56.5
-
Total Yards
381.9
298.9
-
YPPL
6.0
5.3
TO
-
Int
0.4
0.6
-
Int %
6.1%
2.1%
-
Fumbles
0.6
0.3
-
Turnovers
1.0
0.9
Rush
-
Run Plays
37.8
28.0
-
Run Yards
218.3
139.5
-
YPRP
5.8
5.0
Pass
-
Pass Comp
16.1
20.3
-
Pass Att
28.4
32.4
-
Comp %
56.7%
62.6%
-
Pass Yards
224.2
262.1
-
Sacks
1.1
2.8
-
Sack Yards
5.9
17.3
-
Sack %
3.7%
8.0%
-
Pass Plays
29.5
35.2
-
Net Pass Yards
218.3
244.8
-
YPPP
7.4
7.0
Total
-
Total Plays
67.3
63.2
-
Total Yards
436.5
384.4
-
YPPL
6.5
6.1
TO
-
Int
0.8
0.7
-
Int %
2.9%
2.3%
-
Fumbles
0.6
0.6
-
Turnovers
1.5
1.4
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/02/23 Robert Morris |
42-7 |
0.0
W
|
56/23 |
379/65 |
6.8/2.8 |
1/2 |
2/18 |
3/24 |
95/99 |
0/0 |
0/2 |
31.7/3.8 |
474/164 |
8.0/3.3 |
09/09/23 @ Sam Houston State |
13-3 |
-13.5
L
|
55/26 |
246/74 |
4.5/2.8 |
1/0 |
1/8 |
3/14 |
3/6 |
0/0 |
2/4 |
0.6/0.3 |
249/80 |
4.2/1.8 |
09/15/23 Utah St. |
39-21 |
-9.5
W
|
63/21 |
351/83 |
5.6/4.0 |
0/1 |
3/20 |
4/35 |
77/219 |
0/1 |
1/5 |
15.4/5.5 |
428/302 |
6.3/5.0 |
09/22/23 @ San Jose St. |
45-20 |
-3.5
W
|
72/16 |
402/116 |
5.6/7.3 |
0/0 |
2/24 |
2/35 |
28/232 |
0/1 |
0/0 |
14.0/6.6 |
430/348 |
5.8/6.8 |
09/30/23 San Diego St. |
49-10 |
-10.5
W
|
49/29 |
292/112 |
6.0/3.9 |
0/0 |
6/13 |
7/24 |
189/115 |
0/1 |
0/1 |
27.0/4.6 |
481/227 |
8.6/4.2 |
10/14/23 Wyoming |
34-27 |
-11.0
L
|
52/32 |
358/129 |
6.9/4.0 |
2/0 |
6/15 |
9/25 |
58/198 |
0/0 |
0/3 |
6.4/7.1 |
416/327 |
6.8/5.5 |
10/21/23 @ Navy |
17-6 |
-10.0
W
|
44/29 |
143/46 |
3.3/1.6 |
1/0 |
4/15 |
5/29 |
148/82 |
0/2 |
2/4 |
21.1/2.5 |
291/128 |
5.7/2.1 |
10/28/23 @ Colorado St. |
30-13 |
-14.0
W
|
53/17 |
268/61 |
5.1/3.6 |
0/1 |
4/28 |
7/45 |
31/281 |
0/0 |
1/2 |
3.9/6.0 |
299/342 |
4.9/5.3 |
11/04/23 Army |
3-23 |
-17.5
L
|
38/49 |
167/217 |
4.4/4.4 |
4/0 |
10/4 |
24/9 |
89/40 |
2/0 |
2/0 |
3.4/4.4 |
256/257 |
4.0/4.4 |
11/11/23 @ Hawaii |
13-27 |
-19.5
L
|
47/27 |
213/127 |
4.5/4.7 |
1/0 |
3/22 |
9/29 |
114/171 |
3/0 |
0/1 |
12.7/5.7 |
327/298 |
5.8/5.2 |
11/18/23 UNLV |
27-31 |
-3.0
L
|
61/28 |
372/136 |
6.1/4.9 |
1/0 |
3/16 |
9/30 |
53/331 |
0/2 |
1/3 |
5.3/10.0 |
425/467 |
6.0/7.7 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/02/23 @ Washington |
19-56 |
+14.0
L
|
27/17 |
141/85 |
5.2/5.0 |
0/0 |
23/31 |
46/42 |
272/463 |
2/0 |
1/1 |
5.8/10.8 |
413/548 |
5.6/9.1 |
09/09/23 UCF |
16-18 |
+3.5
W
|
37/41 |
188/258 |
5.1/6.3 |
0/0 |
14/16 |
27/24 |
196/272 |
1/2 |
2/0 |
6.8/11.3 |
384/530 |
5.8/8.2 |
09/16/23 North Dakota |
42-18 |
0.0
W
|
34/28 |
152/102 |
4.5/3.6 |
2/2 |
20/18 |
32/31 |
203/104 |
1/0 |
1/6 |
6.2/2.8 |
355/206 |
5.3/3.2 |
09/22/23 @ San Diego St. |
34-31 |
-6.5
L
|
38/39 |
254/172 |
6.7/4.4 |
0/2 |
12/17 |
22/23 |
151/251 |
0/0 |
1/1 |
6.6/10.5 |
405/423 |
6.6/6.7 |
09/30/23 @ Memphis |
32-35 |
+3.5
W
|
31/32 |
146/185 |
4.7/5.8 |
0/0 |
23/18 |
38/28 |
373/266 |
0/0 |
1/2 |
9.6/8.9 |
519/451 |
7.4/7.3 |
10/07/23 San Jose St. |
35-27 |
-9.5
L
|
39/23 |
272/120 |
7.0/5.2 |
2/0 |
13/23 |
24/38 |
221/309 |
1/1 |
2/3 |
8.5/7.5 |
493/429 |
7.6/6.7 |
10/14/23 @ Colorado St. |
30-24 |
-8.5
L
|
42/19 |
244/60 |
5.8/3.2 |
1/0 |
15/31 |
24/53 |
138/308 |
2/1 |
0/2 |
5.8/5.6 |
382/368 |
5.8/5.0 |
10/28/23 Wyoming |
32-7 |
-4.5
W
|
50/21 |
220/57 |
4.4/2.7 |
2/0 |
15/10 |
21/21 |
216/55 |
0/1 |
0/3 |
10.3/2.3 |
436/112 |
6.1/2.5 |
11/04/23 @ Fresno St. |
30-37 |
+2.5
L
|
32/27 |
186/151 |
5.8/5.6 |
0/0 |
23/25 |
44/40 |
281/291 |
2/1 |
2/1 |
6.1/7.1 |
467/442 |
6.0/6.5 |
11/11/23 New Mexico |
42-14 |
-27.0
W
|
40/28 |
234/145 |
5.9/5.2 |
0/1 |
11/17 |
17/26 |
258/179 |
0/0 |
1/3 |
14.3/6.2 |
492/324 |
8.5/5.7 |
11/18/23 @ Utah St. |
45-10 |
-3.5
W
|
46/33 |
364/200 |
7.9/6.1 |
0/2 |
8/17 |
17/30 |
92/195 |
0/2 |
1/9 |
5.1/5.0 |
456/395 |
7.1/5.5 |