Game Analysis
Lean – MINNESOTA (-9.5) 33 Purdue 19
Purdue’s star QB Aidan O’Connell is reportedly going to start and my math favors Minnesota by just 9.3 points if he’s 100%. However, the Gophers apply to a 103-30-3 ATS momentum situation that is based on their dominance so far this season. Minnesota started the season beating up on 3 bad teams by a combined score of 149-17 but they validated their dominance last week with a 34-7 road win at Michigan State (a Best Bet win for me) and the Gophers are legit. The line is fair but I’ll lean with Minnesota based on the strong situation.
Rush
-
Run Plays
30.0
35.0
-
Run Yards
145.8
124.3
-
YPRP
4.9
3.6
Pass
-
Pass Comp
29.3
15.5
-
Pass Att
43.5
30.3
-
Comp %
67.2%
51.2%
-
Pass Yards
316.8
208.0
-
Sacks
0.8
1.5
-
Sack Yards
5.8
7.0
-
Sack %
1.7%
4.7%
-
Pass Plays
44.3
31.8
-
Net Pass Yards
311.0
201.0
-
YPPP
7.0
6.3
Total
-
Total Plays
74.3
66.8
-
Total Yards
456.8
325.3
-
YPPL
6.2
4.9
TO
-
Int
0.5
1.0
-
Int %
1.1%
3.3%
-
Fumbles
0.8
0.5
-
Turnovers
1.3
1.5
Rush
-
Run Plays
51.5
20.3
-
Run Yards
303.8
74.5
-
YPRP
5.9
3.7
Pass
-
Pass Comp
17.3
12.5
-
Pass Att
23.0
24.8
-
Comp %
75.0%
50.5%
-
Pass Yards
254.3
100.8
-
Sacks
0.3
1.8
-
Sack Yards
1.8
15.5
-
Sack %
1.1%
6.6%
-
Pass Plays
23.3
26.5
-
Net Pass Yards
252.5
85.3
-
YPPP
10.9
3.2
Total
-
Total Plays
74.8
46.8
-
Total Yards
556.3
159.8
-
YPPL
7.4
3.4
TO
-
Int
0.3
1.0
-
Int %
1.1%
4.0%
-
Fumbles
0.5
0.5
-
Turnovers
0.8
1.5
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2022 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/01/22 Penn St. |
31-35 |
+3.5
L
|
21/31 |
83/104 |
4.0/3.4 |
1/0 |
29/22 |
58/41 |
339/302 |
0/1 |
2/1 |
5.7/7.2 |
422/406 |
5.2/5.6 |
09/10/22 Indiana State |
56-0 |
0.0
W
|
45/32 |
235/72 |
5.2/2.3 |
1/1 |
27/9 |
30/20 |
321/92 |
0/2 |
0/4 |
10.7/3.8 |
556/164 |
7.4/2.9 |
09/17/22 @ Syracuse |
29-32 |
+1.5
L
|
22/34 |
61/135 |
2.8/4.0 |
0/0 |
39/13 |
55/30 |
424/180 |
1/0 |
0/1 |
7.7/5.8 |
485/315 |
6.3/4.8 |
09/24/22 Florida Atl. |
28-26 |
-16.5
L
|
32/43 |
204/186 |
6.4/4.3 |
1/1 |
22/18 |
31/30 |
160/230 |
1/1 |
1/0 |
5.0/7.7 |
364/416 |
5.7/5.7 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2022 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/01/22 New Mexico St. |
38-0 |
-36.5
W
|
56/19 |
320/58 |
5.7/3.1 |
0/0 |
16/4 |
23/12 |
202/33 |
0/1 |
0/2 |
8.8/2.4 |
522/91 |
6.6/2.8 |
09/10/22 Western Illinois |
62-10 |
0.0
W
|
52/18 |
307/49 |
5.9/2.7 |
1/0 |
18/14 |
25/32 |
372/119 |
0/1 |
0/1 |
14.9/3.6 |
679/168 |
8.8/3.3 |
09/17/22 Colorado |
49-7 |
-28.0
W
|
52/31 |
343/146 |
6.6/4.7 |
0/1 |
12/10 |
18/24 |
168/30 |
1/0 |
1/3 |
8.8/1.1 |
511/176 |
7.2/3.0 |
09/24/22 @ Michigan St. |
34-7 |
-2.0
W
|
46/13 |
245/45 |
5.3/3.5 |
1/1 |
23/22 |
26/31 |
268/159 |
0/2 |
0/1 |
10.3/5.0 |
513/204 |
7.1/4.5 |