Game Analysis
Lean – Illinois (+7) 21 WISCONSIN 24
Illinois looks like the real deal on defense, as the Illini have yielded an average of just 8 points per game and 4.0 yards per play against a decent slate of opposing offenses that combine to rate at just 0.5 yppl worse than average. Wisconsin’s offense exploded against two weak defensive teams, averaging 8.4 yppl against Illinois State and 8.9 yppl against New Mexico State (with starters in) but the Badgers managed just 14 points on 5.2 yppl against Washington State and only 14 points at 4.0 yppl against Ohio State before Braelon Allen busted a 75 yard run against the Buckeyes’ backups.
I’ll lean with Illinois at +7 points or more.
Rush
-
Run Plays
40.5
26.8
-
Run Yards
228.3
109.5
-
YPRP
5.6
4.1
Pass
-
Pass Comp
23.0
13.5
-
Pass Att
33.5
31.8
-
Comp %
68.7%
42.5%
-
Pass Yards
248.3
154.3
-
Sacks
2.5
2.8
-
Sack Yards
16.5
21.5
-
Sack %
6.9%
8.0%
-
Pass Plays
36.0
34.5
-
Net Pass Yards
231.8
132.8
-
YPPP
6.4
3.8
Total
-
Total Plays
76.5
61.3
-
Total Yards
460.0
242.3
-
YPPL
6.0
4.0
TO
-
Int
0.5
1.5
-
Int %
1.5%
4.7%
-
Fumbles
1.8
0.8
-
Turnovers
2.3
2.3
Rush
-
Run Plays
39.3
29.8
-
Run Yards
210.3
136.3
-
YPRP
5.4
4.6
Pass
-
Pass Comp
15.0
14.8
-
Pass Att
22.0
27.0
-
Comp %
68.2%
54.6%
-
Pass Yards
213.0
186.3
-
Sacks
1.3
1.8
-
Sack Yards
5.8
11.8
-
Sack %
5.4%
6.1%
-
Pass Plays
23.3
28.8
-
Net Pass Yards
207.3
174.5
-
YPPP
8.9
6.1
Total
-
Total Plays
62.5
58.5
-
Total Yards
417.5
310.8
-
YPPL
6.7
5.3
TO
-
Int
0.8
2.0
-
Int %
3.4%
7.4%
-
Fumbles
0.5
0.3
-
Turnovers
1.3
2.3
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2022 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
08/27/22 Wyoming |
38-6 |
-14.0
W
|
39/31 |
262/182 |
6.7/5.9 |
0/1 |
30/5 |
40/20 |
217/30 |
0/1 |
0/0 |
5.4/1.5 |
479/212 |
6.1/4.2 |
09/02/22 @ Indiana |
20-23 |
+1.5
L
|
49/24 |
246/52 |
5.0/2.2 |
3/1 |
20/28 |
35/52 |
193/311 |
1/1 |
4/2 |
4.9/5.8 |
439/363 |
5.0/4.7 |
09/10/22 Virginia |
24-3 |
-4.0
W
|
40/23 |
224/84 |
5.6/3.7 |
3/1 |
17/15 |
25/36 |
173/165 |
1/2 |
3/5 |
6.2/4.0 |
397/249 |
5.8/3.9 |
09/22/22 Chattanooga |
31-0 |
0.0
W
|
34/29 |
181/120 |
5.3/4.1 |
1/0 |
25/6 |
34/19 |
344/25 |
0/2 |
3/4 |
9.3/1.1 |
525/145 |
7.4/2.8 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2022 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/03/22 Illinois State |
38-0 |
0.0
W
|
35/22 |
233/79 |
6.7/3.6 |
0/0 |
14/16 |
16/24 |
211/164 |
0/2 |
2/4 |
11.7/5.9 |
444/243 |
8.4/4.9 |
09/10/22 Washington St. |
14-17 |
-17.0
L
|
43/19 |
178/67 |
4.1/3.5 |
2/1 |
18/17 |
31/28 |
213/187 |
1/2 |
1/2 |
6.7/6.2 |
391/254 |
5.2/5.2 |
09/17/22 New Mexico St. |
66-7 |
-37.5
W
|
45/36 |
284/140 |
6.3/3.9 |
0/0 |
16/9 |
20/29 |
304/66 |
1/3 |
1/1 |
14.5/2.2 |
588/206 |
8.9/3.1 |
09/24/22 @ Ohio St. |
21-52 |
+19.5
L
|
34/42 |
146/259 |
4.3/6.2 |
0/0 |
12/17 |
21/27 |
101/281 |
1/1 |
1/0 |
4.6/10.4 |
247/540 |
4.4/7.8 |