Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals Matchup Analysis

Game Analysis

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The Ravens will play their normal starters and the Bengals will sit A.J. Green, Tyler Eifert and Vontaze Burfict causing the Ravens to move from dog to favorite. Fat Randy was finally able to win a game for the Texans last week, missing a last-second field goal for a win (and cover). The (5-9-1) Bengals have continued to show effort despite being out of the playoffs for a few weeks. Lean to Bengals (+1.5), below model threshold.

Team Stats
Game Log

Ravens
Bengals

BAL

Offense

Defense

Pass

Pass Plays 43.5 38.5
Succ Pass Plays 42.8% 46.8%
Sack Rate 5.0% 5.5%
Int Rate 2.3% 3.2%
Deep Pass Rate 15.1% 19.0%
Big Pass Yards 33.7% 39.5%
NYPP 5.9 6.1

Rush

Rush Plays 24.3 23.5
RB YPR 3.9 3.5
Stuff Rate 25.1% 28.6%
Succ Rush Plays 42.3% 37.4%
Big Rush Yards 38.1% 36.6%
Yards Per Rush 3.9 3.5

Game

All Snaps 67.9 62.0
Early Down Succ 45.1% 46.5%
Succ Rate 42.2% 44.0%
Big Yards Rate 37.3% 39.9%
Yards Per Play 5.2 5.1
Fumble Lost Rate 1.3% 1.1%
Time Per Play (sec) 25.5 26.6
Run Ratio 35.7% 37.8%
Starting Field Pos 28.8 27.9
Game Control 2.4 -2.4

Points 22.2 19.6

CIN

Offense

Defense

Pass

Pass Plays 38.3 38.0
Succ Pass Plays 47.5% 44.1%
Sack Rate 7.1% 5.8%
Int Rate 1.6% 2.6%
Deep Pass Rate 18.8% 13.4%
Big Pass Yards 38.8% 36.1%
NYPP 6.6 6.2

Rush

Rush Plays 27.6 27.4
RB YPR 3.7 4.2
Stuff Rate 22.5% 20.6%
Succ Rush Plays 46.7% 43.2%
Big Rush Yards 33.7% 41.9%
Yards Per Rush 3.9 4.3

Game

All Snaps 65.9 65.4
Early Down Succ 49.7% 46.4%
Succ Rate 47.6% 43.7%
Big Yards Rate 39.5% 41.0%
Yards Per Play 5.4 5.4
Fumble Lost Rate 0.9% 0.4%
Time Per Play (sec) 27.7 28.4
Run Ratio 41.9% 42.1%
Starting Field Pos 26.7 27.3
Game Control 0.6 -0.6

Points 19.9 20.3

* game log stats denoted as Off/Def

2016 Game Log				PASS				RUSH			GAMES
Wk	Opp	Score	Game Control	Succ Pass Plays	Sack Rate	Int Rate	NYPP	Succ Rush Plays	Stuff Rate	Yds per Rush	All Snaps	Early Down Succ	Succ Rate	Big Yards Rate	Yds per Play	Fum Lost Rate	Run Ratio	Starting Field Pos
1	BUF	13 – 7 W	3.5	44.7% / 37.5%	10.5% / 8.3%	0.0% / 0.0%	5.9 / 4.0	35.5% / 45.8%	22.6% / 41.7%	2.8 / 2.7	69 / 48	45.8% / 45.5%	40.6% / 41.7%	47.9% / 38.8%	4.5 / 3.3	1.4% / 0.0%	44.9% / 50.0%	23.1 / 31.9
2	@CLE	25 – 20 W	-7.1	46.7% / 47.2%	0.0% / 8.3%	4.4% / 6.1%	6.7 / 6.7	30.8% / 26.1%	19.2% / 43.5%	3.1 / 6.3	71 / 59	35.2% / 32.6%	40.8% / 39.0%	37.2% / 53.2%	5.4 / 6.6	0.0% / 0.0%	36.6% / 39.0%	27.5 / 25.7
3	@JAC	19 – 17 W	4.2	47.6% / 47.6%	4.8% / 9.5%	5.0% / 7.9%	4.7 / 4.0	39.1% / 33.3%	4.3% / 33.3%	3.7 / 2.3	65 / 63	51.0% / 44.7%	44.6% / 42.9%	20.8% / 9.3%	4.4 / 3.4	1.5% / 0.0%	35.4% / 33.3%	28.4 / 36.4
4	OAK	27 – 28 L	-4.6	39.6% / 42.9%	3.8% / 0.0%	0.0% / 0.0%	5.3 / 5.7	53.8% / 20.0%	7.7% / 25.0%	5.0 / 3.2	79 / 55	48.3% / 40.0%	44.3% / 34.5%	33.3% / 19.4%	5.2 / 4.8	1.3% / 1.8%	32.9% / 36.4%	28.0 / 37.2
5	WAS	10 – 16 L	0.1	36.0% / 61.0%	6.0% / 2.4%	0.0% / 2.5%	3.8 / 6.1	57.9% / 33.3%	31.6% / 23.8%	6.2 / 2.9	69 / 62	49.0% / 60.9%	42.0% / 51.6%	24.2% / 31.8%	4.4 / 5.0	1.4% / 1.6%	27.5% / 33.9%	26.2 / 24.5
6	@NYG	23 – 27 L	2.9	32.0% / 53.2%	4.0% / 2.1%	0.0% / 4.3%	5.9 / 8.4	53.8% / 35.3%	34.6% / 23.5%	3.8 / 2.2	76 / 64	42.9% / 51.1%	39.5% / 48.4%	45.5% / 47.8%	5.1 / 6.8	0.0% / 1.6%	34.2% / 26.6%	33.3 / 20.1
7	@NYJ	16 – 24 L	0.4	34.1% / 37.0%	2.3% / 18.5%	4.7% / 0.0%	5.4 / 7.0	8.3% / 37.5%	58.3% / 15.0%	0.5 / 3.9	56 / 67	31.0% / 38.8%	28.6% / 37.3%	41.6% / 59.4%	4.4 / 5.1	1.8% / 3.0%	21.4% / 59.7%	25.3 / 32.3
9	PIT	21 – 14 W	9.0	33.3% / 31.9%	9.1% / 4.3%	3.3% / 2.2%	6.8 / 5.1	19.4% / 21.1%	35.5% / 36.8%	1.7 / 1.9	64 / 66	30.2% / 30.4%	26.6% / 28.8%	50.4% / 51.8%	4.3 / 4.2	0.0% / 0.0%	48.4% / 28.8%	30.9 / 24.4
10	CLE	28 – 7 W	5.3	54.8% / 37.1%	4.8% / 11.4%	5.0% / 6.5%	6.6 / 3.2	37.8% / 23.1%	21.6% / 30.8%	3.3 / 2.5	79 / 48	48.4% / 36.8%	46.8% / 33.3%	35.9% / 31.3%	5.0 / 3.0	0.0% / 2.1%	46.8% / 27.1%	38.4 / 18.1
11	@DAL	17 – 27 L	-1.5	50.0% / 70.3%	2.8% / 2.7%	0.0% / 0.0%	7.4 / 8.1	68.8% / 40.0%	31.3% / 20.0%	6.3 / 3.9	52 / 67	60.5% / 56.4%	55.8% / 56.7%	37.5% / 27.6%	7.1 / 6.2	0.0% / 0.0%	30.8% / 44.8%	21.2 / 25.0
12	CIN	19 – 14 W	8.5	40.5% / 43.1%	5.4% / 5.9%	2.9% / 0.0%	5.9 / 5.1	36.7% / 25.0%	30.0% / 40.0%	3.1 / 3.2	67 / 71	40.0% / 38.9%	38.8% / 38.0%	25.1% / 44.0%	4.6 / 4.6	0.0% / 2.8%	44.8% / 28.2%	25.8 / 27.0
13	MIA	38 – 6 W	18.6	57.1% / 42.9%	0.0% / 4.8%	2.0% / 7.5%	7.9 / 5.1	52.2% / 31.3%	4.3% / 50.0%	4.9 / 3.9	72 / 58	61.1% / 42.2%	55.6% / 39.7%	36.1% / 32.9%	6.9 / 4.8	1.4% / 0.0%	31.9% / 27.6%	28.7 / 30.8
14	@NE	23 – 30 L	-8.9	40.7% / 51.3%	3.7% / 2.6%	1.9% / 2.6%	5.7 / 10.3	50.0% / 59.3%	28.6% / 11.1%	3.0 / 3.6	68 / 66	44.2% / 57.4%	42.6% / 54.5%	37.9% / 54.3%	5.1 / 7.5	0.0% / 3.0%	20.6% / 40.9%	28.7 / 27.3
15	PHI	27 – 26 W	5.0	40.6% / 34.9%	9.4% / 2.3%	3.4% / 2.4%	5.9 / 3.7	36.0% / 51.3%	28.0% / 25.6%	6.1 / 4.4	57 / 82	40.9% / 44.1%	38.6% / 42.7%	61.3% / 46.5%	6.0 / 4.0	1.8% / 0.0%	43.9% / 47.6%	29.3 / 35.9
16	@PIT	27 – 31 L	-0.0	43.8% / 64.5%	8.3% / 0.0%	2.3% / 6.5%	5.1 / 9.0	53.8% / 78.3%	19.2% / 8.7%	4.7 / 5.6	74 / 54	48.1% / 77.8%	47.3% / 70.4%	25.5% / 49.9%	5.0 / 7.5	9.5% / 0.0%	35.1% / 42.6%	37.5 / 21.5

* game log stats denoted as Off/Def

2016 Game Log				PASS				RUSH			GAMES
Wk	Opp	Score	Game Control	Succ Pass Plays	Sack Rate	Int Rate	NYPP	Succ Rush Plays	Stuff Rate	Yds per Rush	All Snaps	Early Down Succ	Succ Rate	Big Yards Rate	Yds per Play	Fum Lost Rate	Run Ratio	Starting Field Pos
1	@NYJ	23 – 22 W	-1.8	48.6% / 36.1%	18.9% / 2.8%	3.3% / 2.9%	8.8 / 5.2	42.1% / 56.7%	26.3% / 16.7%	3.1 / 5.1	56 / 66	52.3% / 48.1%	46.4% / 45.5%	68.6% / 40.6%	6.8 / 5.2	0.0% / 0.0%	33.9% / 45.5%	26.2 / 33.5
2	@PIT	16 – 24 L	-6.0	50.9% / 42.1%	1.8% / 2.6%	0.0% / 5.4%	6.7 / 6.6	22.2% / 41.7%	27.8% / 30.6%	2.6 / 3.4	73 / 74	48.2% / 42.9%	43.8% / 41.9%	42.5% / 43.3%	5.6 / 5.1	2.7% / 0.0%	24.7% / 48.6%	18.9 / 30.8
3	DEN	17 – 29 L	-0.6	45.7% / 54.1%	11.4% / 5.4%	3.2% / 0.0%	5.4 / 8.2	56.7% / 29.2%	16.7% / 33.3%	4.8 / 2.2	65 / 61	57.1% / 44.7%	50.8% / 44.3%	46.5% / 38.8%	5.1 / 5.8	1.5% / 1.6%	46.2% / 39.3%	30.4 / 26.1
4	MIA	22 – 7 W	7.4	46.9% / 26.7%	3.1% / 16.7%	0.0% / 4.0%	8.9 / 5.3	24.4% / 30.8%	31.7% / 7.7%	2.0 / 4.8	73 / 43	42.0% / 32.3%	34.2% / 27.9%	42.9% / 59.5%	5.0 / 5.2	0.0% / 2.3%	56.2% / 30.2%	30.8 / 22.7
5	@DAL	14 – 28 L	-17.7	51.1% / 56.0%	8.9% / 4.0%	0.0% / 0.0%	5.5 / 8.9	52.6% / 41.2%	5.3% / 14.7%	5.1 / 5.4	64 / 59	52.9% / 55.8%	51.6% / 47.5%	23.5% / 48.3%	5.4 / 6.9	0.0% / 1.7%	29.7% / 57.6%	22.0 / 26.2
6	@NE	17 – 35 L	-4.4	48.5% / 60.5%	6.1% / 7.9%	0.0% / 0.0%	7.2 / 9.4	53.1% / 39.1%	28.1% / 26.1%	3.8 / 3.4	65 / 61	52.9% / 54.0%	50.8% / 52.5%	48.2% / 51.5%	5.5 / 7.2	0.0% / 0.0%	49.2% / 37.7%	22.9 / 28.0
7	CLE	31 – 17 W	8.9	48.4% / 43.2%	9.7% / 5.4%	0.0% / 5.7%	9.3 / 4.6	63.3% / 53.8%	10.0% / 19.2%	9.0 / 6.9	61 / 63	56.9% / 49.0%	55.7% / 47.6%	57.8% / 44.6%	9.2 / 5.6	1.6% / 0.0%	49.2% / 41.3%	20.0 / 26.8
8	WAS	27 – 27 T	0.1	48.9% / 50.9%	6.7% / 1.8%	2.4% / 1.8%	5.8 / 7.8	63.9% / 50.0%	8.3% / 18.8%	4.2 / 3.2	81 / 89	54.5% / 54.4%	55.6% / 50.6%	24.1% / 40.8%	5.1 / 6.1	1.2% / 0.0%	44.4% / 36.0%	26.3 / 25.0
10	@NYG	20 – 21 L	0.8	28.1% / 44.4%	9.4% / 2.2%	3.4% / 4.5%	5.8 / 5.1	43.5% / 34.5%	26.1% / 13.8%	3.4 / 4.3	55 / 74	39.5% / 42.6%	34.5% / 40.5%	48.1% / 26.9%	4.8 / 4.8	0.0% / 0.0%	41.8% / 39.2%	33.3 / 26.3
11	BUF	12 – 16 L	-2.0	46.5% / 41.4%	2.3% / 6.9%	4.8% / 3.7%	4.8 / 5.5	51.9% / 58.8%	25.9% / 14.7%	3.4 / 5.4	70 / 63	47.3% / 56.0%	48.6% / 50.8%	19.3% / 40.9%	4.3 / 5.4	0.0% / 0.0%	38.6% / 54.0%	23.3 / 33.2
12	@BAL	14 – 19 L	-8.5	43.1% / 40.5%	5.9% / 5.4%	0.0% / 2.9%	5.1 / 5.9	25.0% / 36.7%	40.0% / 30.0%	3.2 / 3.1	71 / 67	38.9% / 40.0%	38.0% / 38.8%	44.0% / 25.1%	4.6 / 4.6	2.8% / 0.0%	28.2% / 44.8%	27.0 / 25.8
13	PHI	32 – 14 W	14.9	61.3% / 44.3%	0.0% / 1.6%	0.0% / 5.0%	10.7 / 5.0	35.3% / 50.0%	29.4% / 15.0%	2.4 / 2.7	65 / 81	46.9% / 45.6%	47.7% / 45.7%	46.7% / 19.7%	6.4 / 4.4	3.1% / 0.0%	52.3% / 24.7%	31.5 / 32.4
14	@CLE	23 – 10 W	13.2	50.0% / 32.3%	12.5% / 9.7%	0.0% / 3.6%	4.6 / 2.7	68.4% / 54.5%	5.3% / 22.7%	5.6 / 7.7	70 / 53	61.8% / 39.5%	60.0% / 41.5%	22.5% / 52.4%	5.1 / 4.8	0.0% / 0.0%	54.3% / 41.5%	33.7 / 16.9
15	PIT	20 – 24 L	4.9	46.4% / 52.8%	3.6% / 2.8%	3.7% / 0.0%	5.2 / 7.9	50.0% / 41.2%	35.7% / 20.6%	2.7 / 2.9	56 / 70	46.5% / 56.0%	48.2% / 47.1%	21.2% / 50.1%	4.0 / 5.5	0.0% / 0.0%	50.0% / 48.6%	30.4 / 30.2
16	@HOU	10 – 12 L	0.0	47.7% / 36.4%	6.8% / 12.1%	2.4% / 0.0%	5.5 / 4.7	47.4% / 29.2%	21.1% / 25.0%	2.6 / 4.0	63 / 57	47.8% / 34.9%	47.6% / 33.3%	36.4% / 32.0%	4.7 / 4.4	0.0% / 0.0%	30.2% / 42.1%	24.2 / 25.2

Baltimore Ravens @

Cincinnati Bengals

Sun, Jan 1

10:00 AM Pacific

Game Analysis