Tennessee Titans @

Baltimore Ravens

Sun, Nov 22
10:00 AM Pacific
Rotation: 465
Odds: Baltimore Ravens -6, Total: 50.5

Game Analysis

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Strong Opinion – BALTIMORE (-6) over Tennessee

Lean – Under 50.5

Lamar Jackson is averaging a full yard per pass play less than he did in 2019 even after throwing for 249 yards last week, his second-highest mark this season. The decline of Baltimore’s offensive line has been a major factor in this offense averaging just 5.5 yards per play (23rd) in 2020. Pro Bowl RG Marshal Yanda retired this offseason, All-Pro LT Ronnie Stanley picked up a season-ending ankle injury in week 8 and his backup DJ Fluker has been terrible, surrendering a 12.4% pressure rate. As a result, Jackson is pressured on 37% of his dropbacks this season, compared to 31% last year. The Titans traded for nickelback Desmond King, who is conceding just 0.88 yards per cover snap in the slot (3rd) this year. King should limit Willie Snead, but Tennessee’s defense will once again be without top CB Adoree’ Jackson and DE Jadeveon Clowney and S Kenny Vaccaro are also out.

The Ravens are also dealing with injuries on the defensive line with two key interior players probably unavailable for this game. DT Calais Campbell and DT Brandon Williams have 26 combined run stops and the Patriots took advantage of both being injured last Monday night by rushing for 173 yards. I expect to see a heavy dose of Derrick Henry with both Campbell and Williams out. However, star CB Jimmy Smith is now expected to play for the Ravens.

Our model favors the Ravens by 9.9 points, with a predicted total of 46.6 points and Baltimore is a Strong Opinion at -6.5 or less.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Titans
  • Ravens
TEN
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 32.7 41.9
  • Succ Pass Plays 51.4% 53.8%
  • Sack Rate 4.3% 2.9%
  • Int Rate 0.9% 2.5%
  • Deep Pass Rate 12.6% 15.6%
  • Big Pass Yards 42.3% 31.9%
  • NYPP 6.9 6.7



Rush


  • Rush Plays 31.0 26.8
  • RB YPR 4.7 4.4
  • Stuff Rate 20.4% 19.9%
  • Succ Rush Plays 53.2% 54.2%
  • Big Rush Yards 41.2% 43.7%
  • Yards Per Rush 4.9 4.4




Game

  • All Snaps 63.7 68.7
  • Early Down Succ 53.9% 54.4%
  • Succ Rate 52.1% 54.2%
  • Big Yards Rate 42.6% 36.2%
  • Yards Per Play 5.8 5.8
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.2% 0.8%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 26.4 28.3
  • Run Ratio 49.1% 39.4%
  • Starting Field Pos 28.5 26.5
  • Game Control 1.2 -1.2
 
  • Points 27.7 26.1
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