Game Analysis
WASHINGTON (-17.5) 31 Colorado 16 (no Shenault for CU)
Note: CU WR Laviska Shenault has been downgraded to OUT
The key to this game for Colorado is the health of potential All-American WR Laviska Shenault Jr., who leads the nation in receptions and receiving yards for the Buffaloes. CU quarterback Steven Montez is having a great season (70.5% completions and 7.1 yards per pass play with just 3 interceptions) and he’s averaged 10.7 yards on the 73 passes he’s thrown to Shenault, who has caught 60 of them. The other Colorado wide-receivers have combined to average 7.8 yards per target and the difference is about 3 points between Shenault being 100% and Shenault not playing.
I actually lean with Colorado even without Shenault. Washington is a very good team, rating at 1.0 yards per play better than average offensively and 1.2 yppl better than average defensively but the Buffaloes are solid on both sides of the ball (+0.5 yppl on offense and +0.4 yppl better than average defensively) and Montez doesn’t turn the ball over.
Rush
-
Run Plays
38.7
33.0
-
Run Yards
187.0
141.0
-
YPRP
5.2
4.8
Pass
-
Pass Comp
24.2
16.5
-
Pass Att
34.3
32.0
-
Comp %
70.4%
51.6%
-
Pass Yards
276.7
209.3
-
Sacks
2.3
2.7
-
Sack Yards
15.2
17.5
-
Sack %
6.4%
7.7%
-
Pass Plays
36.7
34.7
-
Net Pass Yards
261.5
191.8
-
YPPP
7.1
5.5
Total
-
Total Plays
75.3
67.7
-
Total Yards
463.7
350.3
-
YPPL
6.2
5.2
TO
-
Int
0.7
0.8
-
Int %
2.0%
2.6%
-
Fumbles
0.2
0.8
-
Turnovers
0.8
1.7
Rush
-
Run Plays
37.9
34.0
-
Run Yards
179.3
136.4
-
YPRP
5.0
4.3
Pass
-
Pass Comp
19.1
20.4
-
Pass Att
28.6
32.0
-
Comp %
67.0%
63.8%
-
Pass Yards
261.7
178.0
-
Sacks
1.6
1.4
-
Sack Yards
10.9
10.4
-
Sack %
5.2%
4.3%
-
Pass Plays
30.1
33.4
-
Net Pass Yards
250.9
167.6
-
YPPP
8.3
5.0
Total
-
Total Plays
68.0
67.4
-
Total Yards
441.0
314.4
-
YPPL
6.5
4.7
TO
-
Int
0.9
0.3
-
Int %
3.0%
0.9%
-
Fumbles
0.3
0.9
-
Turnovers
1.2
1.2
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2018 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
08/31/18 @ Colorado St. |
45-13 |
-7.5
W
|
37/36 |
280/119 |
7.6/3.3 |
1/0 |
22/19 |
25/37 |
340/165 |
1/1 |
0/3 |
13.6/4.1 |
620/284 |
10.0/3.7 |
09/08/18 @ Nebraska |
33-28 |
+3.5
W
|
28/52 |
87/344 |
3.1/6.6 |
0/2 |
33/19 |
50/29 |
308/224 |
0/1 |
7/2 |
5.4/7.2 |
395/568 |
4.6/6.8 |
09/15/18 New Hampshire |
45-14 |
0.0
W
|
48/25 |
329/78 |
6.9/3.1 |
0/2 |
17/15 |
24/39 |
193/174 |
2/1 |
2/5 |
7.4/4.0 |
522/252 |
7.1/3.7 |
09/28/18 UCLA |
38-16 |
-9.5
W
|
44/25 |
218/180 |
5.0/7.2 |
0/0 |
23/17 |
27/35 |
264/112 |
0/0 |
1/3 |
9.4/2.9 |
482/292 |
6.7/4.6 |
10/06/18 Arizona St. |
28-21 |
-2.5
W
|
42/36 |
170/157 |
4.0/4.4 |
0/0 |
24/12 |
33/18 |
328/211 |
0/0 |
0/2 |
9.9/10.6 |
498/368 |
6.6/6.6 |
10/13/18 @ USC |
20-31 |
+7.0
L
|
33/24 |
129/73 |
3.9/3.0 |
0/1 |
26/17 |
47/34 |
136/265 |
1/2 |
4/1 |
2.7/7.6 |
265/338 |
3.2/5.7 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2018 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/01/18 @ Auburn |
16-21 |
+2.0
L
|
28/42 |
137/166 |
4.9/4.0 |
1/0 |
18/26 |
32/36 |
271/256 |
1/0 |
5/2 |
7.3/6.7 |
408/422 |
6.3/5.3 |
09/08/18 North Dakota |
45-3 |
0.0
W
|
34/31 |
195/169 |
5.7/5.5 |
0/1 |
31/17 |
45/32 |
394/89 |
2/0 |
0/2 |
8.8/2.6 |
589/258 |
7.5/4.0 |
09/15/18 @ Utah |
21-7 |
-5.0
W
|
38/27 |
191/137 |
5.0/5.1 |
0/2 |
14/20 |
24/38 |
139/121 |
1/1 |
1/2 |
5.6/3.0 |
330/258 |
5.2/3.9 |
09/22/18 Arizona St. |
27-20 |
-18.0
L
|
37/39 |
185/165 |
5.0/4.2 |
0/1 |
15/17 |
23/27 |
200/103 |
0/0 |
1/0 |
8.3/3.8 |
385/268 |
6.3/4.1 |
09/29/18 BYU |
35-7 |
-17.0
W
|
35/25 |
193/55 |
5.5/2.2 |
1/1 |
23/18 |
25/21 |
264/139 |
0/0 |
1/2 |
10.2/6.0 |
457/194 |
7.5/4.0 |
10/06/18 @ UCLA |
31-24 |
-21.0
L
|
50/27 |
229/150 |
4.6/5.6 |
0/0 |
18/27 |
26/38 |
248/272 |
1/1 |
2/0 |
8.9/7.2 |
477/422 |
6.1/6.5 |
10/13/18 @ Oregon |
27-30 |
-3.5
L
|
43/47 |
201/186 |
4.7/4.0 |
0/1 |
15/18 |
25/32 |
240/193 |
1/0 |
1/2 |
9.2/5.7 |
441/379 |
6.4/4.7 |