Los Angeles Rams @

Arizona Cardinals

Sun, Dec 1
1:05 PM Pacific
Rotation: 467
Odds: Arizona Cardinals +3, Total: 47.5

Game Analysis

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LA Rams (-3) vs ARIZONA

Kliff Kingbury hasn’t been asking too much of his young quarterback by calling relatively conservative passes. Only 2.16% of Kyler Murray’s attempts have been turnover-worthy according to Pro Football Focus, which is tied with Russell Wilson for the best mark ever by a rookie. Although, Murray could struggle on Sunday with his top two receivers facing difficult matchups. Larry Fitzgerald has been his usual reliable self, having not suffered a dropped pass all season, but Fitz will be blanketed by Nickell Robey-Coleman, who is surrendering a league-low 0.48 yards per cover snap in the slot. Meanwhile, Pro Bowl cornerback Jalen Ramsey will neutralize Christian Kirk, the only other Cardinals receiver above 500 yards. The Rams have a 54% pass rush win rate (2nd) led by Aaron Donald and Dante Fowler but they will be contained by Arizona’s offensive line ranked 3rd in pass blocking efficiency.

Jared Goff has yet to throw a touchdown pass in November and has really regressed this season due to a worse offensive line. Robert Woods and Brandin Cooks have seen the biggest drop-off in production, combining for only 1.63 yards per route run after both were above 2 yards per route run last year. Interior defender Corey Peters has a 14% pass rush win rate (10th) and will wreak havoc on the inside versus this banged-up Rams offensive line. Cooper Kupp is leading the NFL with 2.41 yards per route run in the slot and should be productive on Sunday, especially if starting nickelback Tramaine Brock is sidelined for the third-straight game.

The Rams were pretty much eliminated from contention last Monday night with their playoff chances now below 10%. The Cardinals are coming off a bye, which is included in our model, and the numbers favor the Rams by 2.6 points with a predicted total of 49.2 points. The model sees some value on the over but this game applies to a 746-538-16 Under situation.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Rams
  • Cardinals


  • Pass Plays 39.1 39.2
  • Succ Pass Plays 45.3% 46.6%
  • Sack Rate 4.4% 7.4%
  • Int Rate 2.9% 1.7%
  • Deep Pass Rate 18.3% 14.5%
  • Big Pass Yards 40.1% 28.6%
  • NYPP 6.9 6.2


  • Rush Plays 24.1 28.8
  • RB YPR 3.8 3.6
  • Stuff Rate 29.2% 23.5%
  • Succ Rush Plays 44.0% 43.8%
  • Big Rush Yards 41.2% 30.9%
  • Yards Per Rush 3.7 3.6


  • All Snaps 63.2 68.0
  • Early Down Succ 50.1% 46.9%
  • Succ Rate 45.8% 44.9%
  • Big Yards Rate 42.0% 30.4%
  • Yards Per Play 5.5 5.0
  • Fumble Lost Rate 1.0% 1.1%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 26.6 28.4
  • Run Ratio 38.8% 42.0%
  • Starting Field Pos 28.6 29.8
  • Game Control 0.2 -0.2
  • Points 22.6 22.1
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