Game Analysis
South Florida (-15.5) 49 MASSACHUSETTS 28
Massachusetts has allowed an average of 48 points to 5 FBS opponents that are not exactly known for being good offensively (BC, Georgia Southern, FIU, Charlotte, and Ohio). The Minutemen have been a horrendous 1.6 yards per play worse than average defensively even including their decent defensive performance against Duquesne to open the season, as they’ve surrendered 6.7 yppl to teams that would average 5.1 yppl against an average defense. The South Florida offense is 0.6 yppl better than the average attack that UMass has faced this season and the Bulls play at a faster pace on offense – so it’s actually likely that their points allowed per game rises a bit.
Massachusetts has a capable offense but South Florida’s mediocre defense is actually 0.9 yards per play better than what the Minutemen have faced this season so they’re not likely to approach their 35 points per game average today. UMass has faced 3 dreadfully bad defensive teams (Duquesne, Charlotte, and Ohio) and scored an average of 51 points in those games but they’ve managed just 19.3 points per game against Boston College, Georgia Southern and FIU, who collectively rate about the same as the USF defense. I don’t usually like to play huge road favorites but South Florida should dominate this game if they are mildly interested.
- South Florida
- Massachusetts
Rush
-
Run Plays
36.0
46.8
-
Run Yards
177.5
246.3
-
YPRP
5.3
5.6
Pass
-
Pass Comp
21.3
14.3
-
Pass Att
34.3
27.3
-
Comp %
62.0%
52.3%
-
Pass Yards
289.8
162.3
-
Sacks
2.8
3.0
-
Sack Yards
14.3
17.8
-
Sack %
7.4%
9.9%
-
Pass Plays
37.0
30.3
-
Net Pass Yards
275.5
144.5
-
YPPP
7.4
4.8
Total
-
Total Plays
73.0
77.0
-
Total Yards
467.3
408.5
-
YPPL
6.4
5.3
TO
-
Int
0.8
1.3
-
Int %
2.2%
4.6%
-
Fumbles
0.3
0.5
-
Turnovers
1.0
1.8
Rush
-
Run Plays
28.5
46.3
-
Run Yards
134.8
264.0
-
YPRP
5.2
5.8
Pass
-
Pass Comp
19.7
17.3
-
Pass Att
32.0
26.0
-
Comp %
61.5%
66.7%
-
Pass Yards
249.8
226.2
-
Sacks
2.3
0.7
-
Sack Yards
13.2
6.7
-
Sack %
6.8%
2.5%
-
Pass Plays
34.3
26.7
-
Net Pass Yards
236.7
219.5
-
YPPP
6.9
8.2
Total
-
Total Plays
62.8
73.0
-
Total Yards
384.7
490.2
-
YPPL
6.1
6.7
TO
-
Int
1.0
0.8
-
Int %
3.1%
3.2%
-
Fumbles
0.8
0.5
-
Turnovers
1.8
1.3
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2018 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/01/18 Elon |
34-14 |
-24.0
L
|
36/46 |
157/206 |
4.4/4.5 |
0/0 |
29/6 |
46/12 |
358/25 |
0/2 |
2/3 |
7.5/1.7 |
515/231 |
6.1/3.8 |
09/08/18 Georgia Tech |
49-38 |
+3.0
W
|
42/55 |
234/422 |
5.6/7.7 |
0/1 |
21/9 |
31/18 |
192/173 |
1/2 |
2/2 |
5.8/8.7 |
426/595 |
5.7/7.9 |
09/15/18 @ Illinois |
25-19 |
-14.0
L
|
43/42 |
222/262 |
5.2/6.2 |
0/1 |
23/20 |
40/29 |
404/134 |
2/0 |
1/5 |
9.9/3.9 |
626/396 |
7.5/5.2 |
09/22/18 East Carolina |
20-13 |
-21.0
L
|
23/44 |
154/166 |
6.7/3.8 |
1/0 |
12/22 |
20/50 |
148/246 |
0/1 |
6/2 |
5.7/4.7 |
302/412 |
6.2/4.3 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2018 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
08/25/18 Duquesne |
63-15 |
-21.0
W
|
37/36 |
254/136 |
6.9/3.8 |
1/1 |
19/16 |
28/30 |
285/123 |
0/3 |
1/0 |
9.8/4.1 |
539/259 |
8.2/3.9 |
09/01/18 @ Boston College |
21-55 |
+18.0
L
|
28/59 |
93/273 |
3.3/4.6 |
1/0 |
21/20 |
34/27 |
222/320 |
2/0 |
6/0 |
5.6/11.9 |
315/593 |
4.6/6.9 |
09/08/18 @ Georgia Southern |
13-34 |
+2.5
L
|
24/55 |
109/341 |
4.5/6.2 |
1/0 |
23/6 |
36/9 |
216/154 |
1/0 |
0/0 |
6.0/17.1 |
325/495 |
5.4/7.7 |
09/15/18 @ FIU |
24-63 |
+4.0
L
|
31/52 |
224/339 |
7.2/6.5 |
1/1 |
13/16 |
32/23 |
120/207 |
2/1 |
3/0 |
3.4/9.0 |
344/546 |
5.2/7.3 |
09/22/18 Charlotte |
49-31 |
-6.0
W
|
33/35 |
150/136 |
4.5/3.9 |
1/1 |
12/23 |
19/35 |
184/243 |
0/0 |
1/4 |
9.2/6.2 |
334/379 |
6.3/5.1 |
09/29/18 @ Ohio |
42-58 |
+13.5
L
|
18/41 |
58/399 |
3.2/9.7 |
0/0 |
30/23 |
43/32 |
393/270 |
1/1 |
3/0 |
8.5/8.4 |
451/669 |
7.0/9.2 |