Game Analysis
Lean – Texas Tech (+14) 20 BAYLOR 30
The math model favors Baylor by 13 points if Bohanon is able to play (his backup played well last week so there may not be a drop off if Bohanon can’t play) and I’ll lean with Texas Tech on the basis of a 28-97-2 ATS big home favorite letdown situation that applies to a Baylor team coming off two upset wins.
Rush
-
Run Plays
31.4
32.6
-
Run Yards
159.6
163.7
-
YPRP
5.1
5.0
Pass
-
Pass Comp
20.3
21.0
-
Pass Att
31.1
30.9
-
Comp %
65.3%
68.0%
-
Pass Yards
264.7
258.0
-
Sacks
2.0
1.3
-
Sack Yards
12.1
9.3
-
Sack %
6.0%
4.0%
-
Pass Plays
33.1
32.2
-
Net Pass Yards
252.6
248.7
-
YPPP
7.6
7.7
Total
-
Total Plays
64.5
64.8
-
Total Yards
412.2
412.4
-
YPPL
6.4
6.4
TO
-
Int
0.9
0.9
-
Int %
2.9%
2.9%
-
Fumbles
0.5
0.3
-
Turnovers
1.4
1.2
Rush
-
Run Plays
37.9
30.0
-
Run Yards
220.5
138.9
-
YPRP
5.8
4.6
Pass
-
Pass Comp
16.9
19.0
-
Pass Att
26.2
31.6
-
Comp %
64.5%
60.1%
-
Pass Yards
211.2
237.0
-
Sacks
1.1
2.7
-
Sack Yards
7.3
17.2
-
Sack %
4.0%
7.9%
-
Pass Plays
27.3
34.3
-
Net Pass Yards
203.9
219.8
-
YPPP
7.5
6.4
Total
-
Total Plays
65.2
64.3
-
Total Yards
424.4
358.7
-
YPPL
6.5
5.6
TO
-
Int
0.6
1.2
-
Int %
2.3%
3.8%
-
Fumbles
0.6
0.5
-
Turnovers
1.2
1.7
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2021 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/04/21 @ Houston |
38-21 |
+1.5
W
|
25/31 |
168/108 |
6.7/3.5 |
1/0 |
17/27 |
24/38 |
208/134 |
0/4 |
3/4 |
7.7/3.2 |
376/242 |
7.2/3.3 |
09/11/21 Stephen F. Austin |
28-22 |
0.0
W
|
23/26 |
231/48 |
10.0/1.8 |
2/0 |
12/38 |
22/59 |
166/332 |
2/0 |
1/2 |
7.2/5.4 |
397/380 |
8.6/4.4 |
09/18/21 FIU |
54-21 |
-20.0
W
|
37/26 |
177/89 |
4.8/3.4 |
1/0 |
27/13 |
36/29 |
407/180 |
0/1 |
0/1 |
11.3/6.0 |
584/269 |
8.0/4.8 |
09/25/21 @ Texas |
35-70 |
+9.0
L
|
31/51 |
126/344 |
4.1/6.7 |
0/0 |
26/18 |
34/23 |
375/295 |
2/1 |
2/1 |
10.4/12.3 |
501/639 |
7.5/8.5 |
10/02/21 @ West Virginia |
23-20 |
+7.0
W
|
27/25 |
97/108 |
3.6/4.3 |
0/1 |
23/26 |
35/35 |
249/320 |
1/0 |
3/2 |
6.6/8.6 |
346/428 |
5.3/6.9 |
10/09/21 TCU |
31-52 |
+2.5
L
|
36/46 |
221/397 |
6.1/8.6 |
0/0 |
23/8 |
41/10 |
337/104 |
1/0 |
1/0 |
8.0/10.4 |
558/501 |
7.2/8.9 |
10/16/21 @ Kansas |
41-14 |
-18.5
W
|
40/33 |
247/125 |
6.2/3.8 |
1/0 |
18/15 |
25/28 |
193/123 |
1/1 |
1/0 |
7.4/4.4 |
440/248 |
6.7/4.1 |
10/23/21 Kansas St. |
24-25 |
0.0
L
|
34/25 |
186/100 |
5.5/4.0 |
0/2 |
10/24 |
18/30 |
132/277 |
1/0 |
3/3 |
6.3/8.4 |
318/377 |
5.8/6.5 |
10/30/21 @ Oklahoma |
21-52 |
+19.0
L
|
31/19 |
109/78 |
3.5/4.1 |
1/0 |
23/28 |
34/35 |
239/463 |
2/0 |
1/1 |
6.8/12.9 |
348/541 |
5.3/9.8 |
11/13/21 Iowa St. |
41-38 |
+13.0
W
|
33/24 |
218/93 |
6.6/3.9 |
0/0 |
25/32 |
32/42 |
311/352 |
1/2 |
1/1 |
9.4/8.2 |
529/445 |
8.0/6.6 |
11/20/21 Oklahoma St. |
0-23 |
+10.0
L
|
20/46 |
47/195 |
2.4/4.2 |
1/0 |
11/19 |
32/39 |
75/239 |
0/0 |
5/0 |
2.0/6.1 |
122/434 |
2.1/5.1 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2021 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/04/21 @ Texas State |
29-20 |
-14.0
L
|
44/26 |
253/87 |
5.8/3.3 |
1/0 |
15/19 |
24/39 |
148/158 |
0/3 |
0/1 |
6.2/4.0 |
401/245 |
5.9/3.7 |
09/11/21 Texas Southern |
66-7 |
0.0
W
|
40/37 |
430/120 |
10.8/3.2 |
0/1 |
19/13 |
26/22 |
287/121 |
0/0 |
1/2 |
10.6/5.0 |
717/241 |
10.7/4.0 |
09/18/21 @ Kansas |
45-7 |
-17.5
W
|
45/32 |
304/132 |
6.8/4.1 |
2/1 |
19/8 |
24/18 |
271/57 |
0/0 |
0/0 |
11.3/3.2 |
575/189 |
8.3/3.8 |
09/25/21 Iowa St. |
31-29 |
+7.0
W
|
29/38 |
139/221 |
4.8/5.8 |
1/0 |
14/22 |
19/33 |
148/261 |
0/1 |
2/2 |
7.0/7.5 |
287/482 |
5.7/6.6 |
10/02/21 @ Oklahoma St. |
14-24 |
+4.0
L
|
26/55 |
122/237 |
4.7/4.3 |
0/0 |
13/13 |
28/23 |
158/179 |
0/3 |
3/1 |
5.1/7.5 |
280/416 |
4.9/5.3 |
10/09/21 West Virginia |
45-20 |
-2.5
W
|
31/32 |
176/141 |
5.7/4.4 |
0/0 |
20/24 |
31/37 |
349/226 |
0/1 |
1/6 |
10.9/5.3 |
525/367 |
8.3/4.9 |
10/16/21 BYU |
38-24 |
-5.0
W
|
44/19 |
306/109 |
7.0/5.7 |
0/1 |
18/22 |
28/31 |
231/301 |
1/0 |
0/5 |
8.3/8.4 |
537/410 |
7.5/7.5 |
10/30/21 Texas |
31-24 |
-2.5
W
|
39/27 |
210/116 |
5.4/4.3 |
0/1 |
19/23 |
32/38 |
228/263 |
2/1 |
0/2 |
7.1/6.6 |
438/379 |
6.2/5.7 |
11/06/21 @ TCU |
28-30 |
-7.0
L
|
35/31 |
188/111 |
5.4/3.6 |
0/1 |
14/30 |
20/42 |
205/460 |
2/0 |
1/1 |
9.8/10.7 |
393/571 |
7.0/7.7 |
11/13/21 Oklahoma |
27-14 |
+5.5
W
|
43/23 |
306/109 |
7.1/4.7 |
1/0 |
12/14 |
21/25 |
112/156 |
1/2 |
1/5 |
5.1/5.2 |
418/265 |
6.4/5.0 |
11/20/21 @ Kansas St. |
20-10 |
+1.5
W
|
43/17 |
201/126 |
4.7/7.4 |
1/1 |
25/15 |
35/30 |
189/137 |
0/1 |
3/4 |
5.0/4.0 |
390/263 |
4.8/5.2 |