New York Giants @

Miami Dolphins

Sun, Dec 5
10:00 AM Pacific
Rotation: 465
Odds: Miami Dolphins -6, Total: 40

Game Analysis

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MIAMI (-6) vs NY Giants

Mike Glennon will be under center for the Giants this week with Daniel Jones out due to a strained neck. Glennon is averaging 5.5 yards per pass play during his career and I don’t consider him to be a major downgrade from Jones in the passing department. However, Jones’s rushing is worth about 2 points according to our numbers.

Dolphins edge defender Jaelan Phillips had the most pressures by a rookie in a game (9) since the start of 2020 last week, but he will be limited on Sunday by LT Andrew Thomas, who ranks 10th in pass blocking efficiency.

Giants’ safety Logan Ryan will likely suit up this week after missing the last two games just in time to face tight end Mike Gesicki, who is averaging 1.65 yards per route run in games Tua Tagovailoa gets the majority of snaps under center. New York interior defender Leonard Williams has 38 pressures (7th) and he will cruise through LG Austin Jackson, who ranks 54th in pass blocking efficiency out of 61 qualifying guards.

Our model makes Miami a 5.1-point favorite with a predicted total of 41.8 points.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Giants
  • Dolphins
NYG
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 37.55 40.00
  • Succ Pass Plays 44.8% 48.6%
  • Sack Rate 5.6% 4.8%
  • Int Rate 2.3% 3.1%
  • Deep Pass Rate 13.5% 18.3%
  • Big Pass Yards 30.2% 30.7%
  • NYPP 6.03 6.09



Rush


  • Rush Plays 23.64 27.82
  • RB YPR 3.37 4.46
  • Stuff Rate 27.3% 16.0%
  • Succ Rush Plays 43.1% 54.2%
  • Big Rush Yards 42.8% 38.4%
  • Yards Per Rush 3.84 4.59




Game

  • All Snaps 61.18 67.82
  • Early Down Succ 47.1% 54.2%
  • Succ Rate 44.1% 50.9%
  • Big Yards Rate 33.7% 33.2%
  • Yards Per Play 5.19 5.48
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.7% 0.8%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 28.78 27.84
  • Run Ratio 38.6% 41.0%
  • Starting Field Pos 0.00 0.00
  • Game Control -2.54 2.54
 
  • Points 18.36 23.00
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