Washington Football Team @

Carolina Panthers

Sun, Nov 21
10:00 AM Pacific
Rotation: 459
Odds: Carolina Panthers -3, Total: 43

Game Analysis

Create an account to get analysis and updates sent to your inbox.

1-Star Best Bet – *Washington Team Total Over (20 -115)

Alternate play is 1-Star game Over 43 or less

Lean – Washington (+3) over CAROLINA

Washington’s All-Pro right guard Brandon Scherff returned to the field last week after missing four games with a knee injury. Washington ranks 3rd in pass blocking efficiency in the five games with Scherff in the lineup compared to 29th in weeks 5-8. The extra protection makes a huge difference for Taylor Heinicke as he has averaged 2.1 yppp more with Scherff in uniform this year. Starting RT Sam Cosmi (ankle) could return after missing the last four games which would further bolster Washington’s offensive line.

We’re getting opposite news on Washington’s defensive line after Pro Bowl edge defender Chase Young tore his ACL last week. Young will join edge defender Montez Sweat on the sideline and the two are worth 1.4 points according to our metrics. Young and Sweat have combined for 84% of Washington’s pressures from the edge this season.

The Panthers are averaging 5.4 yppp (29th) and I don’t think Cam Newton will be any worse as he averaged 6.2 yppp last year. There is some upside with Newton depending on the speed at which he can be integrated into Joe Brady’s offense. Newton will be under some heat on Sunday as Carolina’s interior offensive line is surrendering 8.0 pressure per game. Washington DT Jonathan Allen leads all interior defenders in pass rushing efficiency and DT Daron Payne ranks 19th.

Our model favors the Panthers by just 0.3 points, with a predicted total of 47.0 points, but with the upside potential of Cam Newton the best play is 1-Star on Washington’s team total over 20 up to -125 odds. The alternate play is the game Over 43 or less.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Football Team
  • Panthers
WAS
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 37.00 39.56
  • Succ Pass Plays 45.9% 52.5%
  • Sack Rate 6.0% 5.3%
  • Int Rate 2.9% 1.8%
  • Deep Pass Rate 21.5% 17.6%
  • Big Pass Yards 36.1% 33.8%
  • NYPP 6.28 7.06



Rush


  • Rush Plays 26.67 24.22
  • RB YPR 3.88 3.41
  • Stuff Rate 17.9% 23.9%
  • Succ Rush Plays 56.7% 43.6%
  • Big Rush Yards 37.1% 42.7%
  • Yards Per Rush 4.33 4.01




Game

  • All Snaps 63.67 63.78
  • Early Down Succ 55.0% 48.6%
  • Succ Rate 50.4% 49.1%
  • Big Yards Rate 36.4% 36.0%
  • Yards Per Play 5.46 5.90
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.9% 0.9%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 28.41 28.02
  • Run Ratio 41.9% 38.0%
  • Starting Field Pos 0.00 0.00
  • Game Control -3.67 3.67
 
  • Points 22.11 25.78
Share This