Los Angeles Rams @

New York Giants

Sun, Oct 17
10:00 AM Pacific
Rotation: 265
Odds: New York Giants +7.5, Total: 49.5

Game Analysis

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LA Rams (-7.5) vs NY GIANTS

The Giants lead the league with a 39% no-huddle rate but it’s possible they slow it down this week with QB Daniel Jones coming off a concussion. Jones is averaging 7.4 yards per pass play (6th) and 39.4 rushing yards per game, but he will likely be more conservative in regard to running with the ball after being carted off the field at AT&T Stadium.

RB Saquon Barkley (ankle) and WR Kenny Golladay (knee) are out, but WR Sterling Shepard should return. Shepard was averaging 2.42 yards per route run before missing the past two weeks. Rookie WR Kadarius Toney had eight first downs last game. I think New York’s receivers could be stronger this week even with Golladay not in uniform with Shepard back and Toney getting comfortable in the offense.

Rams’ interior defender Aaron Donald ranks 4th in pass rushing efficiency and the Giants won’t be able to contain the All-Pro. Three different Giants have played left guard this season combining to surrender a 6.3% pressure rate.

The Matthew Stafford-Cooper Kupp connection has been a problem for defenses and will continue to be on Sunday. Kupp is averaging 2.95 yards per slot route run (2nd) and New York’s nickelbacks are surrendering 1.52 yards per cover snap.

Our model favors the Rams by 6.6 points, with a predicted total of 49.7 points.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Rams
  • Giants
LOS
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 35.2 42.0
  • Succ Pass Plays 56.3% 54.3%
  • Sack Rate 2.4% 6.8%
  • Int Rate 1.7% 2.8%
  • Deep Pass Rate 25.8% 17.8%
  • Big Pass Yards 46.7% 31.5%
  • NYPP 9.2 7.0



Rush


  • Rush Plays 25.4 26.0
  • RB YPR 4.0 3.8
  • Stuff Rate 28.1% 22.5%
  • Succ Rush Plays 51.6% 55.0%
  • Big Rush Yards 37.6% 36.0%
  • Yards Per Rush 3.9 4.2




Game

  • All Snaps 60.6 68.0
  • Early Down Succ 55.9% 59.1%
  • Succ Rate 54.1% 54.8%
  • Big Yards Rate 45.2% 36.5%
  • Yards Per Play 6.9 6.0
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.7% 0.3%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 28.1 27.9
  • Run Ratio 42.2% 38.2%
  • Starting Field Pos 0.0 0.0
  • Game Control 2.4 -2.4
 
  • Points 28.2 23.2
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