San Francisco 49ers @

Seattle Seahawks

Sun, Sep 25
1:05 PM Pacific
Rotation: 477
Odds: Seattle Seahawks -9.5, Total: 40.5

Game Analysis

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The Niners have scored 28 and 27 points against the Rams (who held Seattle to 3 points) and the Panthers, respectively.  Chip Kelly led teams continue to play at a blistering pace of  under 24 seconds a play.  While the Seattle offense has been anemic this year, averaging only  7.5 points this year, look for Russell Wilson to emphasize pushing the ball more as he has thrown the ball deep an abnormally low 11% of the time, where he has historically had success. The model likes the Over, so we will make the SF/SEA OVER 40.5 a *1-star Best Bet at -110 or better. The model also leans with SF plus the points and the Niners apply to an 80-35-1 ATS bounce-back situation that plays on teams that lost by 14 points or more and allowed 42 points or more the previous week.

tpp-v-rr2

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • 49ers
  • Seahawks
SF
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 32.7 37.0
  • Succ Pass Plays 37.7% 41.5%
  • Sack Rate 1.8% 4.6%
  • Int Rate 3.2% 3.8%
  • Deep Pass Rate 15.4% 20.5%
  • Big Pass Yards 29.8% 49.4%
  • NYPP 5.3 6.9



Rush


  • Rush Plays 33.3 31.3
  • RB YPR 3.3 3.7
  • Stuff Rate 25.2% 24.1%
  • Succ Rush Plays 36.8% 38.1%
  • Big Rush Yards 37.3% 35.9%
  • Yards Per Rush 3.5 3.8




Game

  • All Snaps 66.0 68.3
  • Early Down Succ 39.0% 39.8%
  • Succ Rate 37.5% 39.5%
  • Big Yards Rate 35.7% 44.8%
  • Yards Per Play 4.5 5.4
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.9% 1.8%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 24.3 29.3
  • Run Ratio 50.4% 45.5%
  • Starting Field Pos 30.6 32.7
  • Dominance Rating -4.9 4.9
 
  • Points 24.3 27.7
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