Pittsburgh Steelers @

Indianapolis Colts

Mon, Nov 28
5:15 PM Pacific
Rotation: 275
Odds: Indianapolis Colts -2.5, Total: 39

Game Analysis

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INDIANAPOLIS (-2.5) vs Pittsburgh

· The Colts have won by more than a field goal only twice this season and those victories were by 5 and 7 points. Indianapolis just isn’t good enough offensively to win by margin.

· Pittsburgh’s defense is rounding into form with edge defender TJ Watt back on the field and safety Minkah Fitzpatrick with another week of recovery under his belt after an appendectomy. I was surprised to see Fitzpatrick gut it out last Sunday, but he will likely be much stronger this week.

· The Steelers have one of the league’s best defenses with Watt and Fitzpatrick healthy and they should shut down the Colts.

· Jonathan Taylor has 49 touches the last two weeks since Jeff Saturday became head coach, but I doubt he gets it going on the ground Monday night. Pittsburgh’s defense is conceding only 3.4 yards per carry since Watt came back.

· Indianapolis WR Michael Pittman has a 57% success rate (19th) but Matt Ryan will struggle to get him the ball against cornerback Cameron Sutton, who ranks 21st in coverage grade by PFF.

· Kenny Pickett will likely have decent protection in this game. Colts defensive tackle DeForest Buckner 33 pressures (11th) but RG James Daniels ranks 7th in pass blocking efficiency and LG Kevin Dotson ranks 13th in pass blocking efficiency.

· Pickett will look to his tight end Pat Freiermuth, who is averaging 1.76 yards per route run (4th). Indianapolis has surrendered 8.3 yards per target to TEs (26th).

· Our model favors the Colts by 1.4 with a predicted total of 39.4 points.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Steelers
  • Colts
PIT
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 0.00 0.00
  • Succ Pass Plays 0.0% 0.0%
  • Sack Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Int Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Deep Pass Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Big Pass Yards 0.0% 0.0%
  • NYPP 0.00 0.00



Rush


  • Rush Plays 0.00 0.00
  • RB YPR 0.00 0.00
  • Stuff Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Succ Rush Plays 0.0% 0.0%
  • Big Rush Yards 0.0% 0.0%
  • Yards Per Rush 0.00 0.00




Game

  • All Snaps 0.00 0.00
  • Early Down Succ 0.0% 0.0%
  • Succ Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Big Yards Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Yards Per Play 0.00 0.00
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 0.00 0.00
  • Run Ratio 0.0% 0.0%
  • Starting Field Pos 0.00 0.00
  • Game Control 0.00 0.00
 
  • Points 0.00 0.00
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