Detroit Lions @

Atlanta Falcons

Sun, Oct 25
10:00 AM Pacific
Rotation: 457
Odds: Atlanta Falcons -2, Total: 55

Game Analysis

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ATLANTA (-2) vs Detroit

Julio Jones was back and looking healthy last week, catching eight passes for 137 yards and two touchdowns. The Falcons are now averaging 355 passing yards and 34.7 points in three games with Jones, compared to 228 passing yards and 19.3 points in the three games Jones was not fit to play. However, Jones will have a difficult matchup this week as Lions’ CB Amani Oruwariye has not conceded a TD all season and is surrendering only 0.87 yards per cover snap (15th). Calvin Ridley is averaging 2.41 yards per route run (13th) and Atlanta’s offense will need him to produce across from rookie CB Jeffrey Okudah, who is surrendering 2.35 yards per cover snap. Tackles Jake Matthews and Kaleb McGary have only conceded 18 pressures combined and should be able to slow down edge rushers Romeo Okwara and Trey Flowers.

Detroit’s offense is also looking better with their top receiver healthy and in the lineup. Kenny Golladay is averaging more than 10 yards per target since making his season debut in week 3 and he has a very favorable matchup on Sunday against CB Kendall Sheffield, who is conceding a terrible 2.79 yards per cover snap.

The Lions and Falcons both are among the top 5 fastest paced teams in neutral situations and the total play count should be high in this contest. Our model makes Atlanta a 3.0-point favorite with a predicted total of 53.2 points.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Lions
  • Falcons
DET
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 38.3 34.7
  • Succ Pass Plays 49.5% 52.1%
  • Sack Rate 8.2% 2.9%
  • Int Rate 1.8% 2.9%
  • Deep Pass Rate 16.1% 24.9%
  • Big Pass Yards 40.3% 37.8%
  • NYPP 6.4 6.9



Rush


  • Rush Plays 25.7 30.0
  • RB YPR 4.2 5.3
  • Stuff Rate 20.5% 12.6%
  • Succ Rush Plays 45.5% 57.8%
  • Big Rush Yards 41.3% 50.8%
  • Yards Per Rush 4.1 5.6




Game

  • All Snaps 64.0 64.7
  • Early Down Succ 49.6% 58.7%
  • Succ Rate 47.4% 54.6%
  • Big Yards Rate 40.9% 42.8%
  • Yards Per Play 5.5 6.3
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 27.9 28.1
  • Run Ratio 40.0% 46.3%
  • Starting Field Pos 27.8 25.5
  • Game Control 0.1 -0.1
 
  • Points 23.3 30.7
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