Washington Football Team @

Philadelphia Eagles

Tue, Dec 21
4:00 PM Pacific
Rotation: 339
Odds: Philadelphia Eagles -9.5, Total: 40.5

Game Analysis

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PHILADELPHIA (-9.5) vs Washington

The Eagles are coming off a bye, but Washington has had extra time to get some players out of the Covid protocol, mostly notably top WR Terry McLaurin, interior defender Jonathan Allen and edge defender Montez Sweat. Allen ranks 3rd in pass rushing efficiency and Sweat has a 10.5% pressure rate, so getting them back helps significantly with star edge rusher Chase Young out. Starting CB Kendall Fuller is out and backup Danny Johnson does not have a chance of staying with Philadelphia WR DeVonta Smith, who has 8 receptions on passes with 20+ air yards (11th).

QB Taylor Heinicke is out tonight and Gale Gilbert will get the start, which we calculate is a 3 point hit to the Washington offense, even with McLaurin available.

Jalen Hurts will be back at quarterback for the Eagles, who played great with the underrated Gardnew Minshew behind center in their last game.

Our model favors the Eagles by only 8.1 points, with a predicted total of 38.9 points, but the Eagles apply to a 114-58-4 ATS favorite off a bye week situation so it’s best to pass on this game.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Football Team
  • Eagles
WAS
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 35.69 38.46
  • Succ Pass Plays 46.1% 50.8%
  • Sack Rate 6.5% 5.6%
  • Int Rate 2.8% 1.7%
  • Deep Pass Rate 20.4% 17.5%
  • Big Pass Yards 32.8% 32.5%
  • NYPP 6.03 6.74



Rush


  • Rush Plays 28.92 23.23
  • RB YPR 3.90 3.44
  • Stuff Rate 19.9% 23.8%
  • Succ Rush Plays 53.5% 44.0%
  • Big Rush Yards 38.4% 41.7%
  • Yards Per Rush 4.23 4.03




Game

  • All Snaps 64.62 61.69
  • Early Down Succ 53.4% 49.4%
  • Succ Rate 49.4% 48.3%
  • Big Yards Rate 34.7% 34.9%
  • Yards Per Play 5.23 5.72
  • Fumble Lost Rate 1.1% 0.7%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 29.14 27.77
  • Run Ratio 44.8% 37.7%
  • Starting Field Pos 0.00 0.00
  • Game Control -3.18 3.18
 
  • Points 21.54 23.85
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