Game Analysis
Rookie #1 overall pick, Jared Goff, has the odds stacked against him this week in his 5th career start and he is simply not a quarterback who figures to overcome the steep task of playing on the road on a short week against one of the top defenses in the league with a new interim head coach. Goff has been horrendous in his four starts, ranking last in the NFL for qualified passers at 4.3 NYPP and not once crossing the 40% passing success rate mark. Seattle played bad against Green Bay as Russell Wilson was picked off five times in route to a 38-10 loss. However, Wilson is still the 10th rated QB in the league this year and the Seahawks have returned a downhill running game that was struggling in the first half of the year, as they have averaged over 4.6 yards per rush the past four games. Both NFC West defenses are ranked in the top-10. However, the Seahawks also boast a top-10 offense and the Rams are ranked last in the league with Goff. The offensive talent gap is simply too wide and the advanced stats model sees value on the big home favorite and Under, so *Seahawks (-15) and *UNDER (38.5) LA/SEA are *1-star Best Bets.
Pass
-
Pass Plays
37.1
38.4
-
Succ Pass Plays
37.9%
45.7%
-
Sack Rate
7.0%
5.0%
-
Int Rate
3.3%
1.1%
-
Deep Pass Rate
14.1%
10.4%
-
Big Pass Yards
45.0%
31.9%
-
NYPP
5.6
5.9
Rush
-
Rush Plays
24.3
27.0
-
RB YPR
3.3
4.0
-
Stuff Rate
22.9%
30.3%
-
Succ Rush Plays
41.1%
41.1%
-
Big Rush Yards
27.1%
49.1%
-
Yards Per Rush
3.3
4.1
Game
-
All Snaps
61.4
65.4
-
Early Down Succ
41.6%
46.3%
-
Succ Rate
39.1%
43.6%
-
Big Yards Rate
40.5%
39.7%
-
Yards Per Play
4.7
5.2
-
Fumble Lost Rate
1.0%
0.9%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
28.7
28.2
-
Run Ratio
39.6%
41.6%
-
Starting Field Pos
26.5
26.0
-
Game Control
-4.4
4.4
Pass
-
Pass Plays
37.5
37.2
-
Succ Pass Plays
49.2%
44.3%
-
Sack Rate
6.6%
6.0%
-
Int Rate
2.3%
2.3%
-
Deep Pass Rate
19.7%
21.6%
-
Big Pass Yards
37.1%
39.1%
-
NYPP
6.9
6.4
Rush
-
Rush Plays
25.8
28.7
-
RB YPR
3.9
3.4
-
Stuff Rate
24.8%
23.4%
-
Succ Rush Plays
44.4%
43.5%
-
Big Rush Yards
38.9%
30.1%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.0
3.4
Game
-
All Snaps
63.3
65.8
-
Early Down Succ
51.0%
45.4%
-
Succ Rate
46.8%
43.5%
-
Big Yards Rate
38.9%
37.2%
-
Yards Per Play
5.7
5.0
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.7%
0.6%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
28.1
28.6
-
Run Ratio
40.2%
43.6%
-
Starting Field Pos
28.1
28.5
-
Game Control
2.5
-2.5
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
@SF |
0 – 28 L |
-12.6 |
27.0% /
45.7% |
5.4% /
0.0% |
5.7% /
0.0% |
3.2 /
4.9 |
37.5% /
37.2% |
20.8% /
32.6% |
2.8 /
3.5 |
61 /
78 |
35.7% /
40.4% |
31.1% /
41.0% |
29.0% /
35.2% |
3.0 /
4.1 |
0.0% /
1.3% |
39.3% /
55.1% |
31.4 /
24.4 |
| 2 |
SEA |
9 – 3 W |
2.9 |
39.4% /
37.8% |
9.1% /
5.4% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
6.6 /
6.5 |
29.6% /
33.3% |
25.9% /
45.8% |
2.4 /
2.8 |
60 /
61 |
40.9% /
37.5% |
35.0% /
36.1% |
41.4% /
44.8% |
4.8 /
5.0 |
0.0% /
3.3% |
45.0% /
39.3% |
23.7 /
17.0 |
| 3 |
@TB |
37 – 32 W |
0.7 |
40.7% /
50.0% |
3.7% /
3.3% |
3.8% /
1.7% |
6.8 /
6.5 |
57.6% /
65.2% |
21.2% /
17.4% |
4.2 /
3.7 |
60 /
83 |
51.1% /
55.6% |
50.0% /
54.2% |
43.4% /
30.9% |
5.3 /
5.7 |
1.7% /
1.2% |
55.0% /
27.7% |
28.9 /
28.5 |
| 4 |
@ARI |
17 – 13 W |
1.3 |
40.6% /
44.9% |
6.3% /
6.1% |
0.0% /
6.5% |
7.7 /
6.2 |
12.5% /
40.0% |
29.2% /
24.0% |
1.8 /
4.7 |
56 /
74 |
25.6% /
42.6% |
28.6% /
43.2% |
68.9% /
44.5% |
5.2 /
5.7 |
1.8% /
2.7% |
42.9% /
33.8% |
30.3 /
27.2 |
| 5 |
BUF |
19 – 30 L |
-4.3 |
42.9% /
36.0% |
11.4% /
8.0% |
6.5% /
0.0% |
6.9 /
4.5 |
55.2% /
46.4% |
13.8% /
28.6% |
3.5 /
6.9 |
64 /
53 |
54.0% /
45.0% |
48.4% /
41.5% |
54.8% /
56.5% |
5.4 /
5.8 |
1.6% /
0.0% |
45.3% /
52.8% |
21.2 /
34.0 |
| 6 |
@DET |
28 – 31 L |
0.9 |
66.7% /
56.3% |
3.0% /
3.1% |
3.1% /
0.0% |
9.4 /
8.3 |
54.5% /
39.3% |
31.8% /
28.6% |
3.5 /
3.0 |
55 /
60 |
62.2% /
48.8% |
61.8% /
48.3% |
32.3% /
43.4% |
7.0 /
5.8 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
40.0% /
46.7% |
20.5 /
30.4 |
| 7 |
NYG |
10 – 17 L |
1.8 |
33.9% /
40.5% |
5.4% /
0.0% |
7.5% /
0.0% |
4.8 /
5.3 |
55.0% /
36.4% |
10.0% /
18.2% |
3.7 /
1.7 |
76 /
59 |
35.7% /
45.2% |
39.5% /
39.0% |
36.8% /
34.6% |
4.5 /
4.0 |
0.0% /
1.7% |
26.3% /
37.3% |
26.8 /
21.5 |
| 9 |
CAR |
10 – 13 L |
-6.2 |
44.0% /
43.2% |
8.0% /
13.5% |
2.2% /
0.0% |
5.6 /
5.0 |
35.3% /
23.1% |
17.6% /
34.6% |
3.5 /
2.3 |
67 /
63 |
44.0% /
34.8% |
41.8% /
34.9% |
32.7% /
28.2% |
5.1 /
3.9 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
25.4% /
41.3% |
23.4 /
28.5 |
| 10 |
@NYJ |
9 – 6 W |
-0.5 |
36.4% /
39.4% |
9.1% /
3.0% |
0.0% /
3.1% |
4.7 /
4.8 |
40.5% /
48.0% |
27.0% /
32.0% |
3.5 /
5.6 |
70 /
58 |
43.8% /
47.8% |
38.6% /
43.1% |
49.1% /
50.3% |
4.0 /
5.1 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
52.9% /
43.1% |
27.6 /
17.7 |
| 11 |
MIA |
10 – 14 L |
6.9 |
28.1% /
44.7% |
3.1% /
10.5% |
0.0% /
2.9% |
3.9 /
3.7 |
27.6% /
36.8% |
34.5% /
42.1% |
3.6 /
5.2 |
61 /
57 |
31.8% /
50.0% |
27.9% /
42.1% |
36.4% /
23.8% |
3.7 /
4.2 |
1.6% /
0.0% |
47.5% /
33.3% |
29.1 /
23.1 |
| 12 |
@NO |
21 – 49 L |
-9.8 |
38.2% /
65.8% |
8.8% /
5.3% |
3.2% /
0.0% |
5.2 /
9.1 |
35.3% /
50.0% |
23.5% /
28.1% |
4.1 /
6.5 |
51 /
70 |
43.6% /
60.0% |
37.3% /
58.6% |
41.3% /
65.4% |
4.8 /
7.9 |
2.0% /
1.4% |
33.3% /
45.7% |
30.2 /
31.8 |
| 13 |
@NE |
10 – 26 L |
-15.0 |
16.7% /
45.7% |
11.1% /
0.0% |
6.3% /
0.0% |
3.5 /
5.8 |
28.6% /
41.9% |
28.6% /
25.8% |
2.6 /
4.4 |
50 /
77 |
22.9% /
50.9% |
20.0% /
44.2% |
40.5% /
23.5% |
3.3 /
5.2 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
28.0% /
40.3% |
25.1 /
27.6 |
| 14 |
ATL |
14 – 42 L |
-23.1 |
38.6% /
43.8% |
6.8% /
6.3% |
4.9% /
0.0% |
4.7 /
6.9 |
65.2% /
36.0% |
13.0% /
36.0% |
4.5 /
2.6 |
67 /
57 |
49.1% /
43.2% |
47.8% /
40.4% |
19.6% /
34.6% |
4.7 /
5.0 |
4.5% /
0.0% |
34.3% /
43.9% |
26.0 /
26.7 |
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
MIA |
12 – 10 W |
1.6 |
50.0% /
21.2% |
6.5% /
12.1% |
2.3% /
0.0% |
5.2 /
4.8 |
50.0% /
35.0% |
21.9% /
30.0% |
3.5 /
3.2 |
78 /
53 |
54.2% /
28.2% |
50.0% /
26.4% |
19.6% /
53.2% |
4.5 /
4.2 |
1.3% /
0.0% |
41.0% /
37.7% |
22.5 /
32.1 |
| 2 |
@LA |
3 – 9 L |
-2.9 |
37.8% /
39.4% |
5.4% /
9.1% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
6.5 /
6.6 |
33.3% /
29.6% |
45.8% /
25.9% |
2.8 /
2.4 |
61 /
60 |
37.5% /
40.9% |
36.1% /
35.0% |
44.8% /
41.4% |
5.0 /
4.8 |
3.3% /
0.0% |
39.3% /
45.0% |
17.0 /
23.7 |
| 3 |
SF |
37 – 18 W |
19.7 |
50.0% /
28.0% |
5.9% /
0.0% |
3.1% /
4.0% |
8.6 /
4.8 |
36.4% /
38.7% |
27.3% /
16.1% |
3.9 /
4.4 |
67 /
56 |
40.0% /
35.0% |
43.3% /
33.9% |
49.9% /
25.2% |
6.3 /
4.5 |
1.5% /
0.0% |
49.3% /
55.4% |
35.1 /
33.6 |
| 4 |
@NYJ |
27 – 17 W |
5.2 |
61.8% /
40.0% |
5.9% /
8.9% |
0.0% /
7.3% |
8.5 /
5.5 |
31.0% /
30.0% |
31.0% /
25.0% |
2.4 /
2.9 |
63 /
65 |
57.4% /
32.7% |
47.6% /
36.9% |
56.3% /
16.7% |
5.7 /
4.7 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
46.0% /
30.8% |
32.8 /
20.3 |
| 6 |
ATL |
26 – 24 W |
2.4 |
60.5% /
45.7% |
2.6% /
8.7% |
0.0% /
2.4% |
6.9 /
6.7 |
41.9% /
44.4% |
16.1% /
22.2% |
2.4 /
2.9 |
69 /
64 |
63.3% /
49.0% |
52.2% /
45.3% |
20.8% /
40.9% |
4.9 /
5.7 |
0.0% /
1.6% |
44.9% /
28.1% |
37.4 /
21.0 |
| 7 |
@ARI |
6 – 6 T |
-1.7 |
34.2% /
43.4% |
2.6% /
7.5% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
5.4 /
5.9 |
36.8% /
54.1% |
31.6% /
24.3% |
2.7 /
3.6 |
57 /
90 |
39.5% /
47.8% |
35.1% /
47.8% |
26.5% /
33.4% |
4.5 /
4.9 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
33.3% /
41.1% |
25.1 /
28.5 |
| 8 |
@NO |
20 – 25 L |
2.7 |
48.6% /
62.2% |
2.9% /
5.4% |
2.9% /
0.0% |
8.1 /
6.8 |
76.5% /
40.0% |
17.6% /
14.3% |
4.4 /
3.5 |
52 /
72 |
61.0% /
49.1% |
57.7% /
51.4% |
35.1% /
28.8% |
6.9 /
5.2 |
0.0% /
1.4% |
32.7% /
48.6% |
27.1 /
26.9 |
| 9 |
BUF |
31 – 25 W |
4.1 |
63.3% /
55.8% |
13.3% /
11.6% |
0.0% /
2.6% |
8.2 /
6.1 |
38.5% /
57.9% |
38.5% /
15.8% |
2.6 /
4.3 |
43 /
81 |
64.7% /
54.0% |
55.8% /
56.8% |
29.7% /
30.6% |
6.5 /
5.2 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
30.2% /
46.9% |
30.6 /
31.4 |
| 10 |
@NE |
31 – 24 W |
1.0 |
57.5% /
55.9% |
7.5% /
5.9% |
0.0% /
3.1% |
8.1 /
8.9 |
46.2% /
53.6% |
19.2% /
28.6% |
3.7 /
2.9 |
66 /
62 |
53.7% /
54.9% |
53.0% /
54.8% |
39.8% /
44.2% |
6.4 /
6.2 |
0.0% /
1.6% |
39.4% /
45.2% |
28.5 /
26.1 |
| 11 |
PHI |
26 – 15 W |
9.7 |
45.5% /
46.8% |
3.0% /
4.3% |
0.0% /
4.4% |
8.7 /
4.1 |
29.4% /
61.5% |
20.6% /
23.1% |
4.6 /
4.3 |
67 /
73 |
43.5% /
57.4% |
37.3% /
52.1% |
57.2% /
30.5% |
6.6 /
4.2 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
50.7% /
35.6% |
32.4 /
23.4 |
| 12 |
@TB |
5 – 14 L |
-10.5 |
30.8% /
53.6% |
15.4% /
0.0% |
6.1% /
3.6% |
3.0 /
7.9 |
54.5% /
41.0% |
13.6% /
17.9% |
5.8 /
3.1 |
61 /
67 |
44.9% /
54.0% |
39.3% /
46.3% |
30.6% /
31.4% |
4.0 /
5.1 |
1.6% /
1.5% |
36.1% /
58.2% |
21.5 /
33.2 |
| 13 |
CAR |
40 – 7 W |
17.3 |
52.4% /
30.3% |
7.1% /
0.0% |
2.6% /
3.0% |
7.0 /
5.5 |
44.8% /
42.9% |
27.6% /
33.3% |
8.3 /
4.2 |
71 /
54 |
50.0% /
34.1% |
49.3% /
35.2% |
62.5% /
51.3% |
7.5 /
5.0 |
0.0% /
1.9% |
40.8% /
38.9% |
29.5 /
30.5 |
| 14 |
@GB |
10 – 38 L |
-16.0 |
47.6% /
53.8% |
7.1% /
3.8% |
12.8% /
0.0% |
5.2 /
9.1 |
57.7% /
36.4% |
11.5% /
27.3% |
5.2 /
2.9 |
68 /
59 |
52.7% /
53.7% |
51.5% /
44.1% |
32.5% /
56.2% |
5.2 /
5.6 |
1.5% /
0.0% |
38.2% /
55.9% |
26.2 /
39.6 |
Los Angeles Rams
@ 
Seattle Seahawks