Game Analysis

Opinion – OREGON (-16 ½) over Boise State

Rotation #526 – 8 pm Pacific

Oregon has not performed nearly as well as expected so far this season but the Ducks were without last season’s leading scorer Dillon Brooks for the first 3 games of the season and he’s played limited minutes off the bench in the 3 games last week. Brooks should play more minutes and the Ducks should be motivated by last season’s 72-74 December loss at Boise State. Oregon applies to a very good 43-6-1 ATS subset of a 144-74-4 ATS non-conference home favorite revenge situation. My preseason ratings would have favored Oregon by 19 points and my updated ratings favor the Ducks by 16 ½ points, so the line on this game is fair. I’ll lean with Oregon at -17 or less and I’d take the Ducks in a 1-Star Best Bet at -16 points or less.