Washington Football Team @

Las Vegas Raiders

Sun, Dec 5
1:05 PM Pacific
Rotation: 467
Odds: Las Vegas Raiders -2.5, Total: 49.5

Game Analysis

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LAS VEGAS (-2.5) vs Washington

Derek Carr leads the NFL with 910 yards and 7 touchdowns on passes with at least 20 air yards and the Las Vegas vertical passing game looks to be at nearly full strength with DeSean Jackson replacing Henry Ruggs. Jackson had 102 receiving yards in Dallas and he should get behind a Washington defense ranked 30th in explosive pass rate on deep balls. However, Carr might not have much time to look downfield as RG Alex Leatherwood ranks 60th in pass blocking efficiency out of 61 qualifying guards and Washington DT Daron Payne has 33 pressures (9th). Furthermore, Carr will likely be without his favorite target TE Darren Waller due to a knee injury. Waller is averaging 1.86 yards per route run (5th) and is worth nearly a point by our metrics.

Terry McLaurin has 9 deep receptions this year (2nd) but he will be shut down by Raiders CB Casey Hayward, who is averaging a league-high 23.2 coverage snaps per reception allowed. Taylor Heinicke will have to make do with a banged-up offensive line potentially starting backup right tackle Cornelius Lucas and third center Keith Ismael.

Our model favors the Raiders by only 1.3 points, with a predicted total of 49.1 points, but Washington applies to a negative 59-136-5 ATS letdown situation based on their 3 straight wins and covers. I’ll use the Raiders -2.5 in my pool.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Football Team
  • Raiders
WAS
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 35.82 37.91
  • Succ Pass Plays 48.0% 51.8%
  • Sack Rate 6.1% 5.3%
  • Int Rate 2.7% 1.5%
  • Deep Pass Rate 20.4% 17.0%
  • Big Pass Yards 33.6% 34.0%
  • NYPP 6.32 7.03



Rush


  • Rush Plays 29.36 22.82
  • RB YPR 3.91 3.44
  • Stuff Rate 19.5% 24.3%
  • Succ Rush Plays 54.8% 43.4%
  • Big Rush Yards 38.0% 42.6%
  • Yards Per Rush 4.27 4.06




Game

  • All Snaps 65.18 60.73
  • Early Down Succ 55.4% 49.1%
  • Succ Rate 51.0% 48.7%
  • Big Yards Rate 35.1% 36.1%
  • Yards Per Play 5.40 5.92
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.8% 0.9%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 29.18 27.89
  • Run Ratio 45.0% 37.6%
  • Starting Field Pos 0.00 0.00
  • Game Control -2.80 2.80
 
  • Points 22.09 24.36
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