Game Analysis

SEATTLE (-3.5) vs Las Vegas

· The Raiders are surrendering a 52.5% pass success rate (31st) and will be carved up by Geno Smith, who is averaging 0.148 EPA/play (8th).

· Las Vegas undrafted rookie CB Sam Webb allowed 108 yards last week and he will struggle versus DK Metcalf, who has a 55% success rate (24th).

· The Raiders are surrendering 1.70 yards per cover snap in the slot as a team this year. Backup nickelback Amik Robertson has no chance on the inside against WR Tyler Lockett, who has a 63% success rate (5th).

· Seattle RT Abraham Lucas ranks 15th in pass blocking efficiency and the rookie will limit Las Vegas edge defender Maxx Crosby, who has 38 pressures (15th).

· Derek Carr and Davante Adams are heating up. Adams is coming off three straight games of at least 125 receiving yards and a touchdown. Adams will battle when lined up on the outside against Seahawks CB Tariq Woolen, who ranks 26th in coverage grade by PFF.

· Adams is gaining 3.03 yards per route run in the slot (3rd) and he will bully Seattle rookie Coby Bryant, who is surrendering 1.54 yards per cover snap in the slot ranking 18th out of 22 qualifying nickelbacks.

· Carr will need to get the ball out quickly as the Las Vegas interior offensive line is surrendering 6.4 pressures per game. Seahawks interior defenders Shelby Harris and Quinton Jefferson rank 16th and 17th respectively in pass rushing efficiency.

· Raiders left tackle Kolton Miller is banged-up and he will be challenged by edge defender Uchenna Nwosu, who ranks 20th in pass rushing efficiency.

· We make Seattle a 2.7-point favorite with a predicted total of 47.9.