Game Analysis

Opinion – NORTHWESTERN (-4 ½) over Creighton

Rotation #736 – 6 pm Pacific

Creighton’s performance level declined significantly last season after senior PG Maurice Watson Jr. and his incredible 8.5 assists per game was log for the season after 19 games. Watson is gone and last year’s super-freshman C Justin Patton is now in the NBA as the 16h overall pick in this year’s draft. Creighton played well in their first two games this season but the Bluejays aren’t likely to be as good and Northwestern should be better this season with all their key players back from last year’s 24-12 squad that lost by just 6 points to national finalist Gonzaga in the 2^nd round of the NCAA Tournament.

Northwestern hasn’t looked so good thus far in beating Loyola-Maryland and St. Peter’s by an average of just 8.5 points but a lot of that is due to negative 3-point shooting variance (29.7% to 41.9% allowed). My ratings favor Northwestern by 5 points and Creighton applies to a negative 55-120-7 ATS road underdog letdown situation that is based on their high-scoring win over Alcorn State (109 points scored). I’ll lean with Northwestern at -5 points or less based on that situation.

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