Philadelphia Eagles @

Dallas Cowboys

Mon, Sep 27
5:15 PM Pacific
Rotation: 497
Odds: Dallas Cowboys -3.5, Total: 52

Game Analysis

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DALLAS (-3.5) vs Philadelphia

This Monday night game will be defined by those not on the field with Dallas and Philadelphia missing about 2.5 points worth of players combined. Eagles edge defender Brandon Graham ruptured his Achilles tendon and is out for the year. Graham had at least 50 pressures in eight-straight seasons and his absence will be felt. Meanwhile, Cowboys edge defender DeMarcus Lawrence (20th in pass rushing efficiency last year) underwent foot surgery last Thursday. Eagles RG Brandon Brooks conceded just a 3.3% pressure rate his last season in 2019, missed all of 2020, and now has a strained pec. Dallas RT La’el Collins (serving his five-game suspension) also missed all of 2020 but was 13 in pass blocking efficiency in 2019. Cowboys WR Michael Gallup will also be on the sideline.

Rookie Micah Parsons was excellent in his first game at edge defender, tallying 7 pressures last week but he likely won’t fare as well across from RT Lane Johnson. However, Jalen Hurts could still be forced out of the pocket as backup G Landon Dickerson has allowed 5 pressures on 12 true pass blocking snaps filling in for Brooks.

Philadelphia’s defense starts up front on their interior with Javon Hargrave and Fletcher Cox finishing 9th and 12th respectively in pass rushing efficiency last year. Hargrave and Cox have 12 total pressures so far this season, but the duo will likely be slowed on Sunday. LG Connor Williams and RG Zack Martin have conceded only one pressure combined and should give Dak Prescott time in the pocket.

Our model favors the Cowboys by 5.0 points, with a predicted total of 50.9 points, but Philadelphia applies to a 60-23-6 ATS week 3 situation and Dallas applies to a 124-223-18 ATS early season angle.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Eagles
  • Cowboys
PHI
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 31.0 34.0
  • Succ Pass Plays 47.0% 48.1%
  • Sack Rate 5.2% 3.9%
  • Int Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Deep Pass Rate 21.1% 12.1%
  • Big Pass Yards 45.2% 10.6%
  • NYPP 7.3 5.3



Rush


  • Rush Plays 29.5 32.0
  • RB YPR 4.0 4.0
  • Stuff Rate 20.7% 26.6%
  • Succ Rush Plays 57.6% 43.5%
  • Big Rush Yards 43.5% 41.5%
  • Yards Per Rush 5.5 3.9




Game

  • All Snaps 60.5 66.0
  • Early Down Succ 57.0% 49.4%
  • Succ Rate 52.4% 45.3%
  • Big Yards Rate 44.1% 23.8%
  • Yards Per Play 6.4 4.5
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 27.8 29.0
  • Run Ratio 49.1% 48.3%
  • Starting Field Pos 0.0 0.0
  • Game Control 2.5 -2.5
 
  • Points 21.5 11.5
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