Game Analysis

ARIZONA (-3.5) vs Washington

• Washington’s offense has not committed a turnover through 3 games and did not punt in either of their last two games. Rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels is averaging 0.38 EPA/play ranking 2nd in the NFL.
• Another Commanders rookie is also shining with WR Luke McCaffrey’s 79% separation rate (2nd) and he will battle on the inside across from Cardinals nickelback Garrett Williams, who is conceding 0.82 yards per cover snap in the slot (10th).
• Arizona has a rookie wide receiver of their own making an impact. Marvin Harrison is averaging 2.08 yards per route run (11th) and he has a favorable matchup across from CB Benjamin St-Juste, who is surrendering 1.91 yards per cover snap (5th-worst).
• However, Kyler Murray will have some concerns in this game. Cardinals TE Trey McBride has a 57% success rate (9th) but he will likely be sidelined with a concussion.
• Arizona’s offense lost starting right tackle Jonah Williams in week 1 and backup Kelvin Beachum was out last week. Also, 3rd-string tackle Jackson Barton had to leave the game with a toe injury. The Cardinals could be down to 4th-string offensive tackle Charlie Heck on Sunday.
• Our model makes Arizona a 3.4-point favorite with a predicted total of 48.0.