Pittsburgh Steelers @

Baltimore Ravens

Sun, Jan 9
10:00 AM Pacific
Rotation: 471
Odds: Baltimore Ravens -3.5, Total: 41

Game Analysis

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2-Star Best Bet – Baltimore Team Total Under (22 -115)

Alternate plays are 1-Star Pittsburgh (+3.5) and 1-Star Under (41)

Pittsburgh (+3.5) over BALTIMORE

Under (41)

Tyler Huntley is overrated after winning in Chicago and keeping Baltimore competitive against three above average teams. The Ravens lost to the Browns, Packers, and Rams by a combined 4 points with Huntley under center. However, Huntley is averaging just 4.9 yards per passplay and 53.0 rushing yards per game since Lamar Jackson’s right ankle injury. Jackson averaged 6.4 yppp this year with 69.3 rushing yards per game and he 5.7 points better than Huntley. Baltimore WR Marquise Brown gained only 4.0 yards per target the last month after starting the season averaging 8.3 yards per target through the first 13 weeks with Jackson.

Ben Roethlisberger’s 24 completions averaged just 2.7 air yards last week and he will have no interest in throwing downfield in Sunday’s rain. Najee Harris will struggle in the ground game against the Ravens 5th-rated rush defense.

Our model favors the Steelers by 0.4 points, with a predicted total of 36.0 points, and I feel that the best play is 2-Stars on Baltimore to go under their Team Total (at 21 or more). If you don’t have Team Totals you can play 1-Star on Pittsburgh and 1-Star on Under.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Steelers
  • Ravens
PIT
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 41.06 36.44
  • Succ Pass Plays 42.5% 45.1%
  • Sack Rate 5.6% 8.9%
  • Int Rate 1.6% 2.1%
  • Deep Pass Rate 14.3% 18.5%
  • Big Pass Yards 32.3% 33.4%
  • NYPP 5.39 6.04



Rush


  • Rush Plays 23.81 28.88
  • RB YPR 3.86 4.63
  • Stuff Rate 23.9% 21.6%
  • Succ Rush Plays 47.5% 51.3%
  • Big Rush Yards 40.0% 49.6%
  • Yards Per Rush 3.92 4.82




Game

  • All Snaps 64.88 65.31
  • Early Down Succ 47.5% 52.3%
  • Succ Rate 44.3% 47.8%
  • Big Yards Rate 34.5% 39.4%
  • Yards Per Play 4.85 5.50
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.8% 0.8%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 27.52 28.82
  • Run Ratio 36.7% 44.2%
  • Starting Field Pos 0.00 0.00
  • Game Control -3.78 3.78
 
  • Points 22.06 22.44
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