Washington Redskins @

Miami Dolphins

Sun, Oct 13
10:00 AM Pacific
Rotation: 263
Odds: Miami Dolphins +3.5, Total: 41

Game Analysis

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Washington (-3.5) vs MIAMI

Case Keenum will be back under center on Sunday and I think he’s probably the Redskins best option at this point. Washington’s passing game revolves around Terry McLaurin and Chris Thompson with both players gaining more than 2 yards per route run. I expect solid cornerback Xavien Howard to limit McLaurin and new ‘Skins head coach Bill Callahan is unlikely to utilize Thompson out of the backfield as well as Jay Gruden did. Callahan wants to focus on the run game despite the Redskins ranking 31st in rushing efficiency and now likely without three starters on the offensive line.

Washington’s DE Ryan Kerrigan ranks in the top 20 in pressures among edge rushers and Matt Ioannidis is 12th in pass rushing efficiency among interior defenders. Miami’s offensive line ranks 2nd-worst in pass blocking efficiency and Josh Rosen is likely to be under fire all afternoon. Washington’s pass defense ranks above average and I expect the Dolphins to be run-heavy on Sunday.

This line has come down 3 points from the advanced spread of Redskins by 6.5 and our model agrees with the move making this number exactly Washington -3.5 with a predicted total of 43.7. This game will play a significant role in deciding the number 1 draft pick but I want no part of it.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Redskins
  • Dolphins
WAS
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 39.0 36.6
  • Succ Pass Plays 45.8% 55.2%
  • Sack Rate 8.2% 4.6%
  • Int Rate 5.0% 3.1%
  • Deep Pass Rate 14.3% 15.0%
  • Big Pass Yards 34.3% 40.1%
  • NYPP 5.2 7.3



Rush


  • Rush Plays 17.6 30.6
  • RB YPR 3.6 4.3
  • Stuff Rate 18.5% 19.4%
  • Succ Rush Plays 39.5% 48.9%
  • Big Rush Yards 24.8% 45.1%
  • Yards Per Rush 3.7 4.6




Game

  • All Snaps 56.6 67.2
  • Early Down Succ 48.7% 51.7%
  • Succ Rate 44.2% 52.5%
  • Big Yards Rate 36.0% 42.4%
  • Yards Per Play 4.9 6.1
  • Fumble Lost Rate 1.0% 0.6%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 28.3 30.1
  • Run Ratio 31.4% 45.6%
  • Starting Field Pos 26.5 29.4
  • Game Control -7.4 7.4
 
  • Points 14.6 30.2
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