New York Giants @

Cincinnati Bengals

Sun, Nov 29
10:00 AM Pacific
Rotation: 255
Odds: Cincinnati Bengals +6, Total: 43

Game Analysis

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Lean – CINCINNATI (+6) over NY Giants

Ryan Finley had negative net passing yards on 14 dropbacks last week in relief of Joe Burrow and the Bengals wisely will not send the backup quarterback out there again this week. The next man up is Brandon Allen, who averaged 4.9 yards per pass play in three starts with Denver last season. I’m not optimistic about Allen’s chances behind an offensive line that is ranked 27th in pass blocking efficiency. Particularly troublesome for Allen is the match up of NYG DT Leonard Williams, who has 5 sacks on the interior, lining up across from LG Michael Jordan, who ranks 52nd out of 55 qualifying guards in pass blocking efficiency.

Daniel Jones has regressed from 2019 in both air yards per attempt and average yards per pass play and hasn’t reached 300 yards or three passing touchdowns in a game all year. That is not terribly surprising given that Jason Garrett is one of the worst offensive coordinators in the NFL. RT Cameron Fleming ranks 51st out of 59 qualifying tackles in pass blocking efficiency and he will have a hard time containing DE Carl Lawson off the edge.

There is likely to be some ugly quarterback play in this game and our model favors the Giants by 3.7 points, with a predicted total of 40.3 points.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Giants
  • Bengals
NYG
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 36.6 0.0
  • Succ Pass Plays 42.8% 0.0%
  • Sack Rate 8.3% 0.0%
  • Int Rate 2.7% 0.0%
  • Deep Pass Rate 12.8% 0.0%
  • Big Pass Yards 34.9% 0.0%
  • NYPP 5.4 0.0



Rush


  • Rush Plays 24.8 0.0
  • RB YPR 3.4 0.0
  • Stuff Rate 22.8% 0.0%
  • Succ Rush Plays 47.6% 0.0%
  • Big Rush Yards 48.3% 0.0%
  • Yards Per Rush 4.4 0.0




Game

  • All Snaps 61.4 0.0
  • Early Down Succ 46.6% 0.0%
  • Succ Rate 45.1% 0.0%
  • Big Yards Rate 40.1% 0.0%
  • Yards Per Play 5.0 0.0
  • Fumble Lost Rate 1.1% 0.0%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 28.7 0.0
  • Run Ratio 40.5% 0.0%
  • Starting Field Pos 0.0 0.0
  • Game Control -0.5 0.5
 
  • Points 19.5 23.6
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