Game Analysis
SEATTLE (-2) vs Los Angeles Rams
After losing two Pro-Bowlers in the secondary, the Seahawks may now be without their top two linebackers. Bobby Wagner (questionable) is vital to Seattle’s rush defense and is the only qualifying linebacker in the league with zero missed tackles this season, and K.J. Wright’s concussion only worsens the matter. The Seahawks have allowed the second-fewest receiving yards to opposing running backs and their rush defense ranks 4th in the second half of the season in large part to Wagner and Wright’s efforts but if they are unable to suit up it looks to be an excellent matchup for Todd Gurley, who ranks 4th among running backs in yards per route run and is averaging 4.4 yards per rush.
The Rams have injury concerns of their own with both starting offensive tackles listed as questionable. Jared Goff was terrible behind a poor offensive line last season and Los Angeles’s success on offense relies heavily on Andrew Whitworth and Rob Havenstein – so check their status as well as the status of Seattle’s linebackers.
Russell Wilson has struggled throughout his career against divisional opponents because they are the most familiar with his unique style. Seattle’s offense is gaining just 4.5 yards per play this season versus NFC West opponents compared to 6.2 yards per play in non-divisional games and my ratings favor the Rams by ½ a point in this game. However, that is assuming a standard home field advantage and the Seahawks tend to play well against other good teams at home (ask Philadelphia about that). Seattle also applies to a 71-27-3 ATS contrary indicator. This one is tough to call with the line value favoring the Rams and the situation favoring the Seahawks – not to mention the potentially significant injury situation for both teams. I’ll pass for now.
Pass
-
Pass Plays
34.1
37.7
-
Succ Pass Plays
46.7%
40.2%
-
Sack Rate
4.9%
8.3%
-
Int Rate
1.3%
3.5%
-
Deep Pass Rate
18.8%
18.0%
-
Big Pass Yards
51.4%
43.8%
-
NYPP
7.7
5.8
Rush
-
Rush Plays
29.2
26.9
-
RB YPR
3.9
4.5
-
Stuff Rate
26.1%
22.0%
-
Succ Rush Plays
47.0%
41.0%
-
Big Rush Yards
44.6%
43.2%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.0
4.6
Game
-
All Snaps
63.3
64.6
-
Early Down Succ
50.6%
41.4%
-
Succ Rate
46.6%
40.5%
-
Big Yards Rate
49.5%
45.6%
-
Yards Per Play
5.9
5.3
-
Fumble Lost Rate
1.4%
0.8%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
28.0
28.4
-
Run Ratio
46.1%
41.3%
-
Starting Field Pos
31.4
27.3
-
Game Control
6.7
-6.7
Pass
-
Pass Plays
38.5
37.8
-
Succ Pass Plays
46.4%
41.2%
-
Sack Rate
6.2%
6.4%
-
Int Rate
2.7%
2.2%
-
Deep Pass Rate
24.4%
24.0%
-
Big Pass Yards
45.4%
38.3%
-
NYPP
6.7
6.1
Rush
-
Rush Plays
27.2
27.4
-
RB YPR
3.1
3.5
-
Stuff Rate
29.2%
24.8%
-
Succ Rush Plays
37.9%
42.0%
-
Big Rush Yards
49.9%
36.8%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.0
3.8
Game
-
All Snaps
65.7
65.2
-
Early Down Succ
45.1%
43.0%
-
Succ Rate
42.8%
40.9%
-
Big Yards Rate
47.4%
40.9%
-
Yards Per Play
5.6
5.0
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.4%
1.2%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
27.6
27.6
-
Run Ratio
41.2%
42.0%
-
Starting Field Pos
28.3
27.1
-
Game Control
0.3
-0.3
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2017 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
IND |
46 – 9 W |
21.3 |
54.8% /
28.0% |
3.2% /
16.0% |
0.0% /
9.5% |
10.0 /
6.0 |
22.5% /
32.0% |
22.5% /
28.0% |
1.7 /
3.0 |
71 /
50 |
43.5% /
40.5% |
36.6% /
30.0% |
52.7% /
81.4% |
5.3 /
4.5 |
1.4% /
2.0% |
56.3% /
50.0% |
35.8 /
23.1 |
| 2 |
WAS |
20 – 27 L |
-4.5 |
39.3% /
48.3% |
7.1% /
6.9% |
3.8% /
0.0% |
8.6 /
5.4 |
59.1% /
46.2% |
13.6% /
17.9% |
4.2 /
5.9 |
50 /
68 |
51.4% /
49.1% |
48.0% /
47.1% |
61.9% /
46.2% |
6.7 /
5.7 |
2.0% /
0.0% |
44.0% /
57.4% |
22.4 /
34.5 |
| 3 |
@SF |
41 – 39 W |
8.5 |
64.3% /
46.3% |
0.0% /
9.8% |
0.0% /
2.7% |
10.4 /
7.5 |
51.5% /
51.5% |
30.3% /
27.3% |
3.8 /
3.4 |
61 /
74 |
57.4% /
47.2% |
57.4% /
48.6% |
55.4% /
50.8% |
6.9 /
5.7 |
3.3% /
1.4% |
54.1% /
44.6% |
36.1 /
36.1 |
| 4 |
@DAL |
35 – 30 W |
-2.3 |
48.6% /
35.1% |
2.7% /
5.4% |
0.0% /
2.9% |
6.6 /
6.8 |
65.6% /
55.6% |
21.9% /
14.8% |
5.3 /
7.0 |
69 /
64 |
63.0% /
41.7% |
56.5% /
43.8% |
51.6% /
52.3% |
6.0 /
6.9 |
0.0% /
1.6% |
46.4% /
42.2% |
34.8 /
22.4 |
| 5 |
SEA |
10 – 16 L |
0.8 |
35.4% /
45.0% |
4.2% /
7.5% |
4.3% /
5.4% |
5.7 /
4.5 |
40.9% /
19.2% |
45.5% /
23.1% |
4.5 /
2.4 |
70 /
66 |
33.3% /
31.3% |
37.1% /
34.8% |
44.3% /
8.7% |
5.4 /
3.7 |
4.3% /
0.0% |
31.4% /
39.4% |
29.2 /
35.2 |
| 6 |
@JAC |
27 – 17 W |
5.1 |
37.5% /
37.5% |
12.5% /
12.5% |
0.0% /
2.9% |
4.5 /
5.5 |
64.7% /
42.3% |
20.6% /
30.8% |
4.2 /
6.5 |
58 /
66 |
65.9% /
42.0% |
53.4% /
39.4% |
35.5% /
54.2% |
4.3 /
5.9 |
1.7% /
0.0% |
58.6% /
39.4% |
30.5 /
25.3 |
| 7 |
ARI |
33 – 0 W |
16.0 |
42.1% /
28.6% |
2.6% /
8.6% |
2.7% /
6.3% |
6.0 /
4.8 |
48.8% /
25.0% |
14.6% /
41.7% |
4.8 /
2.1 |
79 /
47 |
39.7% /
27.3% |
45.6% /
27.7% |
29.1% /
35.8% |
5.4 /
4.1 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
51.9% /
25.5% |
33.8 /
26.0 |
| 9 |
@NYG |
51 – 17 W |
19.5 |
54.5% /
42.5% |
0.0% /
5.0% |
0.0% /
2.6% |
14.1 /
5.2 |
37.5% /
59.3% |
40.0% /
11.1% |
4.1 /
4.1 |
62 /
67 |
44.7% /
51.0% |
43.5% /
49.3% |
71.3% /
38.1% |
7.6 /
4.8 |
0.0% /
3.0% |
64.5% /
40.3% |
40.8 /
27.0 |
| 10 |
HOU |
33 – 7 W |
9.5 |
41.5% /
30.8% |
7.3% /
7.7% |
0.0% /
5.6% |
8.3 /
5.0 |
32.1% /
34.6% |
28.6% /
26.9% |
3.8 /
3.5 |
69 /
65 |
42.6% /
34.0% |
37.7% /
32.3% |
63.9% /
46.8% |
6.5 /
4.4 |
0.0% /
3.1% |
40.6% /
40.0% |
31.2 /
29.4 |
| 11 |
@MIN |
7 – 24 L |
-1.7 |
47.4% /
55.3% |
5.3% /
0.0% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
5.5 /
7.4 |
38.9% /
36.1% |
38.9% /
19.4% |
2.6 /
4.8 |
56 /
74 |
50.0% /
44.6% |
44.6% /
45.9% |
18.0% /
50.2% |
4.6 /
6.1 |
1.8% /
0.0% |
32.1% /
48.6% |
24.6 /
22.2 |
| 12 |
NO |
26 – 20 W |
7.2 |
45.8% /
45.7% |
8.3% /
8.6% |
2.3% /
0.0% |
6.8 /
6.4 |
32.1% /
47.1% |
21.4% /
11.8% |
3.3 /
7.2 |
76 /
52 |
49.1% /
52.6% |
40.8% /
46.2% |
61.0% /
51.2% |
5.5 /
6.7 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
36.8% /
32.7% |
26.2 /
21.2 |
| 13 |
@ARI |
32 – 16 W |
9.9 |
50.0% /
39.5% |
3.1% /
15.8% |
3.2% /
6.3% |
6.7 /
5.1 |
50.0% /
50.0% |
25.0% /
8.3% |
3.8 /
4.9 |
56 /
62 |
54.5% /
42.6% |
50.0% /
43.5% |
41.6% /
39.1% |
5.4 /
5.0 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
42.9% /
38.7% |
34.9 /
27.7 |
| 14 |
PHI |
35 – 43 L |
-2.0 |
46.4% /
39.6% |
7.1% /
3.8% |
0.0% /
2.0% |
7.1 /
6.0 |
66.7% /
34.4% |
16.7% /
25.0% |
6.1 /
4.3 |
46 /
85 |
62.2% /
34.9% |
54.3% /
37.6% |
56.8% /
37.8% |
6.7 /
5.4 |
4.3% /
0.0% |
39.1% /
37.6% |
28.6 /
25.1 |
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2017 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
@GB |
9 – 17 L |
-2.5 |
40.0% /
50.0% |
10.0% /
8.7% |
0.0% /
2.4% |
4.5 /
6.2 |
38.9% /
35.5% |
50.0% /
19.4% |
5.0 /
2.8 |
48 /
77 |
44.4% /
44.6% |
39.6% /
44.2% |
58.7% /
37.8% |
4.7 /
4.8 |
2.1% /
0.0% |
37.5% /
40.3% |
27.5 /
25.9 |
| 2 |
SF |
12 – 9 W |
2.0 |
33.3% /
20.7% |
7.1% /
6.9% |
0.0% /
3.7% |
4.3 /
3.1 |
37.2% /
52.6% |
20.9% /
21.1% |
3.1 /
8.4 |
85 /
48 |
37.5% /
38.9% |
35.3% /
33.3% |
23.7% /
49.2% |
3.7 /
5.2 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
50.6% /
39.6% |
23.9 /
24.5 |
| 3 |
@TEN |
27 – 33 L |
-4.9 |
50.0% /
51.6% |
2.0% /
0.0% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
7.3 /
7.3 |
40.9% /
44.4% |
31.8% /
22.2% |
3.1 /
5.4 |
72 /
67 |
51.8% /
54.9% |
47.2% /
47.8% |
38.8% /
44.9% |
6.0 /
6.3 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
30.6% /
53.7% |
23.3 /
29.6 |
| 4 |
IND |
46 – 18 W |
7.0 |
65.5% /
37.5% |
10.3% /
9.4% |
7.7% /
3.4% |
9.8 /
4.3 |
42.4% /
52.0% |
24.2% /
8.0% |
5.9 /
3.9 |
62 /
57 |
47.8% /
44.2% |
53.2% /
43.9% |
67.7% /
30.0% |
7.7 /
4.2 |
0.0% /
1.8% |
53.2% /
43.9% |
20.2 /
28.3 |
| 5 |
@LA |
16 – 10 W |
-0.8 |
45.0% /
35.4% |
7.5% /
4.2% |
5.4% /
4.3% |
4.5 /
5.7 |
19.2% /
40.9% |
23.1% /
45.5% |
2.4 /
4.5 |
66 /
70 |
31.3% /
33.3% |
34.8% /
37.1% |
8.7% /
44.3% |
3.7 /
5.4 |
0.0% /
4.3% |
39.4% /
31.4% |
35.2 /
29.2 |
| 7 |
@NYG |
24 – 7 W |
1.0 |
50.0% /
22.5% |
2.5% /
2.5% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
8.0 /
3.3 |
50.0% /
41.2% |
21.9% /
17.6% |
3.3 /
2.7 |
72 /
57 |
53.6% /
31.8% |
50.0% /
28.1% |
43.9% /
14.1% |
5.9 /
3.1 |
1.4% /
1.8% |
44.4% /
29.8% |
33.8 /
22.8 |
| 8 |
HOU |
41 – 38 W |
-1.4 |
51.2% /
45.7% |
4.7% /
14.3% |
2.4% /
10.0% |
10.4 /
10.5 |
17.4% /
50.0% |
39.1% /
17.6% |
1.5 /
4.2 |
66 /
69 |
44.0% /
51.7% |
39.4% /
47.8% |
62.4% /
72.7% |
7.3 /
7.4 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
34.8% /
49.3% |
27.4 /
22.4 |
| 9 |
WAS |
14 – 17 L |
-2.3 |
43.5% /
40.5% |
4.3% /
16.2% |
4.5% /
0.0% |
6.3 /
5.2 |
57.1% /
39.1% |
14.3% /
34.8% |
5.3 /
2.2 |
74 /
60 |
51.7% /
42.6% |
48.6% /
40.0% |
48.5% /
51.6% |
5.9 /
4.1 |
0.0% /
1.7% |
37.8% /
38.3% |
30.7 /
27.8 |
| 10 |
@ARI |
22 – 16 W |
5.5 |
47.2% /
42.9% |
13.9% /
4.1% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
5.9 /
5.2 |
20.8% /
20.8% |
33.3% /
41.7% |
3.2 /
1.4 |
60 /
73 |
42.2% /
34.5% |
36.7% /
35.6% |
51.0% /
6.9% |
4.8 /
4.0 |
0.0% /
1.4% |
40.0% /
32.9% |
27.1 /
27.7 |
| 11 |
ATL |
31 – 34 L |
-8.5 |
48.9% /
53.6% |
6.7% /
3.6% |
2.4% /
0.0% |
5.0 /
6.8 |
65.2% /
34.4% |
21.7% /
21.9% |
5.9 /
2.8 |
68 /
60 |
57.4% /
40.5% |
54.4% /
43.3% |
46.7% /
37.7% |
5.3 /
4.7 |
1.5% /
1.7% |
33.8% /
53.3% |
36.4 /
33.0 |
| 12 |
@SF |
24 – 13 W |
7.2 |
44.1% /
38.1% |
0.0% /
7.1% |
2.9% /
2.6% |
6.7 /
4.7 |
38.7% /
45.8% |
25.8% /
33.3% |
2.9 /
3.5 |
65 /
66 |
44.0% /
42.9% |
41.5% /
40.9% |
48.6% /
43.6% |
4.9 /
4.2 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
47.7% /
36.4% |
32.2 /
25.4 |
| 13 |
PHI |
24 – 10 W |
8.3 |
48.5% /
45.8% |
6.1% /
6.3% |
0.0% /
2.2% |
6.3 /
6.8 |
19.2% /
53.8% |
26.9% /
23.1% |
3.9 /
3.8 |
59 /
74 |
35.6% /
48.1% |
35.6% /
48.6% |
39.5% /
51.8% |
5.3 /
5.7 |
0.0% /
1.4% |
44.1% /
35.1% |
20.4 /
25.4 |
| 14 |
@JAC |
24 – 30 L |
-6.2 |
36.4% /
51.9% |
6.1% /
0.0% |
9.7% /
0.0% |
7.9 /
9.9 |
45.8% /
34.9% |
45.8% /
16.3% |
5.9 /
3.7 |
57 /
70 |
44.7% /
51.0% |
40.4% /
41.4% |
77.8% /
47.4% |
7.0 /
6.1 |
0.0% /
1.4% |
42.1% /
61.4% |
30.0 /
30.6 |
Los Angeles Rams
@ 
Seattle Seahawks