Washington Redskins @

Los Angeles Chargers

Sun, Dec 10
1:05 PM Pacific
Rotation: 121
Odds: Los Angeles Chargers -6, Total: 46

Game Analysis

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Strong Opinion – Washington (+6.5) over LOS ANGELES CHARGERS

Washington was in a bad situation last Thursday night and were destroyed by the slumping Cowboys 14-38 as a 2 point favorite. However, teams that lose to the spread by that many points tend to rebound the next week and the Skins apply to a 78-21-1 ATS situation that plays on teams that lost to the spread by 25 points or more.

Washington right tackle Morgan Moses was carted off the field last week opening the door for Cowboys DeMarcus Lawrence to record 2 sacks. Moses has been cleared to play and star LT Trent Williams will play on his injured knee again this week, which is important given that the Chargers’ Melvin Ingram and Joey Bosa both rank in top-5 in pressures. I’m not making the case that Washington is better than the Chargers at this point in the season but I do think the Redskins are better than they’ve shown, as they were even more banged up along the offensive line in the middle of the season. My model is showing some value on Washington (our model favors the Chargers by just 4 ½ points) and I like the situation. I’ll consider Washington a Strong Opinion in this game at +6 points or more.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Redskins
  • Chargers
WAS
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 37.3 34.8
  • Succ Pass Plays 47.1% 43.8%
  • Sack Rate 7.5% 7.1%
  • Int Rate 1.8% 3.1%
  • Deep Pass Rate 15.0% 20.8%
  • Big Pass Yards 49.5% 43.6%
  • NYPP 6.9 6.4



Rush


  • Rush Plays 26.8 28.0
  • RB YPR 3.5 3.9
  • Stuff Rate 22.0% 20.8%
  • Succ Rush Plays 44.6% 48.7%
  • Big Rush Yards 34.2% 38.4%
  • Yards Per Rush 3.6 4.2




Game

  • All Snaps 64.2 62.8
  • Early Down Succ 49.0% 48.8%
  • Succ Rate 45.7% 46.1%
  • Big Yards Rate 46.5% 42.5%
  • Yards Per Play 5.5 5.4
  • Fumble Lost Rate 1.6% 0.6%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 28.7 28.2
  • Run Ratio 41.6% 44.6%
  • Starting Field Pos 28.5 29.9
  • Game Control 0.8 -0.8
 
  • Points 22.7 26.2
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