Philadelphia Eagles @

Washington Commanders

Sun, Sep 25
10:00 AM Pacific
Rotation: 475
Odds: Washington Commanders +6.5, Total: 47

Game Analysis

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2-Star Best Bet – **Under (49) – Philadelphia (-6.5) vs WASHINGTON

· Both quarterbacks in this game have been performing too high above expectations based on career sample sizes for us to think they can keep up the current pace. Philadelphia and Washington’s offenses rank 4th and 8th in scoring, respectively, but they will regress.

· Carson Wentz has passed for 300+ yards and three touchdowns in the first two games this season. Wentz had just four games with at least 300 passing yards and three passing TDs in his previous six seasons.

· Jalen Hurts completed a career-high +14.7% of his passes over expected last Monday night, but I do not believe he is all of the sudden one the league’s most accurate quarterbacks.

· Five of DeVonta Smith’s nine targets this year have come from the slot but Commanders nickelback Benjamin St-Juste is conceding 0.53 yards per cover snap in the slot (3rd).

· Darius Slay had more interceptions (2) than receptions allowed (1) as the nearest defender on 5 targets to Justin Jefferson last week. The Pro Bowl cornerback will contain WR Terry McLaurin on Sunday.

· Washington’s running backs have a 25.9% target share (6th-most), but I don’t expect Antonio Gibson and JD McKissic to be open as much on Sunday. The Eagles conceded only 5.1 yards per target to opposing running backs in 2021 and have allowed just 3.6 yards per target to RBs in the first two weeks of this year. 

· Our model has the Eagles by 5.3 points, with a predicted total of only 41.6 points, and the Under is a 2-Star Best Bet at 48 points or more (Strong Opinion down to 47 points).

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Eagles
  • Commanders
PHI
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 0.00 0.00
  • Succ Pass Plays 0.0% 0.0%
  • Sack Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Int Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Deep Pass Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Big Pass Yards 0.0% 0.0%
  • NYPP 0.00 0.00



Rush


  • Rush Plays 0.00 0.00
  • RB YPR 0.00 0.00
  • Stuff Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Succ Rush Plays 0.0% 0.0%
  • Big Rush Yards 0.0% 0.0%
  • Yards Per Rush 0.00 0.00




Game

  • All Snaps 0.00 0.00
  • Early Down Succ 0.0% 0.0%
  • Succ Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Big Yards Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Yards Per Play 0.00 0.00
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 0.00 0.00
  • Run Ratio 0.0% 0.0%
  • Starting Field Pos 0.00 0.00
  • Game Control 0.00 0.00
 
  • Points 0.00 0.00
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