Los Angeles Rams @

Houston Texans

Sun, Oct 31
10:00 AM Pacific
Rotation: 259
Odds: Houston Texans +15.5, Total: 46.5

Game Analysis

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LA Rams (-15.5) at HOUSTON

Tyrod Taylor was back at practice this week but he’s not going to play and rookie Davis Mills has averaged only 5.1 yppp during his five starts. Texans wide receiver Brandin Cooks has been a bright spot, averaging 2.22 yards per route run this season (12th). Rams starting CB Darious Williams is out with an ankle sprain and backup cornerback Robert Rochell will struggle with Cooks. David Johnson’s 19 receptions rank 14th among running backs and Mills should get him involved as Rams linebackers Kenny Young and Troy Reeder allowed 107 receiving yards last week.

Matthew Stafford is leading the NFL with 8.5 yppp and Los Angeles should score well over 30 points on Sunday against Houston’s 26th-rated pass defense.

Our model favors the Rams by 17.9 points with a predicted total of 48.0 points. I’d lay off the side, as the math model leans with the Rams, but the situation is strongly in favor of the Texans.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Rams
  • Texans
LOS
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 35.71 43.43
  • Succ Pass Plays 57.0% 50.6%
  • Sack Rate 3.0% 6.6%
  • Int Rate 2.2% 3.6%
  • Deep Pass Rate 24.6% 15.6%
  • Big Pass Yards 46.3% 29.6%
  • NYPP 8.59 6.12



Rush


  • Rush Plays 25.71 25.14
  • RB YPR 3.74 3.93
  • Stuff Rate 27.6% 23.6%
  • Succ Rush Plays 49.7% 51.0%
  • Big Rush Yards 32.6% 37.3%
  • Yards Per Rush 3.66 4.19




Game

  • All Snaps 61.43 68.57
  • Early Down Succ 55.4% 54.6%
  • Succ Rate 53.9% 50.8%
  • Big Yards Rate 43.6% 34.2%
  • Yards Per Play 6.50 5.44
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.5% 0.4%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 28.09 27.31
  • Run Ratio 41.9% 36.8%
  • Starting Field Pos 0.00 0.00
  • Game Control 3.77 -3.77
 
  • Points 29.57 20.86
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