Washington Football Team @

San Francisco 49ers

Sun, Dec 13
1:25 PM Pacific
Rotation: 175
Odds: San Francisco 49ers -3, Total: 43

Game Analysis

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SAN FRANCISCO (-3) vs Washington

San Francisco’s playoff hopes aren’t over despite losing on Monday night to the Bills. The 49ers still have two relatively easy games this week against Washington and week 15 against Dallas before closing with two divisional opponents (Arizona and Seattle). However, it doesn’t sound like George Kittle or Jimmy Garoppolo will be back anytime soon according to Kyle Shanahan. Backup QB Nick Mullens is averaging 7.2 yppp but much of that has been in garbage time. San Francisco’s week 12 win against the Rams was the only start Mullens has won since the beginning of October and he wasn’t particularly impressive in that game.

Edge defender Kerry Hyder ranks 6th in pass rushing efficiency this season filling in for Nick Bosa but it seems Washington has found a solution for their revolving door at left tackle. Cornelius Lucas is allowing a 5.7% pressure rate compared to David Sharpe and Geron Christian’s combined 9.1% pressure rate. However, I’m not expecting much from Alex Smith in this matchup as the 49ers have the speed to limit Washington’s receivers after the catch. In particular, Jason Verrett is conceding only 0.86 yards per cover snap (16th) and he will make it difficult for Terry McLaurin to find space.

Our model makes San Francisco a 2.4-point favorite with a predicted total of 42.3 points.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Football Team
  • 49ers
WAS
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 38.5 34.5
  • Succ Pass Plays 44.8% 44.1%
  • Sack Rate 8.6% 9.0%
  • Int Rate 2.4% 3.1%
  • Deep Pass Rate 14.1% 20.6%
  • Big Pass Yards 33.9% 42.6%
  • NYPP 5.6 5.8



Rush


  • Rush Plays 25.9 27.0
  • RB YPR 4.0 3.7
  • Stuff Rate 17.7% 22.9%
  • Succ Rush Plays 49.2% 46.6%
  • Big Rush Yards 38.0% 42.0%
  • Yards Per Rush 4.0 4.2




Game

  • All Snaps 64.5 61.5
  • Early Down Succ 48.8% 47.7%
  • Succ Rate 46.8% 45.0%
  • Big Yards Rate 35.8% 42.9%
  • Yards Per Play 5.1 5.0
  • Fumble Lost Rate 1.3% 0.4%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 28.2 29.1
  • Run Ratio 39.7% 44.4%
  • Starting Field Pos 29.1 29.7
  • Game Control -3.8 3.8
 
  • Points 21.9 22.1
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