Game Analysis
NEW ENGLAND (-13.5) vs Houston
The overreaction to Houston’s disappointing week 1 performance went too far and I won my week 2 Best Bet as the Texans beat the Bengals outright as a 6.5-point underdog last week. The market has moved them back closer to preseason expectations as my ratings make the Patriots a 12.5 point favorite.
New England’s offense turned it around from their week 1 performance by putting up 36 points in New Orleans. However, the status of Rob Gronkowski will be something to monitor going forward. Gronk has been Tom Brady’s most effective receiver by far since coming into the league – he has gained nearly 0.2 points per target more than any other Patriot in that time span, which works out to a couple of points per game. I have no opinion on this game.
Pass
-
Pass Plays
36.5
29.5
-
Succ Pass Plays
37.8%
42.0%
-
Sack Rate
16.4%
3.9%
-
Int Rate
1.4%
0.0%
-
Deep Pass Rate
12.5%
19.2%
-
Big Pass Yards
24.6%
33.6%
-
NYPP
3.0
5.8
Rush
-
Rush Plays
29.0
32.5
-
RB YPR
3.7
3.5
-
Stuff Rate
24.4%
16.9%
-
Succ Rush Plays
56.1%
47.8%
-
Big Rush Yards
23.5%
30.2%
-
Yards Per Rush
4.4
3.6
Game
-
All Snaps
65.5
62.0
-
Early Down Succ
48.9%
48.9%
-
Succ Rate
45.1%
42.7%
-
Big Yards Rate
26.0%
36.8%
-
Yards Per Play
3.6
4.7
-
Fumble Lost Rate
2.2%
0.8%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
28.5
28.1
-
Run Ratio
44.9%
52.4%
-
Starting Field Pos
25.3
34.7
-
Game Control
-5.3
5.3
Pass
-
Pass Plays
40.0
41.5
-
Succ Pass Plays
47.2%
55.8%
-
Sack Rate
6.3%
5.1%
-
Int Rate
0.0%
0.0%
-
Deep Pass Rate
28.5%
23.9%
-
Big Pass Yards
59.9%
51.0%
-
NYPP
8.5
8.5
Rush
-
Rush Plays
33.5
25.0
-
RB YPR
3.7
5.3
-
Stuff Rate
23.8%
10.4%
-
Succ Rush Plays
50.8%
44.7%
-
Big Rush Yards
37.6%
47.1%
-
Yards Per Rush
3.7
5.2
Game
-
All Snaps
73.5
66.5
-
Early Down Succ
52.4%
58.8%
-
Succ Rate
49.1%
51.1%
-
Big Yards Rate
54.0%
51.0%
-
Yards Per Play
6.3
7.3
-
Fumble Lost Rate
0.0%
0.7%
-
Time Per Play (sec)
26.6
24.8
-
Run Ratio
45.5%
36.9%
-
Starting Field Pos
27.6
26.7
-
Game Control
8.0
-8.0
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2017 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
JAC |
7 – 30 L |
-11.9 |
34.8% /
52.4% |
21.7% /
0.0% |
2.8% /
0.0% |
2.4 /
6.0 |
60.9% /
41.5% |
17.4% /
17.1% |
4.0 /
3.8 |
69 /
62 |
44.6% /
53.3% |
43.5% /
45.2% |
12.8% /
32.6% |
2.9 /
4.5 |
4.3% /
0.0% |
33.3% /
66.1% |
26.5 /
38.2 |
| 2 |
@CIN |
13 – 9 W |
1.4 |
40.7% /
31.6% |
11.1% /
7.9% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
3.6 /
5.6 |
51.4% /
54.2% |
31.4% /
16.7% |
4.8 /
3.4 |
62 /
62 |
53.2% /
44.4% |
46.8% /
40.3% |
39.1% /
41.0% |
4.3 /
4.8 |
0.0% /
1.6% |
56.5% /
38.7% |
24.1 /
31.2 |
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2017 Game Log |
PASS |
RUSH |
GAMES |
| Wk |
Opp |
Score |
Game Control |
Succ Pass Plays |
Sack Rate |
Int Rate |
NYPP |
Succ Rush Plays |
Stuff Rate |
Yds per Rush |
All Snaps |
Early Down Succ |
Succ Rate |
Big Yards Rate |
Yds per Play |
Fum Lost Rate |
Run Ratio |
Starting Field Pos |
| 1 |
KC |
27 – 42 L |
1.8 |
33.3% /
60.5% |
7.7% /
7.9% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
6.3 /
9.3 |
50.0% /
42.4% |
25.0% /
9.1% |
3.5 /
5.7 |
75 /
71 |
46.4% /
63.5% |
41.3% /
52.1% |
54.8% /
53.7% |
5.0 /
7.6 |
0.0% /
1.4% |
48.0% /
46.5% |
27.8 /
25.5 |
| 2 |
@NO |
36 – 20 W |
14.2 |
61.0% /
51.1% |
4.9% /
2.2% |
0.0% /
0.0% |
10.6 /
7.7 |
51.6% /
47.1% |
22.6% /
11.8% |
3.8 /
4.8 |
72 /
62 |
58.3% /
54.2% |
56.9% /
50.0% |
53.2% /
48.3% |
7.7 /
6.9 |
0.0% /
0.0% |
43.1% /
27.4% |
27.5 /
27.9 |
Houston Texans
@ 
New England Patriots