Los Angeles Chargers @

Cincinnati Bengals

Sun, Dec 5
10:00 AM Pacific
Rotation: 463
Odds: Cincinnati Bengals -3, Total: 50.5

Game Analysis

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Lean – LA Chargers (+3 -120) over CINCINNATI

Bengals edge defender Trey Hendrickson has now forced a league-leading 5 turnovers with his pressure but he will be limited by LT Rashawn Slater, who ranks 12th in pass blocking efficiency. However, Justin Herbert isn’t in the clear as the Chargers could be without three starting offensive linemen if left guard Matt Feiler is unable to suit up again due to an ankle injury. Feiler is important because backup guard Senio Kelemete surrendered five pressures last week. Cincinnati nickelback Mike Hilton allowed only three yards in coverage last Sunday and he will limit Keenan Allen, who is averaging 1.57 yards per route run in the slot (8th). Herbert will likely lean on the screen game as the Bengals have surrendered 614 receiving yards to opposing running backs (29th) and Austin Ekeler is averaging 1.66 yards per route run (7th).

Cincinnati right tackle Riley Reiff is out with an ankle injury and his backup will struggle to protect Joe Burrow while lined up across from edge rusher Joey Bosa, who has 50 pressures (7th).

Our model favors the Bengals by 2.1 points with a predicted total of 47.9 points. The matchup favors the Chargers and I’m using LAC in my pool.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Chargers
  • Bengals
LAC
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 41.82 33.09
  • Succ Pass Plays 50.4% 48.4%
  • Sack Rate 4.6% 5.8%
  • Int Rate 2.1% 2.0%
  • Deep Pass Rate 15.1% 18.8%
  • Big Pass Yards 31.8% 37.0%
  • NYPP 6.72 6.20



Rush


  • Rush Plays 22.55 31.00
  • RB YPR 4.07 4.50
  • Stuff Rate 21.8% 17.9%
  • Succ Rush Plays 50.4% 60.1%
  • Big Rush Yards 45.4% 38.4%
  • Yards Per Rush 4.57 4.68




Game

  • All Snaps 64.36 64.09
  • Early Down Succ 52.6% 56.9%
  • Succ Rate 50.4% 54.0%
  • Big Yards Rate 35.3% 37.6%
  • Yards Per Play 5.96 5.46
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.3% 0.7%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 26.95 29.03
  • Run Ratio 35.0% 48.4%
  • Starting Field Pos 0.00 0.00
  • Game Control -0.64 0.64
 
  • Points 24.82 26.64
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