San Francisco 49ers @

Tennessee Titans

Thu, Dec 23
5:20 PM Pacific
Rotation: 451
Odds: Tennessee Titans +3, Total: 44.5

Game Analysis

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San Francisco (-3) vs TENNESSEE

There’s good news and bad news for Ryan Tannehill on Thursday night. It looks like he will have Pro Bowl wide receiver AJ Brown and WR Julio Jones on the field together for the first game since their week 9 victory over the Rams.¬†Brown and Jones are averaging 2.11 yards per route run combined while all of Tennessee’s other WRs are averaging 1.08 yards per route run. The bad news is Tannehill might not have any time to get the ball to his receivers with left tackle Taylor Lewan and left guard Rodger Saffold both out. Furthermore, Titans RT David Quessenberry ranks 48th in pass blocking efficiency out of 53 qualifying tackles and he won’t be able to contain edge rusher Nick Bosa, who has 16.0 sacks (3rd). San Francisco interior defender Arik Armstead has 41 pressures (10th) and he will line up across from RG Nate Davis, who ranks 56th in pass blocking efficiency out of 58 qualifying guards.

The 49ers ground game tallied 162 yards and three touchdowns last week but but should be slowed a bit by Tennessee’s rush defense, which ranks 8th.¬†Jimmy Garoppolo will have to make some plays with his arm, but he could face some collapsing pockets. RG Daniel Brunskill ranks 52nd in pass blocking efficiency out of 58 qualifying guards and Titans interior defender Jeffery Simmons has 54 pressures (3rd).

Our model makes this game a pick with a predicted total of 47.3 points, but the matchup favors the Niners, and I suggest passing on this game.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • 49ers
  • Titans
SF
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 32.14 34.79
  • Succ Pass Plays 48.2% 42.9%
  • Sack Rate 6.0% 7.4%
  • Int Rate 2.1% 1.3%
  • Deep Pass Rate 15.9% 19.0%
  • Big Pass Yards 42.9% 44.1%
  • NYPP 7.47 6.13



Rush


  • Rush Plays 29.29 25.79
  • RB YPR 4.40 3.79
  • Stuff Rate 24.6% 24.4%
  • Succ Rush Plays 50.0% 44.6%
  • Big Rush Yards 44.3% 45.2%
  • Yards Per Rush 4.31 4.23




Game

  • All Snaps 61.43 60.57
  • Early Down Succ 52.6% 46.7%
  • Succ Rate 49.1% 43.6%
  • Big Yards Rate 43.3% 44.4%
  • Yards Per Play 5.96 5.32
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.8% 1.3%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 30.35 29.25
  • Run Ratio 47.7% 42.6%
  • Starting Field Pos 0.00 0.00
  • Game Control 1.86 -1.86
 
  • Points 25.71 22.21
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