Game Analysis
Ohio State (-18) 37 INDIANA 21
Ohio State’s defense is back to their normal elite standards after a down season in 2018 (yielding just 3.2 yards per play) and new quarterback Justin Fields has been extremely efficient (76% completions) leading a potent attack that averaged 7.2 yards per play last week against a good Cincinnati defense. However, Indiana’s new offense looks great (7.1 yppl and 0.7 yppl better than average after adjusting for opposing defenses faced) and the Hoosiers’ defense looks even better so far – even considering that they’ve faced Ball State and Eastern Illinois. Indy quarterback Michael Penix is questionable to play but backup Peyton Ramsey has 16 career starts and has completed 13 of 14 passes in the new attack for 16.1 yards per pass play. My ratings favor Ohio State by 19.5 points but Indiana applies to 49-9 ATS big home underdog momentum situation.
Rush
-
Run Plays
37.6
29.7
-
Run Yards
180.3
146.6
-
YPRP
5.0
5.5
Pass
-
Pass Comp
27.8
21.6
-
Pass Att
39.9
37.8
-
Comp %
69.7%
57.3%
-
Pass Yards
347.5
256.1
-
Sacks
1.7
2.9
-
Sack Yards
9.5
18.1
-
Sack %
4.1%
7.0%
-
Pass Plays
41.6
40.6
-
Net Pass Yards
338.0
238.0
-
YPPP
8.1
5.9
Total
-
Total Plays
79.2
70.3
-
Total Yards
527.8
402.7
-
YPPL
6.7
5.7
TO
-
Int
0.6
0.8
-
Int %
1.4%
2.1%
-
Fumbles
0.9
0.8
-
Turnovers
1.5
1.6
Rush
-
Run Plays
28.5
38.9
-
Run Yards
135.2
193.0
-
YPRP
5.3
5.2
Pass
-
Pass Comp
26.7
20.6
-
Pass Att
42.7
32.2
-
Comp %
62.5%
64.0%
-
Pass Yards
285.1
278.2
-
Sacks
2.8
1.8
-
Sack Yards
16.2
10.7
-
Sack %
6.1%
5.2%
-
Pass Plays
45.4
33.9
-
Net Pass Yards
268.8
267.6
-
YPPP
5.9
7.9
Total
-
Total Plays
73.9
72.8
-
Total Yards
420.3
471.2
-
YPPL
5.7
6.5
TO
-
Int
1.1
1.0
-
Int %
2.6%
3.1%
-
Fumbles
0.7
1.0
-
Turnovers
1.8
2.0
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2019 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 10/06/18 Indiana |
49-26 |
-26.0
L
|
45/18 |
166/95 |
3.7/5.3 |
1/2 |
33/26 |
44/49 |
447/313 |
2/0 |
1/3 |
9.9/6.0 |
613/408 |
6.8/5.8 |
| 10/13/18 Minnesota |
30-14 |
-30.0
L
|
29/31 |
111/187 |
3.8/6.0 |
0/1 |
33/13 |
44/23 |
393/201 |
0/2 |
3/2 |
8.4/8.0 |
504/388 |
6.6/6.9 |
| 10/20/18 @ Purdue |
20-49 |
-13.0
L
|
24/27 |
78/175 |
3.3/6.5 |
0/0 |
49/25 |
73/43 |
468/361 |
1/0 |
1/2 |
6.3/8.0 |
546/536 |
5.6/7.4 |
| 11/03/18 Nebraska |
36-31 |
-20.5
L
|
36/48 |
250/212 |
6.9/4.4 |
2/1 |
18/22 |
32/33 |
243/259 |
1/0 |
1/1 |
7.4/7.6 |
493/471 |
7.1/5.7 |
| 11/10/18 @ Michigan St. |
26-6 |
-3.5
W
|
40/14 |
146/78 |
3.7/5.6 |
1/2 |
24/18 |
39/48 |
216/214 |
0/1 |
2/1 |
5.3/4.4 |
362/292 |
4.5/4.6 |
| 11/17/18 @ Maryland |
52-51 |
-16.5
L
|
55/43 |
281/379 |
5.1/8.8 |
2/1 |
28/7 |
38/14 |
401/168 |
1/0 |
1/4 |
10.3/9.3 |
682/547 |
7.3/9.0 |
| 11/24/18 Michigan |
62-39 |
+4.5
W
|
35/37 |
255/177 |
7.3/4.8 |
1/0 |
19/23 |
30/38 |
318/224 |
0/2 |
0/3 |
10.6/5.5 |
573/401 |
8.8/5.1 |
| 12/01/18 Northwestern |
45-24 |
-14.5
W
|
40/19 |
142/172 |
3.6/9.1 |
1/1 |
34/27 |
41/44 |
474/232 |
1/2 |
4/5 |
10.5/4.7 |
616/404 |
7.2/5.9 |
| 01/01/19 Washington |
28-23 |
-6.5
L
|
27/33 |
134/143 |
5.0/4.3 |
0/0 |
25/36 |
37/55 |
235/302 |
0/0 |
3/2 |
5.9/5.3 |
369/445 |
5.5/4.9 |
| 08/31/19 Florida Atl. |
45-21 |
-27.5
L
|
45/29 |
257/67 |
5.7/2.3 |
2/0 |
19/26 |
26/40 |
236/110 |
0/1 |
2/4 |
8.4/2.5 |
493/177 |
6.8/2.4 |
| 09/07/19 Cincinnati |
42-0 |
-15.5
W
|
44/29 |
276/83 |
6.3/2.9 |
0/1 |
22/13 |
27/23 |
240/155 |
0/1 |
1/5 |
8.6/5.5 |
516/238 |
7.2/4.2 |
| 09/14/19 @ Indiana |
51-10 |
-18.0
W
|
39/26 |
326/73 |
8.4/2.8 |
1/0 |
17/21 |
29/36 |
233/185 |
0/1 |
1/5 |
7.8/4.5 |
559/258 |
8.1/3.9 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2019 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 10/06/18 @ Ohio St. |
26-49 |
+26.0
W
|
18/45 |
95/166 |
5.3/3.7 |
2/1 |
26/33 |
49/44 |
313/447 |
0/2 |
3/1 |
6.0/9.9 |
408/613 |
5.8/6.8 |
| 10/13/18 Iowa |
16-42 |
+4.0
L
|
22/31 |
85/164 |
3.9/5.3 |
0/0 |
31/21 |
42/33 |
245/315 |
2/1 |
3/1 |
5.4/9.3 |
330/479 |
4.9/7.4 |
| 10/20/18 Penn St. |
28-33 |
+14.5
W
|
39/33 |
268/190 |
6.9/5.8 |
2/1 |
35/20 |
55/37 |
286/227 |
1/1 |
6/3 |
4.7/5.7 |
554/417 |
5.5/5.7 |
| 10/26/18 @ Minnesota |
31-38 |
-2.0
L
|
29/36 |
155/176 |
5.3/4.9 |
1/3 |
29/17 |
44/24 |
230/290 |
2/1 |
1/1 |
5.1/11.6 |
385/466 |
5.2/7.6 |
| 11/10/18 Maryland |
34-32 |
-3.0
L
|
23/58 |
155/358 |
6.7/6.2 |
0/3 |
16/14 |
28/25 |
222/184 |
1/1 |
4/1 |
6.9/7.1 |
377/542 |
6.9/6.5 |
| 11/17/18 @ Michigan |
20-31 |
+28.5
W
|
38/48 |
207/260 |
5.4/5.4 |
1/0 |
16/16 |
35/28 |
178/250 |
1/1 |
2/0 |
4.8/8.9 |
385/510 |
5.1/6.7 |
| 11/24/18 Purdue |
21-28 |
+3.5
L
|
28/27 |
152/160 |
5.4/5.9 |
0/0 |
36/27 |
51/35 |
335/282 |
1/1 |
2/5 |
6.3/7.1 |
487/442 |
6.0/6.6 |
| 08/31/19 @ Ball St. |
34-24 |
+18.0
W
|
30/37 |
154/124 |
5.1/3.4 |
0/0 |
24/26 |
40/41 |
326/274 |
2/1 |
0/3 |
8.2/6.2 |
480/398 |
6.9/4.9 |
| 09/07/19 Eastern Illinois |
52-0 |
0.0
W
|
34/29 |
114/64 |
3.4/2.2 |
0/0 |
30/11 |
41/25 |
441/52 |
0/0 |
0/2 |
10.8/1.9 |
555/116 |
7.4/2.1 |
| 09/14/19 Ohio St. |
10-51 |
+18.0
L
|
26/39 |
73/326 |
2.8/8.4 |
0/1 |
21/17 |
36/29 |
185/233 |
1/0 |
5/1 |
4.5/7.8 |
258/559 |
3.9/8.1 |
Indiana