Game Analysis
Lean – UCF (-7) 26 North Carolina 15
My ratings favor UCF by 7 points in a lower than expected scoring game (aided by -1.4 points in weather adjustment) but I’ll lean with the Golden Knights on the basis of a 104-37 ATS situation.
Rush
-
Run Plays
28.7
34.7
-
Run Yards
137.7
156.0
-
YPRP
4.8
4.5
Pass
-
Pass Comp
13.3
20.0
-
Pass Att
21.3
30.7
-
Comp %
62.5%
65.2%
-
Pass Yards
148.7
185.0
-
Sacks
1.7
1.7
-
Sack Yards
7.3
11.0
-
Sack %
7.3%
5.2%
-
Pass Plays
23.0
32.3
-
Net Pass Yards
141.3
174.0
-
YPPP
6.1
5.4
Total
-
Total Plays
51.7
67.0
-
Total Yards
279.0
330.0
-
YPPL
5.4
4.9
TO
-
Int
0.3
1.3
-
Int %
1.5%
4.3%
-
Fumbles
0.7
0.7
-
Turnovers
1.0
2.0
Rush
-
Run Plays
34.0
36.0
-
Run Yards
151.0
154.0
-
YPRP
4.4
4.3
Pass
-
Pass Comp
22.0
16.0
-
Pass Att
33.0
30.0
-
Comp %
66.7%
53.3%
-
Pass Yards
314.0
157.0
-
Sacks
2.0
2.0
-
Sack Yards
17.0
14.0
-
Sack %
5.7%
6.3%
-
Pass Plays
35.0
32.0
-
Net Pass Yards
297.0
143.0
-
YPPP
8.5
4.5
Total
-
Total Plays
69.0
68.0
-
Total Yards
448.0
297.0
-
YPPL
6.5
4.4
TO
-
Int
0.0
1.0
-
Int %
0.0%
3.3%
-
Fumbles
1.0
0.0
-
Turnovers
1.0
1.0
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2025 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/01/25 TCU |
14-48 |
+3.5
L
|
25/35 |
66/264 |
2.6/7.5 |
2/0 |
13/27 |
21/36 |
156/284 |
1/1 |
3/0 |
6.5/7.9 |
222/548 |
4.5/7.7 |
09/06/25 @ Charlotte |
20-3 |
-13.5
W
|
33/25 |
148/64 |
4.5/2.6 |
0/0 |
17/24 |
25/41 |
155/180 |
0/2 |
0/2 |
6.2/4.2 |
303/244 |
5.2/3.6 |
09/13/25 Richmond |
41-6 |
0.0
W
|
28/44 |
199/140 |
7.1/3.2 |
0/2 |
10/9 |
18/15 |
113/58 |
0/1 |
2/3 |
5.7/3.2 |
312/198 |
6.5/3.2 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2025 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
08/28/25 Jacksonville State |
3-0 |
-17.0
L
|
34/36 |
151/154 |
4.4/4.3 |
1/0 |
22/16 |
33/30 |
297/143 |
0/1 |
2/2 |
8.5/4.5 |
448/297 |
6.5/4.4 |
09/06/25 North Carolina A&T |
61-0 |
0.0
W
|
29/49 |
364/175 |
12.6/3.6 |
0/2 |
14/5 |
24/11 |
200/25 |
0/1 |
1/2 |
8.0/1.9 |
564/200 |
10.4/3.2 |