New York Giants @

Dallas Cowboys

Thu, Nov 24
1:30 PM Pacific
Rotation: 107
Odds: Dallas Cowboys -10, Total: 45.5

Game Analysis

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Lean – DALLAS (-10) over NY Giants

Lean – Under (45.5)

· New York’s offensive line and secondary are in shambles. It looks like Dallas will take over sole possession of second in the NFC East on Thanksgiving.

· Giants right tackle Evan Neal will need another week before returning while backup G Josh Ezeudu (neck), starting C Jon Feliciano (neck), and backup G Shane Lemieux (toe) have also been ruled out. Starting guard Ben Bredeson as well as backup tackle Tyre Phillips will also likely be sidelined.

· New York LT Andrew Thomas has allowed just one pressure in his last 3 games, but he missed practice this week with an illness and might not be fully recovered by Thursday.

· I think the disaster on the Giants offensive line should be worth around 2 points.

· The Cowboys lead the NFL with an 11.9% sack rate, and it will likely get even higher after this week with Daniel Jones running for his life.

· Offensive coordinator Mike Kafka will likely attempt to replicate Green Bay’s plan against the Dallas defense by featuring Saquon Barkley. The Packers ran or threw to a running back on 41 of 61 snaps versus the Cowboys and averaged 6.8 yards per play.

· The Dallas rush defense ranks 28th according to our numbers and they are allowing 6.0 yards per target to RBs (23rd).

· New York’s secondary will be without starting safety Xavier McKinney and starting cornerback Adoree Jackson, who ranks 24th in coverage grade by PFF. Furthermore, CB Fabian Moreau has not been practicing and could join the other two on the sideline.

· Giants DTs Dexter Lawrence and Leonard Williams are combining for 6.6 interior pressures per game when they are both on the field. However, Dak Prescott should have time to sit back and dial up some shots versus the decimated secondary. Cowboys’ guards Zack Martin and Connor McGovern along with center Tyler Biadasz have combined to concede only one sack in the middle of the Dallas offensive line all season.

· Our model favors the Cowboys by 12.5 points, with a predicted total of 43.0 points and this game applies to a 798-598-17 late season Under angle.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Giants
  • Cowboys
NYG
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 0.00 0.00
  • Succ Pass Plays 0.0% 0.0%
  • Sack Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Int Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Deep Pass Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Big Pass Yards 0.0% 0.0%
  • NYPP 0.00 0.00



Rush


  • Rush Plays 0.00 0.00
  • RB YPR 0.00 0.00
  • Stuff Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Succ Rush Plays 0.0% 0.0%
  • Big Rush Yards 0.0% 0.0%
  • Yards Per Rush 0.00 0.00




Game

  • All Snaps 0.00 0.00
  • Early Down Succ 0.0% 0.0%
  • Succ Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Big Yards Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Yards Per Play 0.00 0.00
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 0.00 0.00
  • Run Ratio 0.0% 0.0%
  • Starting Field Pos 0.00 0.00
  • Game Control 0.00 0.00
 
  • Points 0.00 0.00
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