Philadelphia Eagles @

Arizona Cardinals

Sun, Dec 20
1:05 PM Pacific
Rotation: 363
Odds: Arizona Cardinals -6.5, Total: 49

Game Analysis

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1-Star Best Bet – Over (48.5) – ARIZONA vs Philadelphia

Lean – Arizona (-6.5)

Kyler Murray started using his legs again last Sunday, running the bay 13 times after combining for only 15 rushing attempts in the three previous games. Murray’s scrambling ability takes this Cardinals offense from league average to a top 10 unit and I expect the QB to continue running as the Cardinals make their push for the playoffs. This week, Murray will benefit from Philadelphia’s missing three starters in the secondary, as CB Avonte Maddox (knee), safety Rodney McLeod (knee), and CB Darius Slay (concussion) are all expected to be sidelined. DeAndre Hopkins is averaging 2.29 yards per route run (7th) and Murray should be able to find his All-Pro wide receiver downfield against backups in the secondary with protection from his good offensive line. RT Kelvin Beachum ranks 9th in pass blocking efficiency and he will limit edge defender Brandon Graham, who has 46 pressures (12th). Javon Hargrave and Fletcher Cox have combined for 73 pressures on the interior but the pair will be stifled by Cardinals guards Justin Pugh and JR Sweezy, who rank 2nd and 14th respectively in pass blocking efficiency.

Jalen Hurts brings an added dimension to Philadelphia’s offense with his running ability. Hurt had 106 rushing yards in his first start, the third highest in any game from a quarterback this season. The Eagles have a top 10 rush offense that should improve with the more mobile rookie quarterback and Arizona’s rush defense ranks last by our metrics.

Our model favors the Cardinals by 7.1 points, with a predicted total of 54.2 points. The Over is a 1-Star Best Bet at 49.5 points or less (Strong Opinion Over 50 points).

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Eagles
  • Cardinals
PHI
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 41.2 36.5
  • Succ Pass Plays 40.4% 45.8%
  • Sack Rate 9.9% 8.7%
  • Int Rate 3.4% 0.8%
  • Deep Pass Rate 17.6% 16.8%
  • Big Pass Yards 38.5% 36.4%
  • NYPP 4.9 6.2



Rush


  • Rush Plays 24.3 30.0
  • RB YPR 5.2 3.9
  • Stuff Rate 22.9% 25.5%
  • Succ Rush Plays 51.3% 42.7%
  • Big Rush Yards 47.8% 51.8%
  • Yards Per Rush 5.3 4.4




Game

  • All Snaps 65.5 66.5
  • Early Down Succ 46.8% 47.4%
  • Succ Rate 44.4% 44.3%
  • Big Yards Rate 43.8% 43.0%
  • Yards Per Play 5.0 5.3
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.8% 1.1%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 26.7 28.7
  • Run Ratio 37.1% 45.1%
  • Starting Field Pos 27.0 30.8
  • Game Control -2.9 2.9
 
  • Points 21.3 25.2
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